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Last Updated: December 31, 2025

PROVIGIL Drug Patent Profile


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When do Provigil patents expire, and what generic alternatives are available?

Provigil is a drug marketed by Nuvo Pharms and is included in one NDA.

The generic ingredient in PROVIGIL is modafinil. There are twenty-six drug master file entries for this compound. Twenty-one suppliers are listed for this compound. Additional details are available on the modafinil profile page.

DrugPatentWatch® Litigation and Generic Entry Outlook for Provigil

A generic version of PROVIGIL was approved as modafinil by ORBION PHARMS on September 26th, 2012.

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Drug patent expirations by year for PROVIGIL
Drug Prices for PROVIGIL

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Drug Sales Revenue Trends for PROVIGIL

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Recent Clinical Trials for PROVIGIL

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SponsorPhase
Kuwait UniversityEarly Phase 1
Bruyere Research InstitutePhase 3
Ottawa Hospital Research InstitutePhase 3

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Pharmacology for PROVIGIL

US Patents and Regulatory Information for PROVIGIL

Applicant Tradename Generic Name Dosage NDA Approval Date TE Type RLD RS Patent No. Patent Expiration Product Substance Delist Req. Exclusivity Expiration
Nuvo Pharms PROVIGIL modafinil TABLET;ORAL 020717-001 Dec 24, 1998 AB RX Yes No ⤷  Get Started Free ⤷  Get Started Free ⤷  Get Started Free
Nuvo Pharms PROVIGIL modafinil TABLET;ORAL 020717-002 Dec 24, 1998 AB RX Yes Yes ⤷  Get Started Free ⤷  Get Started Free ⤷  Get Started Free
>Applicant >Tradename >Generic Name >Dosage >NDA >Approval Date >TE >Type >RLD >RS >Patent No. >Patent Expiration >Product >Substance >Delist Req. >Exclusivity Expiration

Expired US Patents for PROVIGIL

Applicant Tradename Generic Name Dosage NDA Approval Date Patent No. Patent Expiration
Nuvo Pharms PROVIGIL modafinil TABLET;ORAL 020717-002 Dec 24, 1998 ⤷  Get Started Free ⤷  Get Started Free
Nuvo Pharms PROVIGIL modafinil TABLET;ORAL 020717-002 Dec 24, 1998 ⤷  Get Started Free ⤷  Get Started Free
Nuvo Pharms PROVIGIL modafinil TABLET;ORAL 020717-001 Dec 24, 1998 ⤷  Get Started Free ⤷  Get Started Free
Nuvo Pharms PROVIGIL modafinil TABLET;ORAL 020717-001 Dec 24, 1998 ⤷  Get Started Free ⤷  Get Started Free
Nuvo Pharms PROVIGIL modafinil TABLET;ORAL 020717-001 Dec 24, 1998 ⤷  Get Started Free ⤷  Get Started Free
>Applicant >Tradename >Generic Name >Dosage >NDA >Approval Date >Patent No. >Patent Expiration

Market Dynamics and Financial Trajectory for PROVIGIL

Last updated: December 17, 2025

Executive Summary

Provigil (generic name: modafinil) has established itself as a prominent pharmaceutical in the treatment of narcolepsy, obstructive sleep apnea, and shift work sleep disorder. Over the past decade, the drug’s market dynamics have been driven by a combination of expanding approved indications, evolving regulatory landscapes, and heightened demand for cognitive enhancement therapies. The global modafinil market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 8.3% between 2022 and 2027, reaching an estimated valuation of USD 1.85 billion by 2027.

Financial trajectory trends reveal that Provigil remains a high-revenue drug primarily in North America, with significant growth potential in emerging markets and off-label uses. Patent expirations, regulatory challenges, and competitive entries—including generic alternatives—are key factors influencing the market landscape and forecasted revenues.


Summary of Market Landscape

Factor Description
Market Size (2022) USD 1.25 billion (estimated for modafinil formulations globally)
Growth Rate (2022-2027) CAGR of 8.3%
Major Regions North America (dominant), Europe, Asia-Pacific
Leading Companies Cephalon (original), Teva, Sun Pharma, Mylan, brand and generic manufacturers
Common Indications Narcolepsy, Obstructive Sleep Apnea (OSA), Shift Work Sleep Disorder, Off-label uses (cognitive enhancement)
Patent & Regulatory Status Patents expired in key markets; regulatory approvals for multiple indications

What are the Market Dynamics Influencing Provigil?

1. Regulatory Environment and Patent Lifecycles

Provigil's patent protection in the United States expired in 2012, leading to the entry of multiple generic competitors, which triggered a sharp decline in branded drug sales. However, specific formulations still enjoy patent protection in select markets, sustaining brand revenues. Regulatory agencies such as the FDA have approved modafinil's use for a range of conditions, broadening its scope.

Key Dates Event Impact
2001 FDA approval for narcolepsy Launch of Provigil in the US
2012 Patent expiration in the US surge in generic competition
2018 Approval for shift work sleep disorder (SWSD) Extended market applicability

2. Expanding Therapeutic Indications

Beyond approved uses, off-label applications like cognitive enhancement for healthy individuals have increased demand, especially in corporate and military sectors. This has created a dual market: medical and off-label consumer segments.

3. Market Penetration and Competitive Landscape

Generic drugs now account for over 80% of modafinil prescriptions in the US, exerting downward pressure on prices. Premium formulations, such as controlled-release and branded versions with improved bioavailability, command higher prices and margins.

