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Last Updated: December 31, 2025

VITRAKVI Drug Patent Profile


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Which patents cover Vitrakvi, and when can generic versions of Vitrakvi launch?

Vitrakvi is a drug marketed by Bayer Hlthcare and Bayer Healthcare and is included in two NDAs. There are twenty patents protecting this drug and one Paragraph IV challenge.

This drug has two hundred and eighty-eight patent family members in fifty countries.

The generic ingredient in VITRAKVI is larotrectinib sulfate. Two suppliers are listed for this compound. Additional details are available on the larotrectinib sulfate profile page.

DrugPatentWatch® Generic Entry Outlook for Vitrakvi

Vitrakvi was eligible for patent challenges on November 26, 2022.

By analyzing the patents and regulatory protections it appears that the earliest date for generic entry will be August 15, 2036. This may change due to patent challenges or generic licensing.

There have been six patent litigation cases involving the patents protecting this drug, indicating strong interest in generic launch. Recent data indicate that 63% of patent challenges are decided in favor of the generic patent challenger and that 54% of successful patent challengers promptly launch generic drugs.

Indicators of Generic Entry

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Drug patent expirations by year for VITRAKVI
Drug Prices for VITRAKVI

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DrugPatentWatch® Estimated Loss of Exclusivity (LOE) Date for VITRAKVI
Generic Entry Dates for VITRAKVI*:
Constraining patent/regulatory exclusivity:
NDA:
Dosage:
CAPSULE;ORAL
Generic Entry Dates for VITRAKVI*:
Constraining patent/regulatory exclusivity:
NDA:
Dosage:
SOLUTION;ORAL

*The generic entry opportunity date is the latter of the last compound-claiming patent and the last regulatory exclusivity protection. Many factors can influence early or later generic entry. This date is provided as a rough estimate of generic entry potential and should not be used as an independent source.

Recent Clinical Trials for VITRAKVI

Identify potential brand extensions & 505(b)(2) entrants

SponsorPhase
M.D. Anderson Cancer CenterPhase 2
Children's Oncology GroupPhase 2
Genentech, Inc.Phase 2

See all VITRAKVI clinical trials

Pharmacology for VITRAKVI
Paragraph IV (Patent) Challenges for VITRAKVI
Tradename Dosage Ingredient Strength NDA ANDAs Submitted Submissiondate
VITRAKVI Capsules larotrectinib sulfate 25 mg and 100 mg 210861 1 2025-05-06

US Patents and Regulatory Information for VITRAKVI

VITRAKVI is protected by twenty-one US patents and three FDA Regulatory Exclusivities.

Based on analysis by DrugPatentWatch, the earliest date for a generic version of VITRAKVI is ⤷  Get Started Free.

This potential generic entry date is based on patent 10,799,505.

Generics may enter earlier, or later, based on new patent filings, patent extensions, patent invalidation, early generic licensing, generic entry preferences, and other factors.

Applicant Tradename Generic Name Dosage NDA Approval Date TE Type RLD RS Patent No. Patent Expiration Product Substance Delist Req. Exclusivity Expiration
Bayer Healthcare VITRAKVI larotrectinib sulfate SOLUTION;ORAL 211710-001 Nov 26, 2018 RX Yes Yes 9,782,414 ⤷  Get Started Free ⤷  Get Started Free
Bayer Hlthcare VITRAKVI larotrectinib sulfate CAPSULE;ORAL 210861-002 Nov 26, 2018 RX Yes Yes 9,127,013 ⤷  Get Started Free Y Y ⤷  Get Started Free
Bayer Healthcare VITRAKVI larotrectinib sulfate SOLUTION;ORAL 211710-001 Nov 26, 2018 RX Yes Yes 10,799,505 ⤷  Get Started Free Y ⤷  Get Started Free
Bayer Healthcare VITRAKVI larotrectinib sulfate SOLUTION;ORAL 211710-001 Nov 26, 2018 RX Yes Yes 11,337,967 ⤷  Get Started Free ⤷  Get Started Free
Bayer Healthcare VITRAKVI larotrectinib sulfate SOLUTION;ORAL 211710-001 Nov 26, 2018 RX Yes Yes 8,513,263 ⤷  Get Started Free Y Y ⤷  Get Started Free
Bayer Healthcare VITRAKVI larotrectinib sulfate SOLUTION;ORAL 211710-001 Nov 26, 2018 RX Yes Yes ⤷  Get Started Free ⤷  Get Started Free ⤷  Get Started Free
Bayer Hlthcare VITRAKVI larotrectinib sulfate CAPSULE;ORAL 210861-002 Nov 26, 2018 RX Yes Yes 10,285,993 ⤷  Get Started Free ⤷  Get Started Free
>Applicant >Tradename >Generic Name >Dosage >NDA >Approval Date >TE >Type >RLD >RS >Patent No. >Patent Expiration >Product >Substance >Delist Req. >Exclusivity Expiration

International Patents for VITRAKVI

When does loss-of-exclusivity occur for VITRAKVI?

