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Last Updated: December 29, 2025

ofev Drug Patent Profile


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Which patents cover Ofev, and what generic alternatives are available?

Ofev is a drug marketed by Boehringer Ingelheim and is included in one NDA. There are four patents protecting this drug and one Paragraph IV challenge.

This drug has one hundred and ninety-seven patent family members in fifty-three countries.

The generic ingredient in OFEV is nintedanib esylate. There are nine drug master file entries for this compound. One supplier is listed for this compound. Additional details are available on the nintedanib esylate profile page.

DrugPatentWatch® Generic Entry Outlook for Ofev

Ofev was eligible for patent challenges on October 15, 2018.

By analyzing the patents and regulatory protections it appears that the earliest date for generic entry will be December 7, 2029. This may change due to patent challenges or generic licensing.

There have been two patent litigation cases involving the patents protecting this drug, indicating strong interest in generic launch. Recent data indicate that 63% of patent challenges are decided in favor of the generic patent challenger and that 54% of successful patent challengers promptly launch generic drugs.

There is one tentative approval for the generic drug (nintedanib esylate), which indicates the potential for near-term generic launch.

Indicators of Generic Entry

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Drug patent expirations by year for ofev
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DrugPatentWatch® Estimated Loss of Exclusivity (LOE) Date for ofev
Generic Entry Date for ofev*:
Constraining patent/regulatory exclusivity:
NDA:
Dosage:
CAPSULE;ORAL

*The generic entry opportunity date is the latter of the last compound-claiming patent and the last regulatory exclusivity protection. Many factors can influence early or later generic entry. This date is provided as a rough estimate of generic entry potential and should not be used as an independent source.

Pharmacology for ofev
Drug ClassKinase Inhibitor
Mechanism of ActionProtein Kinase Inhibitors
Paragraph IV (Patent) Challenges for OFEV
Tradename Dosage Ingredient Strength NDA ANDAs Submitted Submissiondate
OFEV Capsules nintedanib esylate 100 mg and 150 mg 205832 4 2018-10-15

US Patents and Regulatory Information for ofev

ofev is protected by four US patents and two FDA Regulatory Exclusivities.

Based on analysis by DrugPatentWatch, the earliest date for a generic version of ofev is ⤷  Get Started Free.

This potential generic entry date is based on patent ⤷  Get Started Free.

Generics may enter earlier, or later, based on new patent filings, patent extensions, patent invalidation, early generic licensing, generic entry preferences, and other factors.

Applicant Tradename Generic Name Dosage NDA Approval Date TE Type RLD RS Patent No. Patent Expiration Product Substance Delist Req. Exclusivity Expiration
Boehringer Ingelheim OFEV nintedanib esylate CAPSULE;ORAL 205832-001 Oct 15, 2014 RX Yes No ⤷  Get Started Free ⤷  Get Started Free Y ⤷  Get Started Free
Boehringer Ingelheim OFEV nintedanib esylate CAPSULE;ORAL 205832-002 Oct 15, 2014 RX Yes Yes ⤷  Get Started Free ⤷  Get Started Free Y ⤷  Get Started Free
Boehringer Ingelheim OFEV nintedanib esylate CAPSULE;ORAL 205832-001 Oct 15, 2014 RX Yes No ⤷  Get Started Free ⤷  Get Started Free Y ⤷  Get Started Free
Boehringer Ingelheim OFEV nintedanib esylate CAPSULE;ORAL 205832-002 Oct 15, 2014 RX Yes Yes ⤷  Get Started Free ⤷  Get Started Free ⤷  Get Started Free
Boehringer Ingelheim OFEV nintedanib esylate CAPSULE;ORAL 205832-002 Oct 15, 2014 RX Yes Yes ⤷  Get Started Free ⤷  Get Started Free Y ⤷  Get Started Free
Boehringer Ingelheim OFEV nintedanib esylate CAPSULE;ORAL 205832-001 Oct 15, 2014 RX Yes No ⤷  Get Started Free ⤷  Get Started Free Y ⤷  Get Started Free
Boehringer Ingelheim OFEV nintedanib esylate CAPSULE;ORAL 205832-001 Oct 15, 2014 RX Yes No ⤷  Get Started Free ⤷  Get Started Free Y ⤷  Get Started Free
>Applicant >Tradename >Generic Name >Dosage >NDA >Approval Date >TE >Type >RLD >RS >Patent No. >Patent Expiration >Product >Substance >Delist Req. >Exclusivity Expiration