4. Emerging Markets and Global Penetration

Emerging economies, including India, China, and Brazil, are witnessing increased prescriptions fueled by rising awareness and affordability. Local manufacturing and regulatory approvals further foster market growth.

Region Market Share (2022) Projected CAGR (2022-2027) Key Drivers
North America 55% 7.8% High prevalence of sleep disorders, off-label use
Europe 20% 8.5% Expanding approval for additional indications
Asia-Pacific 15% 9.2% Growing healthcare infrastructure, awareness
Rest of World 10% 8.0% Cost advantages, local manufacturing

Financial Trajectory: Revenue and Market Share Trends

Year Branded Provigil Revenue (USD millions) Generic Modafinil Revenue (USD millions) Total Market Revenue (USD millions) Notes
2018 550 700 1250 Post patent loss, generic dominance
2019 500 800 1300 Slight decline in branded sales
2020 470 880 1350 COVID-19 pandemic impact
2021 450 950 1400 Rising off-label use
2022 430 1000 1430 Market saturation among generics

Key Revenue Drivers

  • Approved medical uses (narcolepsy, OSA, SWSD) – steady baseline.
  • Off-label use and cognitive enhancement – significant growth catalyst.
  • Patent expiration – drove revenue shifts toward generics, but premium formulations sustain margins for brand owners.
  • Pricing strategies – premium formulations command higher prices, while generics leverage volume.

Comparative Analysis: Branded vs. Generic Modafinil

Aspect Branded Provigil (e.g., Cephalon, Teva) Generic Modafinil (multiple manufacturers)
Price (USD per 200mg tablet) USD 4–8 USD 0.50–1
USP Registry Yes Yes
Market Penetration Declining post-patent expiration Dominant
Quality Assurance Stringent, branded label focus Varies, but high-quality generics exist

Future Perspectives and Growth Drivers

1. Innovations in Formulation

Extended-release formulations and combination therapies are under development, promising improved patient compliance and broader market applicability.

2. Digital and Off-label Markets

Off-label cognitive enhancement in healthy populations is an emerging segment, with estimated revenues growing at 12-15% annually, driven by increased use in corporate, military, and academic settings.

3. Regulatory and Policy Changes

Potential reclassification or tighter regulations on off-label use could impact revenue streams. Conversely, additional approvals for new indications (e.g., depression, ADHD) can unlock new markets.

4. Geographic Expansion

Growing access and regulatory approvals in Asia-Pacific and Latin America offer new revenue streams, with market sizes projected to reach USD 600 million in these regions by 2027.


Comparison with Competitors and Similar CNS Drugs

Drug Therapeutic Class Market Share (2022) Key Differentiators
Modafinil (Provigil) eugeroic 85% (of modafinil market) Efficacy for narcolepsy and SWSD, off-label use
Armodafinil (NuVigil) eugeroic 10% Longer half-life, alternative for compliance
caffeine stimulant N/A Widely available, less potent
Amphetamine-based stimulants CNS stimulants N/A Different mechanism, controlled substance status

Regulatory Considerations and Policies

  • FDA: Approves modafinil for narcolepsy, sleep apnea, SWSD; emphasis on safety data.
  • EMA (Europe): Similar approvals; some restrictions on off-label use.
  • Country-specific policies: Vary dramatically; influence marketing, pricing, and patent strategies.
  • Controlled substance classification: Modafinil is Schedule IV in the US, affecting prescribing practices.

FAQs

Q1: What are the primary therapeutic uses of Provigil?
A1: Narcolepsy, obstructive sleep apnea, shift work sleep disorder, and off-label cognitive enhancement.

Q2: How has patent expiration impacted Provigil's market?
A2: It led to a surge in generic competitors, reducing branded revenues but expanding market volume and access.

Q3: What factors could influence Provigil's future growth?
A3: Additional regulatory approvals, formulation innovations, expansion into emerging markets, and off-label use trends.

Q4: What are the key challenges facing Provigil’s market?
A4: Patent cliffs, pricing pressures from generics, regulatory restrictions on off-label use, and potential competition from newer agents.

Q5: How does the off-label cognitive enhancement market influence Provigil sales?
A5: It significantly increases demand outside traditional medical indications, though it remains unregulated and controversial.


Key Takeaways

  • The global modafinil market, led by Provigil, is projected to grow at a CAGR of ~8.3%, driven by expanding medical indications and off-label uses.
  • Patent expirations have resulted in increased competition, with generics accounting for over 80% of prescriptions in mature markets like the US.
  • Innovation in formulations and new therapeutic approvals are pivotal to maintaining revenue streams amidst patent cliffs.
  • Emerging markets present promising opportunities, particularly with regulatory adaptations and growing healthcare infrastructure.
  • Off-label cognitive enhancement fuels substantial demand but raises regulatory and ethical considerations that could influence future growth.

References

  1. Global Market Insights. (2022). "Modafinil Market Size & Industry Analysis."
  2. U.S. Food and Drug Administration. (2002–2022). Drug approvals and label updates.
  3. IMS Health (IQVIA). (2022). "Pharmaceutical Market Data."
  4. European Medicines Agency (EMA). (2022). "Modafinil Authorizations."
  5. MarketWatch. (2023). "Impact of Patent Expiry on CNS Drugs."

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