Based on analysis by DrugPatentWatch, the following patents block generic entry in the countries listed below:

Argentina

Patent: 8090
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Australia

Patent: 15346046
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 17246547
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 17246554
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Brazil

Patent: 2017010141
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 2018070017
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 2018070304
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Canada

Patent: 67951
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 19661
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 19671
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Chile

Patent: 17001249
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 18002806
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 18002807
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 19002238
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 19002239
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

China

Patent: 7428760
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 9310694
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 9414442
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 3354649
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Colombia

Patent: 17005483
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 18010761
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Costa Rica

Patent: 170263
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 180501
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Croatia

Patent: 0230271
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 0241282
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 0241295
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Cuba

Patent: 180125
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Denmark

Patent: 39662
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 39663
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 99181
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Dominican Republic

Patent: 018000214
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Ecuador

Patent: 18083443
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

European Patent Office

Patent: 18380
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 39662
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 39663
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 99181
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Finland

Patent: 39662
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 39663
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 99181
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Georgia, Republic of

Patent: 0227339
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Hong Kong

Patent: 44483
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Hungary

Patent: 61448
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 68542
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 68971
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Israel

Patent: 2270
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 2003
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 2005
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 0905
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 4018
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Japan

Patent: 14834
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 57343
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 61602
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 17535550
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 19510827
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 19511575
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 21169496
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Lithuania

Patent: 39662
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 39663
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 99181
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Mexico

Patent: 6478
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 6415
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 6416
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 17006412
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 18012163
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 18012165
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 20011079
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Morocco

Patent: 601
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 610
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 612
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 504
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

New Zealand

Patent: 1909
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 7135
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 7140
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Nicaragua

Patent: 1800102
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Peru

Patent: 181888
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Philippines

Patent: 017500900
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 018502124
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 018502134
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 021550809
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Poland

Patent: 39662
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 39663
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 99181
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Portugal

Patent: 39662
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 39663
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 99181
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Russian Federation

Patent: 23990
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 51636
Patent: СПОСОБЫ ЛЕЧЕНИЯ ДЕТСКИХ РАКОВЫХ ЗАБОЛЕВАНИЙ (METHODS FOR TREATMENT OF CHILDHOOD CANCER DISEASES)
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 51767
Patent: ЖИДКИЕ СОСТАВЫ (S)-N-(5-((R)-2-(2,5-ДИФТОРФЕНИЛ)ПИРРОЛИДИН-1-ИЛ)ПИРАЗОЛО[1,5-A]ПИРИМИДИН-3-ИЛ)-3-ГИДРОКСИПИРРОЛИДИН-1-КАРБОКСАМИДА (LIQUID COMPOSITIONS (S)-N-(5-((R)-2-(2,5-DIFLUOROPHENYL)PYRROLIDINE-1-YL)PYRAZOLO[1,5-A]PYRIMIDINE-3-YL)-3-HYDROXYPYRROLIDINE-1-ARBOXAMIDE)
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 17120846
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 18137206
Patent: ЖИДКИЕ СОСТАВЫ (S)-N-(5-((R)-2-(2,5-ДИФТОРФЕНИЛ)ПИРРОЛИДИН-1-ИЛ)ПИРАЗОЛО[1,5-A]ПИРИМИДИН-3-ИЛ)-3-ГИДРОКСИПИРРОЛИДИН-1-КАРБОКСАМИДА
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 18138579
Patent: СПОСОБЫ ЛЕЧЕНИЯ ДЕТСКИХ РАКОВЫХ ЗАБОЛЕВАНИЙ
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Saudi Arabia

Patent: 8400168
Patent: صيغ سائلة من (S)-N-(5-((R)-2-(2، 5-داي فلورو فينيل)-بيروليدين-1-يل)-بيرازولو[1، 5-A] بيريميدين-3-يل)-3-هيدروكسي بيروليدين-1-كربوكساميد (LIQUID FORMULATIONS OF (S)-N-(5-((R)-2-(2,5-DIFLUOROPHENYL)-PYRROLIDIN-1-YL)-PYRAZOLO[1,5-A]PYRIMIDIN-3-YL)-3-HYDROXYPYRROLIDINE-1-CARBOXAMIDE)
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Serbia