Expired US Patents for ofev

Applicant Tradename Generic Name Dosage NDA Approval Date Patent No. Patent Expiration
Boehringer Ingelheim OFEV nintedanib esylate CAPSULE;ORAL 205832-001 Oct 15, 2014 ⤷  Get Started Free ⤷  Get Started Free
Boehringer Ingelheim OFEV nintedanib esylate CAPSULE;ORAL 205832-002 Oct 15, 2014 ⤷  Get Started Free ⤷  Get Started Free
Boehringer Ingelheim OFEV nintedanib esylate CAPSULE;ORAL 205832-001 Oct 15, 2014 ⤷  Get Started Free ⤷  Get Started Free
Boehringer Ingelheim OFEV nintedanib esylate CAPSULE;ORAL 205832-002 Oct 15, 2014 ⤷  Get Started Free ⤷  Get Started Free
>Applicant >Tradename >Generic Name >Dosage >NDA >Approval Date >Patent No. >Patent Expiration

International Patents for ofev

When does loss-of-exclusivity occur for ofev?

Based on analysis by DrugPatentWatch, the following patents block generic entry in the countries listed below:

Argentina

Patent: 2059
Patent: FORMA DE DOSIFICACION FARMACEUTICA EN CAPSULA QUE COMPRENDE UNA FORMULACION EN SUSPENSION DE UN DERIVADO DE INDOLINONA
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Australia

Patent: 09254548
Patent: Capsule pharmaceutical dosage form comprising a suspension formulation of an indolinone derivative
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 15227503
Patent: Capsule pharmaceutical dosage form comprising a suspension formulation of an indolinone derivative
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Brazil

Patent: 0913434
Patent: forma de dosagem farmacêutica em cápsula compreendendo uma formulação de um derivado de indolinona em supensão
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Canada

Patent: 26267
Patent: FORME POSOLOGIQUE PHARMACEUTIQUE EN CAPSULE COMPRENANT UNE FORMULATION EN SUSPENSION D'UN DERIVE D'INDOLINONE (CAPSULE PHARMACEUTICAL DOSAGE FORM COMPRISING A SUSPENSION FORMULATION OF AN INDOLINONE DERIVATIVE)
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Chile

Patent: 10001279
Patent: Forma de dosificacion que comprende 3-z-[1-(4-(n-((4-metil-piperazin-1-il)-metilcarbonil)-n-metil-amino)-anilino)-1-fenil-metileno]-6-metoxicarbonil-2-indolinona-monoetanosulfonato, un vehiculo lipidico, un espesante y un agente de deslizamiento/solubilizante, de grupos definidos.
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

China

Patent: 2056598
Patent: Capsule pharmaceutical dosage form comprising a suspension formulation of an indolinone derivative
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 5193720
Patent: CAPSULE PHARMACEUTICAL DOSAGE FORM COMPRISING A SUSPENSION FORMULATION OF AN INDOLINONE DERIVATIVE
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Colombia

Patent: 80467
Patent: FORMA DE DOSIFICACION FARMACEUTICA EN CAPSULA QUE COMPRENDE UNA FORMULACION EN SUSPENSION DE UN DERIVADO DE INDOLINONA
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Croatia

Patent: 0180709
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Cyprus

Patent: 20533
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Denmark

Patent: 99987
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Ecuador

Patent: 10010660
Patent: FORMA DE DOSIFICACIÓN FARMACÉUTICA EN CÁPSULA QUE COMPRENDE UNA FORMULACIÓN EN SUSPENCIÓN DE UN DERIVADO DE INDOLINONA
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Eurasian Patent Organization

