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AUROVELA 1/20 Drug Patent Profile
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When do Aurovela 1/20 patents expire, and what generic alternatives are available?
Aurovela 1/20 is a drug marketed by Aurobindo Pharma and is included in one NDA.
The generic ingredient in AUROVELA 1/20 is ethinyl estradiol; norethindrone acetate. There are twenty-six drug master file entries for this compound. Twenty-six suppliers are listed for this compound. Additional details are available on the ethinyl estradiol; norethindrone acetate profile page.
AI Deep Research
Questions you can ask:
- What is the 5 year forecast for AUROVELA 1/20?
- What are the global sales for AUROVELA 1/20?
- What is Average Wholesale Price for AUROVELA 1/20?
Summary for AUROVELA 1/20
| US Patents: | 0 |
| Applicants: | 1 |
| NDAs: | 1 |
| Finished Product Suppliers / Packagers: | 1 |
| DailyMed Link: | AUROVELA 1/20 at DailyMed |
Pharmacology for AUROVELA 1/20
| Drug Class | Estrogen Progestin |
| Mechanism of Action | Estrogen Receptor Agonists |
US Patents and Regulatory Information for AUROVELA 1/20
| Applicant | Tradename | Generic Name | Dosage | NDA | Approval Date | TE | Type | RLD | RS | Patent No. | Patent Expiration | Product | Substance | Delist Req. | Exclusivity Expiration |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurobindo Pharma | AUROVELA 1/20 | ethinyl estradiol; norethindrone acetate | TABLET;ORAL-21 | 207506-001 | Jun 16, 2017 | AB | RX | No | No | ⤷ Start Trial | ⤷ Start Trial | ⤷ Start Trial | |||
| >Applicant | >Tradename | >Generic Name | >Dosage | >NDA | >Approval Date | >TE | >Type | >RLD | >RS | >Patent No. | >Patent Expiration | >Product | >Substance | >Delist Req. | >Exclusivity Expiration |
AUROVELA 1/20 Market Dynamics and Financial Trajectory (2019–2025): Competitive positioning, pricing pressure, and supply/IP exposure
AUROVELA 1/20 (ethinyl estradiol and norethindrone acetate tablets) sits in a mature, highly generics-exposed US oral contraceptive category. Financial trajectory since the early 2019–2020 window is dominated by (1) generic substitution and payer switching, (2) wholesaler buying-pattern volatility, and (3) episodic supply and product-manufacturing constraints for specific label strengths. From a revenue-risk standpoint, AUROVELA 1/20 behaves like a “low single-digit share” legacy brand with limited upside absent label expansion, a unique dosage form, or an explicit differentiated payer contract.
Because AUROVELA 1/20 is not a biologic and is not protected by a modern exclusivity regime at the product level, the key economic driver is not R&D-led growth. It is formulary access, net price realization, and volume retention versus AB-rated generics and alternative branded OCs.
What drives AUROVELA 1/20 demand in US oral contraception markets?
Short answer: AUROVELA 1/20 demand is driven by contraceptive adherence and payer formulary placement, with volume primarily retained through long-standing patient prescriber habits and pharmacy substitution controls rather than through clinical differentiation.
How do payers and pharmacy benefit managers influence volume
Oral contraceptives are typically managed through:
- Tiering rules (preferred vs non-preferred)
- Quantity limits and step edits in some plan designs
- Patient pay copay differentials favoring the lowest-cost AB-rated product
In practice, AUROVELA 1/20 faces continuous competitive pressure from generic EE/norethindrone acetate products that clear claims at lower net prices. The brand’s market survival depends on maintaining preferred status long enough to retain switching-sensitive patients.
What role do wholesaler buying patterns play
Oral contraceptive brands experience category-level stocking swings:
- Demand forecasting at the distributor level
- Anticipatory buys when supply risk emerges (manufacturing downtime, packaging line changes)
- Subsequent destocking that can depress shipped units even when end-user demand is steady
Net result: quarterly sales can swing even without a fundamental demand collapse.
What is the market structure for oral contraceptives
- Multiple AB-rated generics per active ingredient/dose strength
- Common interchangeability among EE/norethindrone acetate strengths and “therapeutic equivalents”
- Competition from both branded and generic products in adjacent EE/progestin combinations
This structure increases price competition and compresses gross-to-net over time.
How has pricing and net revenue for AUROVELA 1/20 evolved versus generic EE/norethindrone products?
Short answer: Net pricing pressure is structurally persistent because AUROVELA 1/20 competes with lower-cost AB-rated generics, and PBM contracting typically rebalances toward the cheapest preferred option.
What financial metrics matter most for this category
For mature OCs, the financial trajectory usually tracks:
- Net price per prescription (after rebates and chargebacks)
- Units per prescription (usually stable)
- Gross-to-net ratio trends (rising as payer leverage increases)
- Distribution share and fill-rate stability
In most mature OC segments, gross-to-net rises while list price stagnates or grows slowly, producing flat-to-declining net sales per unit over time.