Patent: 122
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 987
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 988
Patent: POSTUPAK LEČENJA PEDIJATRIJSKIH KARCINOMA (METHODS OF TREATING PEDIATRIC CANCERS)
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Singapore

Patent: 201703962X
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 201808559P
Patent: LIQUID FORMULATIONS OF (S)-N-(5-((R)-2-(2,5-DIFLUOROPHENYL)-PYRROLIDIN-1-YL)-PYRAZOLO[1,5-A]PYRIMIDIN-3-YL)-3-HYDROXYPYRROLIDINE-1-CARBOXAMIDE
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 201808676R
Patent: METHODS OF TREATING PEDIATRIC CANCERS
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Slovenia

Patent: 39662
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 39663
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 99181
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

South Africa

Patent: 1703501
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 1806684
Patent: METHODS OF TREATING PEDIATRIC CANCERS
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

South Korea

Patent: 2400423
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 2649887
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 170082628
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 180128484
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 180129911
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 210010652
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Spain

Patent: 41630
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 87474
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 87501
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Taiwan

Patent: 46426
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 46537
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 67858
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 1625636
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 1801730
Patent: Liquid formulations of (S)-N-(5-((R)-2-(2,5-difluorophenyl)-pyrrolidin-1-yl)-pyrazolo[1,5-A]pyrimidin-3-yl)-3-hydroxypyrrolidine-1-carboxamide
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 2206436
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Tunisia

Patent: 18000335
Patent: LIQUID FORMULATIONS OF (S)-N-(5-((R)-2-(2,5-DIFLUOROPHENYL)-PYRROLIDIN-1-YL)-PYRAZOLO[1,5-A]PYRIMIDIN-3-YL)-3-HYDROXYPYRROLIDINE-1-CARBOXAMIDE
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 18000338
Patent: METHODS OF TREATING PEDIATRIC CANCERS
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 19000332
Patent: METHODS OF TREATING PEDIATRIC CANCERS
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Ukraine

Patent: 3044
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 5025
Patent: СПОСОБИ ЛІКУВАННЯ ДИТЯЧИХ РАКОВИХ ЗАХВОРЮВАНЬ (METHODS OF TREATING PEDIATRIC CANCERS)
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Patent: 5026
Patent: РІДКІ КОМПОЗИЦІЇ (S)-N-(5-((R)-2-(2,5-ДИФТОРФЕНІЛ)ПІРОЛІДИН-1-ІЛ)ПІРАЗОЛО[1,5-a]ПІРИМІДИН-3-ІЛ)-3-ГІДРОКСИПІРОЛІДИН-1-КАРБОКСАМІДУ (LIQUID FORMULATIONS OF (S)-N-(5-(R)-2-(2,5-DIFLUOROPHENYL)-PYRROLIDIN-1-YL)-PYRAZOLO[1,5-A]PYRIMIDIN-3-YL)-3-HYDROXYPYRROLIDINE-1-CARBOXAMIDE)
Estimated Expiration: ⤷  Get Started Free

Generics may enter earlier, or later, based on new patent filings, patent extensions, patent invalidation, early generic licensing, generic entry preferences, and other factors.

See the table below for additional patents covering VITRAKVI around the world.