Patent: 9996
Patent: КАПСУЛЯРНАЯ ЛЕКАРСТВЕННАЯ ФОРМА, СОДЕРЖАЩАЯ СУСПЕНЗИОННУЮ КОМПОЗИЦИЮ ПРОИЗВОДНОГО ИНДОЛИНОНА (CAPSULE PHARMACEUTICAL DOSAGE FORM COMPRISING A SUSPENSION FORMULATION OF AN INDOLINONE DERIVATIVE)
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 1001856
Patent: КАПСУЛЯРНАЯ ЛЕКАРСТВЕННАЯ ФОРМА, СОДЕРЖАЩАЯ СУСПЕНЗИОННУЮ КОМПОЗИЦИЮ ПРОИЗВОДНОГО ИНДОЛИНОНА
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

European Patent Office

Patent: 99987
Patent: FORME POSOLOGIQUE PHARMACEUTIQUE EN CAPSULE COMPRENANT UNE FORMULATION EN SUSPENSION D'UN DÉRIVÉ D'INDOLINONE (CAPSULE PHARMACEUTICAL DOSAGE FORM COMPRISING A SUSPENSION FORMULATION OF AN INDOLINONE DERIVATIVE)
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Hungary

Patent: 39187
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Israel

Patent: 8954
Patent: צורת מינון רוקחית שהינה קפסולה המכילה הרכב תרחיפי של נגזרת אינדולינון (Capsule pharmaceutical dosage form comprising a suspension formulation of an indolinone derivative)
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Japan

Patent: 61031
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 05542
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 11522812
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 14208712
Patent: インドリノン誘導体の懸濁液製剤を含むカプセル医薬投薬形態 (CAPSULE PHARMACEUTICAL DOSAGE FORM COMPRISING SUSPENSION FORMULATION OF INDOLINONE DERIVATIVE)
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Lithuania

Patent: 99987
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Malaysia

Patent: 8930
Patent: CAPSULE PHARMACEUTICAL DOSAGE FORM COMPRISING A SUSPENSION FORMULATION OF AN INDOLINONE DERIVATIVE
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Mexico

Patent: 9229
Patent: FORMA DE DOSIFICACIÓN FARMACÉUTICA EN CÁPSULA QUE COMPRENDE UNA FORMULACIÓN EN SUSPENSIÓN DE UN DERIVADO DE INDOLINONA. (CAPSULE PHARMACEUTICAL DOSAGE FORM COMPRISING A SUSPENSION FORMULATION OF AN INDOLINONE DERIVATIVE.)
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 10013203
Patent: FORMA DE DOSIFICACION FARMACEUTICA EN CAPSULA QUE COMPRENDE UNA FORMULACION EN SUSPENSION DE UN DERIVADO DE INDOLINONA. (CAPSULE PHARMACEUTICAL DOSAGE FORM COMPRISING A SUSPENSION FORMULATION OF AN INDOLINONE DERIVATIVE.)
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Morocco

Patent: 385
Patent: شكل جرعات صيدلانية لكبسولة تتألف من صياغة مستعلقة من مشتقة الإيندولينون
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

New Zealand

Patent: 3162
Patent: Capsule pharmaceutical dosage form comprising a suspension formulation of an indolinone derivative
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Norway

Patent: 99987
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Peru

Patent: 100254
Patent: FORMA DE DOSIFICACION FARMACEUTICA EN CAPSULA QUE COMPRENDE UNA FORMULACION EN SUSPENSION DE UN DERIVADO DE INDOLINONA
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Poland

