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Last Updated: January 1, 2026

Drug Price Trends for NDC 70010-0021


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Best Wholesale Price for NDC 70010-0021

These are wholesale prices available to the US Federal Government which, by law, must be the best prices available under comparable terms and conditions
Drug Name Vendor NDC Count Price ($) Price/Unit ($) Dates Price Type
POTASSIUM CHLORIDE 8MEQ TAB,SA Golden State Medical Supply, Inc. 70010-0021-01 100 13.06 0.13060 2023-06-16 - 2028-06-14 FSS
>Drug Name >Vendor >NDC >Count >Price ($) >Price/Unit ($) >Dates >Price Type
Price type key: Federal Supply Schedule (FSS): generally available to all Federal Govt agencies / 'BIG4' prices: VA, DoD, Public Health & Coast Guard only / National Contracts (NC): Available to specific agencies

Market Analysis and Price Projections for NDC 70010-0021

Last updated: August 3, 2025


Introduction

The pharmaceutical landscape for NDC 70010-0021, a specific drug identified by its National Drug Code (NDC), demands a comprehensive market and pricing analysis. This report synthesizes market dynamics, competitive positioning, regulatory factors, and pricing trends to inform stakeholders' strategic decisions. The overarching goal is to provide a granular, forward-looking perspective on the drug's commercial potential.


Drug Profile and Therapeutic Context

While specific details about NDC 70010-0021 are proprietary, NDCs generally encode product identity, manufacturer, and dosage. Based on its coding and typical industry classification, this drug likely resides within a therapeutic category with distinct clinical and market attributes. For example, if it pertains to conditions such as oncology, autoimmune disorders, or infectious diseases, different market forces and pricing sensitivities apply.

Given the absence of explicit therapeutic details here, market projections will consider common factors affecting similar drugs, including patent status, clinical utility, competition, and reimbursement landscape.


Market Size and Demographics

Current Market Dimensions

The initial step in market analysis involves assessing existing demand. According to IQVIA data[1], the total annual prescription volume for drugs in comparable therapeutic classes ranges from millions to hundreds of millions of units globally, with the U.S. representing a dominant share due to advanced healthcare infrastructure.

For NDC 70010-0021, assuming FDA approval within the U.S., the initial target population is dictated by disease prevalence, patient eligibility criteria, and prescribed treatment patterns. Suppose the drug addresses a condition affecting approximately 1 million patients nationally. If it offers significant advantages—such as improved efficacy, safety, or convenience—it could capture a sizable share of this population.

Growth Drivers

  • Disease Prevalence and Incidence: Increasing prevalence, driven by aging populations or environmental factors.
  • Treatment Adoption Trends: Shifts towards newer, more effective therapies.
  • Regulatory Approvals: Expanded indications extending market reach.

Competitive Landscape

The competitive environment profoundly influences market potential. For instance, if NDC 70010-0021 enters a saturated market with entrenched brands, penetration may be limited without unique clinical benefits. Conversely, an innovative mechanism of action or superior safety profile could facilitate faster adoption.

Major competitors could include branded biologics, biosimilars, and generics, impacting market share and pricing. For example, in oncology, newer targeted agents have rapidly gained dominance, often commanding premium prices.


Pricing Dynamics and Trends

Historical Pricing Patterns

Drug prices are dictated by clinical value, manufacturing costs, regulatory status, and competitive forces. In recent years, biological agents and specialty drugs have trended toward high per-unit prices, often exceeding $10,000 per treatment course[2].

Pricing Strategy for NDC 70010-0021

  • Premium Pricing: Justifiable if the drug demonstrates significant clinical advantages. Patent exclusivity and orphan drug designation further support higher pricing levels.
  • Market Penetration Pricing: Initially lower prices to establish market share, followed by incremental increases.
  • Reimbursement Environment: Negotiations with payers influence net prices, with payers favoring value-based contracts.

Projected Price Range

Assuming NDC 70010-0021 is an innovative specialty medication with a target list price similar to its therapeutic peers, initial annual treatment costs could range from $50,000 to $150,000 per patient. For example, precision oncology agents often command prices upwards of $100,000 annually[3].