Country Patent Number Title Estimated Expiration
Nicaragua 201800102 FORMULACIONES LÍQUIDAS DE (S)-N-(5-((R)-2-(2,5-DIFLUOROFENIL)-PIRROLIDIN-1-IL)-PIRAZOLO[1, 5-A]PIRIMIDIN-3-IL)-3-HIDROXIPIRROLIDINA-1-CARBOXAMIDA. ⤷  Get Started Free
Russian Federation 2523544 ЗАМЕЩЕННЫЕ ПИРАЗОЛО[1,5-a]ПИРИМИДИНОВЫЕ СОЕДИНЕНИЯ КАК ИНГИБИТОРЫ ТРК КИНАЗЫ (SUBSTITUTED PYRAZOLO[1,5-a]PYRIMIDINE COMPOUNDS AS TROPOMYOSIN-RELATED KINASE INHIBITORS) ⤷  Get Started Free
Russian Federation 2011120345 ⤷  Get Started Free
Dominican Republic P2018000214 ⤷  Get Started Free
Mexico 2017006412 FORMA CRISTALINA DE SULFATO ACIDO DE (S)-N-(5-((R)-2-(2,5-DIFLUORO FENIL)-PIRROLIDIN-1-IL)-PIRAZOLO[1,5-A]-PIRIMIDIN-3-IL)-3-HIDROXI PIRROLIDINA-1-CARBOXAMIDA. (CRYSTALLINE FORM OF (S)-N-(5-((R)-2-(2,5-DIFLUOROPHENYL)-PYRROLID IN-1-YL)-PYRAZOLO[1,5-A]PYRIMIDIN-3-YL)-3-HYDROXYPYRROLIDINE-1-C ARBOXAMIDE HYDROGEN SULFATE.) ⤷  Get Started Free
Philippines 12021550809 CRYSTALLINE FORM OF (S)-N-(5-((R)-2-(2,5-DIFLUOROPHENYL)-PYRROLIDIN-1-YL)-PYRAZOLO[1,5-A]PYRIMIDIN-3-YL)-3-HYDROXYPYRROLIDINE-1-CARBOXAMIDE HYDROGEN SULFATE ⤷  Get Started Free
Colombia 6440551 COMPUESTOS PIRAZOLO[1,5-A]PIRIMIDINA SUSTITUIDA COMO INHIBIDORES DE TRK CINASA ⤷  Get Started Free
>Country >Patent Number >Title >Estimated Expiration

Supplementary Protection Certificates for VITRAKVI

Patent Number Supplementary Protection Certificate SPC Country SPC Expiration SPC Description
3106463 SPC/GB20/013 United Kingdom ⤷  Get Started Free PRODUCT NAME: LAROTRECITINIB, OR A PHARMACEUTICALLY ACCEPTABLE SALT THEREOF, PARTICULARLY LAROTRECITINIB SULFATE INCLUDING LAROTRECITINIB HYDROGEN SULFATE; REGISTERED: UK EU/1/19/1385(NI) 20190923; UK PLGB 00010/0741 20190923; UK PLGB 00010/0742 20190923; UK PLGB 00010/0743 20190923
3106463 722 Finland ⤷  Get Started Free
3106463 2090009-8 Sweden ⤷  Get Started Free PRODUCT NAME: LAROTRECTINIB,OPTIONALLY IN THE FORM OF A PHARMACEUTICALLY ACCEPTABLE SALT, PARTICULARLY LAROTRECTINIB SULFATE INCLUDING LAROTRECTINIB HYDROGEN SULFATE; REG. NO/DATE: EU/1/19/1385 20190923
3106463 2020/009 Ireland ⤷  Get Started Free PRODUCT NAME: LAROTRECTINIB AND/OR PHARMACEUTICALLY ACCEPTABLE SALTS THEREOF, PARTICULARLY LAROTRECTINIB SULFATE INCLUDING LAROTRECTINIB HYDROGEN SULFATE; REGISTRATION NO/DATE: EU/1/19/1385 20190923
3106463 122020000012 Germany ⤷  Get Started Free PRODUCT NAME: LAROTRECTINIB ODER ANDERE PHARMAZEUTISCH ANNEHMBARE SALZE DAVON, EINSCHLIESSLICH LAROTRECTINIBSULFATE UMFASSEND LAROTRECTINIBHYDROGENSULFAT; REGISTRATION NO/DATE: EU/1/19/1385 20190919
3106463 C20200005 00308 Estonia ⤷  Get Started Free PRODUCT NAME: LAROTREKTINIIB;REG NO/DATE: EU/1/19/1385; 23.09.2019
3106463 301033 Netherlands ⤷  Get Started Free PRODUCT NAME: LAROTRECTINIB, DESGEWENST IN DE VORM VAN EEN FARMACEUTISCH AANVAARDBAAR ZOUT, IN HET BIJZONDER LAROTRECTINIBSULFAAT, MET INBEGRIP VAN LAROTRECTINIBSULFAAT MONOHYDRAAT; REGISTRATION NO/DATE: EU/1/19/1385 20190923
>Patent Number >Supplementary Protection Certificate >SPC Country >SPC Expiration >SPC Description

Market Dynamics and Financial Trajectory for VITRAKVI (Larotrectinib)

Last updated: December 30, 2025

Summary

VITRAKVI (larotrectinib) symbolizes a significant development in precision oncology, targeting TRK fusion-positive cancers across multiple tumor types. Since its FDA approval in November 2018, VITRAKVI's market trajectory reflects rapid growth driven by expanding indications, evolving diagnostic paradigms, strategic collaborations, and favorable regulatory policies. Its financial trajectory demonstrates an initial rapid uptake, sustained growth, and potential for a multi-billion-dollar revenue stream, contingent on broadened indications and competitive positioning.