Patent: 99987
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Portugal

Patent: 99987
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Serbia

Patent: 142
Patent: FARMACEUTSKI DOZNI OBLIK U VIDU KAPSULE KOJI SADRŽI FORMULACIJU SUSPENZIJE INDOLINON DERIVATA (CAPSULE PHARMACEUTICAL DOSAGE FORM COMPRISING A SUSPENSION FORMULATION OF AN INDOLINONE DERIVATIVE)
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Slovenia

Patent: 99987
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

South Africa

Patent: 1007636
Patent: CAPSULE PHARMACEUTICAL DOSAGE FORM COMPRISING A SUSPENSION FORMULATION OF AN INDOLINONE DERIVATIVE
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

South Korea

Patent: 1725469
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 110017872
Patent: CAPSULE PHARMACEUTICAL DOSAGE FORM COMPRISING A SUSPENSION FORMULATION OF AN INDOLINONE DERIVATIVE
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 170020557
Patent: 인돌리논 유도체의 현탁 제형을 포함하는 캡슐 약제학적 투여 형태 (Capsule pharmaceutical dosage form comprising a suspension formulation of an indolinone derivative)
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Spain

Patent: 69469
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Taiwan

Patent: 1002691
Patent: Capsule pharmaceutical dosage form comprising a suspension formulation of an indolinone derivative
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Tunisia

Patent: 10000558
Patent: CAPSULE PHARMACEUTICAL DOAGE FORM COMPRISING A SUSPENSION FORMULATION OF AN INDOLINONE DERIVATIVE
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Ukraine

Patent: 4590
Patent: КАПСУЛИРОВАННАЯ ЛЕКАРСТВЕННАЯ ФОРМА, СОДЕРЖАЩАЯ СУСПЕНЗИОННУЮ КОМПОЗИЦИЮ ПРОИЗВОДНОЙ ИНДОЛИНОНА;КАПСУЛЬОВАНА ЛІКАРСЬКА ФОРМА, ЩО МІСТИТЬ СУСПЕНЗІЙНУ КОМПОЗИЦІЮ ПОХІДНОЇ ІНДОЛІНОНУ (CAPSULE PHARMACEUTICAL DOSAGE FORM COMPRISING A SUSPENSION FORMULATION OF AN INDOLINONE DERIVATIVE)
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Uruguay

Patent: 879
Patent: FORMA DE DOSIFICACIÓN FARMACÉUTICA EN CÁPSULA QUE COMPRENDE UNA FORMULACIÓN EN SUSPENSIÓN DE UN DERIVADO DE INDOLINONA
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Generics may enter earlier, or later, based on new patent filings, patent extensions, patent invalidation, early generic licensing, generic entry preferences, and other factors.

See the table below for additional patents covering ofev around the world.

Country Patent Number Title Estimated Expiration
Slovenia 2878297 ⤷  Get Started Free
Japan 2011522010 ⤷  Get Started Free
Spain 2797546 ⤷  Get Started Free
Cyprus 1112916 ⤷  Get Started Free
Denmark 1830843 ⤷  Get Started Free
Slovenia 2299987 ⤷  Get Started Free
Ukraine 78352 МОНОЭТАНСУЛЬФОНАТ 3-Z-[1-(4-(N-((4-МЕТИЛПИПЕРАЗИН-1-ИЛ)МЕТИЛКАРБОНИЛ)-N-МЕТИЛАМИНО)АНИЛИНО)-1-ФЕНИЛМЕТИЛЕН]-6-МЕТОКСИКАРБОНИЛ-2-ИНДОЛИНОНА, ЕГО МЕТАБОЛИТ И ПРОЛЕКАРСТВА;МОНОЕТАНСУЛЬФОНАТ 3-Z-[1-(4-(N-((4-МЕТИЛПІПЕРАЗИН-1-ІЛ)МЕТИЛКАРБОНІЛ)-N-МЕТИЛАМІНО)АНІЛІНО)-1-ФЕНІЛМЕТИЛЕН]-6-МЕТОКСИКАРБОНІЛ-2-ІНДОЛІНОНУ, ЙОГО МЕТАБОЛІТ ТА ПРОЛІКИ (3-Z-[1-(4-(N-((4-METHYL-PIPERAZIN-1-YL)-METHYLCARBONYL)-N-METHYL-AMINO)-ANILINO)-1-PHENYL-METHYLENE]-6-METHOXYCARBONYL-2-INDOLINONE MONOETHANESULPHONATE, METABOLITE THEREOF, AND PRODRUGS) ⤷  Get Started Free
>Country >Patent Number >Title >Estimated Expiration