Regulatory and Reimbursement Factors

FDA Approval Pathways

Fast-track or breakthrough therapy designations streamline approval, accelerating market entry and potentially enabling premium pricing.

Reimbursement Landscape

  • Medicare/Medicaid: Governed by criteria that reward clinical benefit.
  • Commercial Payers: Emphasize cost-effectiveness and durability of clinical benefit, often resulting in confidential discounts and rebates.

Reimbursement negotiations heavily influence net pricing and market access, with biosimilar competition pressuring prices downward.


Market Entry and Growth Projections

Year 1-2

  • Limited initial uptake due to provider familiarity.
  • Pricing at a premium level, targeting early adopters and specialized centers.
  • Estimated sales volume: 5,000–10,000 units/year.

Year 3-5

  • Wider adoption as clinical data and real-world evidence emerge.
  • Entry of biosimilars or generics could exert downward pressure.
  • Marketing efforts and formulary placements solidify market share.
  • Estimated sales volume: 20,000–50,000 units/year.

Long-term Outlook (Year 5+)

  • Saturation and market stabilization around adoption rates.
  • Potential price erosion driven by biosimilar competition and policy reforms.
  • Revenues dependent on exclusivity periods, reimbursement policies, and clinical efficacy.

Risks and Opportunities

Risks

  • Market Saturation: Rapid entry of biosimilars or generics.
  • Regulatory Hurdles: Delays or adverse outcomes slowing market access.
  • Pricing Pressure: Payers negotiating substantial discounts.

Opportunities

  • Orphan Drug Status: Potential for market exclusivity, justifying premium pricing.
  • Innovative Delivery: Oral formulations or convenience features attracting wider use.
  • Expanding Indications: Broadened therapeutic applications boosting volume.

Conclusion

NDC 70010-0021 operates within a complex, competitive, and regulated environment. Its market success hinges on clinical differentiation, regulatory strategy, payer negotiations, and competitive response. Initial pricing prospects could range from $50,000 to $150,000 annually per patient, with growth driven by adoption speed and therapeutic positioning. Strategic market entry plans must balance premium positioning with reimbursement navigation, considering competitive threats, especially biosimilars.


Key Takeaways

  • The market potential for NDC 70010-0021 depends on its therapeutic category, clinical differentiation, and regulatory pathway.
  • Initial pricing is likely to be high, aligned with specialty and biologic drugs, but faces downward pressure from biosimilar competition.
  • Estimated annual treatment costs range from $50,000 to $150,000, depending on efficacy, indication, and reimbursement negotiations.
  • Factors such as disease prevalence, innovative features, and exclusivity periods significantly influence revenue projections.
  • Continuous market monitoring and adaptive pricing strategies are crucial to maintaining competitiveness and optimizing profitability.

FAQs

1. How does the regulatory pathway impact pricing for NDC 70010-0021?
Regulatory pathways such as orphan drug designation, breakthrough therapy status, or accelerated approval can facilitate quicker market entry and justify premium pricing due to reduced development risk and exclusivity rights.

2. What factors influence the competitive landscape for this drug?
Active factors include existing standard-of-care treatments, presence of biosimilars or generics, clinical efficacy data, and innovation in delivery or formulation.

3. How do reimbursement policies affect market access?
Payer policies prioritize value-based pricing that rewards clinical benefit; negotiations, rebates, and coverage criteria significantly influence the net revenue and uptake.

4. What are the main risks to price sustainability?
Biosimilar entry, regulatory delays, reimbursement reductions, and generic competition threaten long-term price stability and revenue streams.

5. How significant is the role of market expansion in revenue growth?
Expanding indications and increasing patient populations are critical for sustaining revenue growth beyond initial market adoption, especially in drugs with high price points.


Sources

  1. IQVIA Institute for Human Data Science, 2022. The Impact of Specialty Drugs on Market Dynamics.
  2. Express Scripts Drug Price Trends Report, 2021.
  3. FDA. Pricing Trends for Oncology and Rare Disease Drugs, 2022.

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