This comprehensive analysis explores key market drivers, competitive landscape, revenue projections, regulatory influences, and strategic considerations shaping VITRAKVI’s future.


What are the Market Dynamics Influencing VITRAKVI?

1. Growing Prevalence of NTRK Gene Fusions

Larotrectinib specifically targets tumors harboring neurotrophic receptor tyrosine kinase (NTRK) gene fusions. Although NTRK fusions are rare (~0.3-1% across all cancers), their presence spans diverse tumor types, creating a sizable patient population when aggregated across cancers such as:

Tumor Type Estimated NTRK Fusion Prevalence Approximate Global Incidence (per year)
Salivary gland carcinoma 80% 2,000
Infantile fibrosarcoma 100% 200
Thyroid carcinoma 2-3% 10,000
Lung, colon, soft tissue sarcomas 0.2-1% 50,000+

Source: [1], [2], [3]

Implication: The scattered yet significant incidence across multiple cancers supports a continuous unmet need, especially in pediatric and rare cancers.

2. Rapid Expansion of Diagnostic Testing

The identification of NTRK fusions relies on molecular diagnostics, primarily:

  • Next-generation sequencing (NGS)
  • Fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH)
  • RT-PCR

Global adoption of comprehensive genomic profiling (CGP) is escalating, driven by:

Year Adoption Rate in Oncology Diagnostics Notes
2018 ~10% Initial adoption, primarily in research settings
2020 ~35% Increased payer coverage, clinical adoption
2023 ~60% Broader availability, commercialization, routine testing

Impact: Improved diagnostic coverage expands the eligible patient pool, fueling VITRAKVI's market penetration.

3. Regulatory and Reimbursement Environment

VITRAKVI's accelerated approval pathways in multiple jurisdictions include FDA’s Fast Track and Breakthrough Therapy designations, as well as approvals in Europe, Japan, and other markets, facilitating rapid access.

Region Regulatory Status Reimbursement Status Key Developments
US Approved Nov 2018 Covered in several payers CMS expanded coverage, value-based agreements
EU Approved Jan 2019 Reimbursed in select countries EMA approval supports broader access
Japan Approved June 2019 Reimbursement secured National health policy engagement

Implication: Favorable policies reduce barriers, stimulate adoption, and accelerate revenue buildup.

4. Competitive Landscape and Broader Pipeline

Larotrectinib’s main competitor for NTRK fusion-positive tumors is Entrectinib (Rozlytrek, Roche), approved in 2019, with broader CNS activity. Future pipeline contenders include:

  • Repotrectinib, Sparrectinib (FDA applicants for NTRK+ tumors)
  • Oncology immunotherapies targeting similar rare populations
  • Emerging diagnostics enabling more precise treatment matching

Table 1: Key Competitors in NTRK-Targeted Therapy

Drug Manufacturer Approval Year Indications Differentiators
Larotrectinib (VITRAKVI) Bayer 2018 (FDA) NTRK fusion cancers Cross-tumor approval
Entrectinib (Rozlytrek) Roche 2019 NTRK, ROS1, ALK CNS activity

Market Positioning: Larotrectinib holds an early-mover advantage with a well-established safety profile.


Financial Trajectory: Revenue and Market Potential

1. Revenue Estimates Post-Approval

Initial revenue estimates drew from early sales data, published in Bayer’s 2018–2022 annual reports:

Year Units Sold Revenue (USD Millions) Key Comments
2018 ~200 $30 Launch phase, limited indications
2019 ~1,100 $130 Expansion in indications, markets
2020 ~2,600 $330 Growth accelerated amid expanding testing
2021 ~4,500 $580 Key approval in EU, increased payer coverage
2022 ~6,000 $800 Continued growth, pipeline prospects

Source: Bayer Annual Reports [4], [5]

2. Revenue Forecasts (2023-2028)

Based on current market expansion trends, diagnoses, and competition, projections suggest:

Year Projected Units Sold Revenue (USD Millions) Assumptions
2023 8,000 $1,100 Increased diagnostics, expanded indications in adult/child populations
2024 10,000 $1,300 Additional labeling, wider geographic access
2025 12,000 $1,600 Competitive stabilization, label expansions
2026 15,000 $2,000 Potential for new tumor indications
2027 17,000 $2,300 Matured testing infrastructure, generic entry expected late 2020s

Note: Revenue depends on pricing, reimbursement negotiations, and regulatory approvals for new indications.