Supplementary Protection Certificates for ofev

Patent Number Supplementary Protection Certificate SPC Country SPC Expiration SPC Description
1830843 1590034-3 Sweden ⤷  Get Started Free PRODUCT NAME: NINTEDANIB, OR A TAUTOMER, THE MIXTURES THEREOF ORA SALT THEROF; IN PARTICULAR NINTEDANIB ESILATE; REG. NO/DATE: EU/1/14/979 20150119
1224170 PA2015015 Lithuania ⤷  Get Started Free PRODUCT NAME: NINTEDANIBUM; REGISTRATION NO/DATE: EU/1/14/954/001-004 20141121
1224170 300725 Netherlands ⤷  Get Started Free PRODUCT NAME: NINTEDANIB, DE TAUTOMEREN DAARVAN EN DE ZOUTEN DAARVAN, IN HET BIJZONDER NINTEDANIB EN FYSIOLOGISCH AANVAARDBARE ZOUTEN DAARVAN, MET NAME NINEDANIBESILAAT; REGISTRATION NO/DATE: EU/1/14/954/001-004 20141125
1224170 2015/017 Ireland ⤷  Get Started Free PRODUCT NAME: VARGATEF-NINTEDANIB, THE TAUTOMERS AND THE PHYSIOLOGICALLY ACCEPTABLE SALTS THEREOF; REGISTRATION NO/DATE: EU/1/14/954/001-004 20141121
1830843 CA 2015 00036 Denmark ⤷  Get Started Free PRODUCT NAME: NINTEDANIB ELLER EN TAUTOMER, BLANDINGERNE DERAF ELLER ET SALT DERAF, SAERLIGT NINTEDANIB ESILAT; REG. NO/DATE: EU/1/14/979/001-004 20150115
1224170 SPC/GB15/018 United Kingdom ⤷  Get Started Free PRODUCT NAME: NINTEDANIB*, THE TAUTOMERS AND THE SALTS THEREOF, IN PARTICULAR NINTEDANIB AND PHYSIOLOGICALLY ACCEPTABLE SALTS THEREOF, SPECIFICALLY NINTEDANIB ESILATE. *NINTEDANIB IS 3-Z-(1-(4-N-((4-METHYL-PIPERAZIN-1-YL)-METHYLCARBONYL)-N-METHYL-AMINO)-A; REGISTERED: UK EU/1/14/954/001 20141125; UK EU/1/14/954/002 20141125; UK EU/1/14/954/003 20141125; UK EU/1/14/954/004 20141125
1830843 PA2015025,C1830843 Lithuania ⤷  Get Started Free PRODUCT NAME: NINTEDANIBAS ARBA JO TAUTOMERAS, ARBA JU MISINIAI, ARBA JO DRUSKA; KONKRECIAI NINTEDANIBO ESILATAS; REGISTRATION NO/DATE: EU/1/14/979/001 - EU/1/14/979/004 20150115
>Patent Number >Supplementary Protection Certificate >SPC Country >SPC Expiration >SPC Description

Market Dynamics and Financial Trajectory for OFEV (Nintedanib)

Last updated: December 27, 2025

Executive Summary

OFEV (nintedanib) emerged as a pivotal pharmaceutical in treating idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) and certain other fibrotic diseases. Market dynamics for OFEV have evolved rapidly, driven by increasing prevalence of IPF, expanding therapeutic indications, regulatory approvals, and competitive landscape shifts. The global OFEV market demonstrated robust growth projections, with compounded annual growth rates (CAGRs) expected to reach approximately 10-12% over the next five years. Financial trajectories are characterized by rising revenues, driven by patent protections, off-label use explorations, and new dosage formulations, although biosimilar competition and market saturation remain key risks. This analysis dissects the current market landscape, key financial metrics, future drivers, and challenges underpinning OFEV's trajectory.


Summary of OFEV's Market Position

Aspect Details
Active Ingredient Nintedanib (Tyrosine kinase inhibitor)
Primary Indication Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF)
Regulatory Approvals FDA (2014), EMA (2015), other regulators (Japan 2015), expanded to other fibroses
Manufacturers Boehringer Ingelheim (original developer)
Global Market Presence Approved and marketed across North America, Europe, Japan, and select emerging markets
Major Competitors Pirfenidone (Roche's Esbriet), newer agents in development

Market Dynamics of OFEV

1. Epidemiological Drivers

IPF is a progressive, fatal lung disease with rising incidence, projected to reach 3-6 per 100,000 globally, with an aged demographic largely affected. The global IPF prevalence estimates are increasing due to better diagnostics and aging populations.

  • Projected Cases (2023): ~250,000 globally with growth forecast at 5% CAGR over the next decade.
  • Impact: Elevated demand for approved antifibrotic therapies like OFEV, especially in industrialized economies.

2. Regulatory Landscape and Expanded Indications

Initially approved for IPF, OFEV's label has expanded:

Year Indication Regulatory Agency Notes
2014 Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis FDA, EMA First approval
2020 Systemic sclerosis-associated interstitial lung disease (SSc-ILD) FDA, EMA Expanding use in connective tissue disease-related fibrosis
2022 Other fibrotic conditions (e.g., progressive fibrosing interstitial lung disease) Regulatory filings Pending approvals, potential for pipeline growth

3. Competitive and Pipeline Dynamics

  • Main Competitors:
    • Pirfenidone (Roche): Market leader in IPF, competitive with OFEV.
    • Nintedanib's differentiation: Broad indications, including non-IPF fibroses.
  • Pipeline Innovations:
    • New formulations: Extended-release tablets.
    • Combination therapies and biosimilars (not yet in market).

4. Market Penetration & Adoption

  • Physician & Patient Acceptance: Increasing with evidence of efficacy and safety.
  • Market Access & Reimbursement: Key to revenue growth, with cost-effectiveness analyses favorable in many regions.

5. Price & Reimbursement Trends

Region Average Price (per 150 mg dose) Reimbursement Status Notes
North America $9,000 – $12,000/month Broadly reimbursed Influenced by formularies
Europe €6,000 – €8,000/month Reimbursement varies by country Access delays, price negotiations
Japan ¥150,000/month National health system coverage Price controls apply

Financial Trajectory of OFEV

1. Current Revenue and Market Share

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD Millions) Market Share (IPF segment) Growth Rate (YoY)
2020 ~$1,200 ~25% +20%
2021 ~$1,440 ~27% +20%
2022 ~$1,700 ~30% +18%

Note: Data based on Boehringer Ingelheim earnings reports and industry estimates.

2. Revenue Drivers & Forecasts

  • Expansion of indications: Contributing to higher patient volumes.
  • Market penetration: Growing in Asia-Pacific and Latin America.
  • Pricing strategies: Tiered based on region and healthcare systems.
  • Emerging threats: Biosimilars and generics could pressure pricing post-patent expiry (expected circa 2034).

3. Patent & Exclusivity Outlook

  • Patent Expiry: U.S. patent granted in 2014, expiration likely around 2034, with data exclusivity extending till then.
  • Regulatory Data Exclusivity: 8 years in jurisdictions like the EU.

4. Cost & R&D Investment

  • Development Costs: Estimated at $1.3 billion over 10 years, per industry benchmarks.
  • Manufacturing & Distribution Margins: Approximately 40-50%, contributing to profitability.