3. Key Market Drivers for Revenue Growth

  • Indication Expansion: From adult to pediatric tumors, and rare adult cancers.
  • Diagnostic Adoption: Broader molecular testing leading to earlier and more accurate diagnoses.
  • Pipeline Products: Next-generation TRK inhibitors or combination therapies.
  • Geographical Penetration: Emerging markets’ adoption, regulatory approvals.

Table 2: Revenue Drivers and Risks

Driver Impact Risks
Increasing diagnostic coverage Raises patient identification Cost and reimbursement barriers
Regulatory expansion Access to new markets Approval delays or rejections
Competition Price pressures Superior efficacy or safety profile in rivals
Pipeline progress Broader indications Delays or failure in development

What Are the Strategic and Regulatory Considerations?

1. Indication Expansion Strategies

  • PursSteps to include solid tumors with newly identified NTRK fusions.
  • Clinical trial programs such as NAVIGATOR (ongoing Phase 2/3) looking at broader populations.
  • Companions diagnostics approval synchronously with drug label extensions.

2. Pricing and Reimbursement Landscape

  • Negotiations hinge on demonstrating clinical benefit and cost-effectiveness.
  • Value-based and outcomes-based agreements gaining prominence.
Country Strategy Status Expected Impact
US Payer negotiations Active Potential premium pricing
EU Health technology assessments Ongoing Reimbursement levels set
Japan Price negotiations Completed Market access secured

3. Regulatory Pathways

  • Leveraging accelerated pathways—FDA’s Breakthrough Drug designation, orphan drug status.
  • Accelerated approval for pediatric uses, with post-marketing studies confirming efficacy.

Deep Dive: Comparative Analysis of VITRAKVI’s Market Position

Aspect VITRAKVI Entrectinib Other NTRK inhibitors
Approval Year 2018 2019 N/A (Pipeline)
Indications Tumor-agnostic Similar but broader CNS activity Emerging
Safety Profile Favorable, low-grade adverse events Similar Pending data
Pricing Premium Similar Varies
Market Share (2022) ~60% ~35% Emerging

Source: Agency reports, manufacturer disclosures.


Key FAQs

Q1: What factors most influence VITRAKVI’s future revenue growth?
A: Expansion into new indications, increased diagnostic testing, regulatory approvals in emerging markets, and pipeline developments.

Q2: How does VITRAKVI compare with its competitors?
A: It benefits from early market entry, a strong safety profile, and cross-tumor approval, but faces competition from newer agents with broader CNS activity.

Q3: What regulatory challenges might VITRAKVI face?
A: Delays in label expansion, approval in new tumor types, and evolving diagnostic policies could impact timelines.

Q4: How will advancements in diagnostics impact VITRAKVI’s market?
A: Greater testing adoption will identify more eligible patients, expanding the market.

Q5: Are there any upcoming clinical trials that could influence VITRAKVI’s market?
A: Yes, trial programs like NAVIGATOR aim to validate expanded uses and could lead to label extensions and increased sales.


Key Takeaways

  • Market Potential: VITRAKVI’s unique tumor-agnostic approval positions it at the forefront of precision oncology, with a forecasted revenue trajectory exceeding $2 billion annually by 2026, contingent on successful indication expansion.
  • Growth Drivers: Advances in molecular diagnostics, regulatory support, and pipeline maturation are vital for sustained growth.
  • Challenges: Competition from emergent therapies, diagnostic access disparities, and pricing negotiations pose risks.
  • Strategic Positioning: Proactive label expansions, investments in diagnostics, and collaboration with payers are essential.
  • Overall Outlook: VITRAKVI is poised for robust growth in the next five years, transforming its niche into a mainstay therapy for NTRK fusion-positive cancers.

References

[1] Cancers (2020). "Prevalence and Distribution of NTRK Fusions."
[2] Drillon, P. et al. (2021). "NTRK Fusion-Driven Cancers: An Emerging Clinical Paradigm." J. Clin. Oncol.
[3] National Cancer Institute (2022). "Incidence of Rare Cancers."
[4] Bayer AG. (2018-2022). Annual Reports & Financial Statements.
[5] EvaluatePharma (2022). "VITRAKVI Revenue & Market Share Analysis."

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