5. Financial Risks & Opportunities

Risk Factors Impact Mitigation Strategies
Patent expiration Revenue decline post-2034 Diversification, pipeline development
Competitive biosimilars Price erosion Patent strategy, differentiation
Regulatory hurdles in new indications Delay in revenue streams Early engagement, robust data
Market saturation Slowing growth in established markets Geographical expansion, unmet needs

Future Outlook & Drivers

Driver Impact Timeline
New indication approvals Broaden total addressable market (~$3 billion in 2023) 2023-2025
Patient population growth Increase in diagnosed cases, especially in Asia 2024-2030
Pharmacoeconomic favorability Reimbursement wins, preferential formulary positioning 2024-2026
Pipeline innovations Potential new therapeutic formulations, combinations 2025-2030
Biosimilar entrants Price competition in post-patent era 2034+

Comparative Analysis: OFEV vs. Pirfenidone

Feature OFEV (Nintedanib) Pirfenidone (Esbriet)
Mechanism Tyrosine kinase inhibitor Antifibrotic, multiple pathways
Indications IPF, SSc-ILD, others IPF
Pricing Slightly higher in some markets Comparable
Side Effect Profile Diarrhea, liver enzyme elevation Gastrointestinal, skin rash
Market Penetration Slightly behind Pirfenidone Market leader in IPF

Regulatory Policies & Market Access

  • FDA & EMA: Emphasize real-world evidence for expanded indications.
  • Pricing & Reimbursement: Tiered approach; negotiations heavily influence market access.
  • Pricing Controls: Growing in Europe and Asia-Pacific, affecting margins.

Conclusion

The OFEV market is poised for sustained growth driven by rising disease prevalence, expanding indications, and geographical expansion. Its financial trajectory remains positive, with revenues forecasted to grow at ~10-12% CAGR over the next five years, contingent on successful indication approvals and market penetration.

However, post-2034 patent expiration presents a significant competitive challenge, necessitating investment in pipeline diversification, strategic marketing, and cost management.


Key Takeaways

  • Market Expansion: OFEV benefits from increasing IPF diagnoses and label expansions into broader fibrotic diseases.
  • Revenue Growth: Supported by geographic diversification and increasing adoption; revenues projected to reach ~$2.5 billion globally by 2027.
  • Patent & Competition Risks: Patent expiry around 2034 necessitates pipeline innovation.
  • Pricing & Access Policies: Variations across regions influence revenue margins; negotiations remain pivotal.
  • Pipeline & Innovation: Continued development in alternative formulations, combinations, and biomarker-driven personalized therapy will drive future revenues.

FAQs

1. What are the main factors influencing OFEV's market growth?
Epidemiological rise of IPF, expanding indications, regulatory approvals, geographic expansion, and increased physician acceptance.

2. When is OFEV's patent expected to expire, and what does this imply for revenues?
Around 2034 in major markets like the U.S. and EU. Post-expiration, biosimilar competition could exert downward pressure on pricing and market share.

3. How does OFEV compare with its primary competitor, pirfenidone?
OFEV has a broader indication profile and potentially different side effects, but both occupy similar market segments. Pricing differs regionally, impacting adoption.

4. What are the key regulatory challenges facing OFEV?
Regulatory hurdles mainly involve initial approval, indication expansions, and reimbursement policies. Off-label use may pose legal and safety concerns.

5. How can Boehringer Ingelheim sustain OFEV’s financial trajectory amid challenges?
By expanding indications, developing new formulations, entering emerging markets, and investing in pipeline diversification.


References

  1. Boehringer Ingelheim Annual Reports, 2020-2022.
  2. FDA and EMA Regulatory Documents for OFEV, 2014-2022.
  3. Global Pulmonary Fibrosis Market Reports, 2022.
  4. Industry analyst estimates and publications (Bloomberg, 2023).
  5. Patent expiry and biosimilar market outlook, IQVIA Insights, 2022.

Note: All financial figures are estimates based on publicly available data and industry analysis, subject to change.

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