Why AUROVELA 1/20 experiences margin compression
Even if wholesale acquisition cost (WAC) increases nominally:
- Rebates and incentives rise to defend placement
- Contracting pushes net pricing toward generics
- Pharmacy substitution erodes brand share
That dynamic produces a financial profile that looks like “reduced revenue per prescription” with intermittent unit shocks.
When do supply disruptions or manufacturing constraints change AUROVELA 1/20 sales?
Short answer: Sales spikes and subsequent drawdowns typically occur around disruptions: supply shortages can temporarily raise backorder conversions for the available product, followed by normalization and competitive re-switching.
Category-level manufacturing risk
Common triggers:
- Finished dose packaging line constraints
- Raw material procurement delays for EE/progestins
- Quality system events
- Labeling or regulatory changes requiring production holds
For legacy OCs, these risks can drive short, non-linear quarters. Financial trajectory should be analyzed on a trailing-12-month basis rather than single quarters.
What patent and exclusivity position affects AUROVELA 1/20 pricing power?
Short answer: AUROVELA 1/20’s long-term economics are weakly tied to patent exclusivity compared with the immediate AB-generic competitive landscape. The product is effectively in a post-exclusivity market where generics set the pricing floor.
Why patent leverage is limited for legacy OCs
Ethinyl estradiol and norethindrone acetate are mature actives with extensive generic competition. For a brand like AUROVELA 1/20, remaining protection (if any) is usually narrow and does not broadly prevent AB-rated competition across the core EE/progestin combination.
What this means for financial trajectory
- Any residual formulation or method-of-use protection would typically affect only a subset of claims, not the “headline” AB ability of generic competitors.
- Economic outcomes are therefore primarily dictated by contracting and substitution.
What generic entry risks exist for AUROVELA 1/20 and how do they affect revenue?
Short answer: Generic substitution risk is continuous and already realized for most EE/norethindrone acetate strengths. Remaining entry risk tends to be concentrated in:
- New applicants improving cost structure
- A competitor regaining supply after a disruption
- Re-positioning of preferred formulary tiers
Revenue impact mechanism
Generic entry or aggressive contracting typically:
- Raises switching rates
- Forces price concessions (rebates/discounts)
- Drops brand prescriptions share, with revenue decline lagging by 1 to 2 quarters
In mature OCs, this pattern is more persistent than episodic.
How does AUROVELA 1/20 compare with other oral contraceptive brands on financial durability?
Short answer: Brand durability tracks payer preference and supply reliability rather than clinical advantage. Most branded OCs face similar revenue compression once generics dominate share.
What differentiates winners
- Placement on commercial formularies as “preferred brand” despite generic availability
- Lower likelihood of manufacturing constraints
- Contracting that preserves net price per script above a threshold
- Stable patient recall via pharmacy-level substitution controls
AUROVELA 1/20’s outcome in this framework depends on its negotiated position with large PBMs and its ability to maintain supply continuity.
What is the competitive landscape for EE/norethindrone acetate tablets around AUROVELA 1/20?
Short answer: The competitive set is dominated by AB-rated generics and low-cost branded alternatives within EE/progestin combinations.
Key competitor categories
- Generic EE/norethindrone acetate tablets (multiple manufacturers)
- Other branded OCs with similar dosing regimens (where formulary position allows)
- Indirect competition from other contraceptive modalities that can siphon a small but persistent share over time (IUDs, implants, injectables)
Business implication
Direct unit competition is driven by AB substitution. Indirect competition affects long-term category growth, but for legacy oral tablets it usually changes mix more than total volume in the near term.
How should AUROVELA 1/20 revenue be forecast: scenario framework based on market mechanics
Short answer: Forecasting should be anchored on (1) prescription volume share and (2) net price realization after PBM rebates and chargebacks, with overlays for supply events.
Base-case model logic
- Assume continued share erosion versus preferred low-cost AB products
- Assume net price per script declines gradually with payer renegotiations
- Assume low single-digit net sales decline annually absent supply disruptions
Downside case
- PBM re-tiering or expanded preferred generic list
- Increased gross-to-net via rebate escalation to retain contracts
- Supply instability for AUROVELA 1/20 leading to lost fills
Upside case
- Contract renewal that preserves preferred brand status
- Temporary supply constraints among competing generics (backorder cover)
- Demand normalization after a period of category-level turbulence
What does this mean for licensing, litigation, and investment theses tied to AUROVELA 1/20?
Short answer: The main “deal lever” is formulary position and supply continuity, not exclusivity. Litigation or licensing centered on broad OC patents is less likely to be a primary value driver than in newer drug classes.
Commercial and regulatory angles
- Value is captured via commercial contracting and distribution execution
- Regulatory barriers are comparatively low for AB products because actives are mature
- The economic contest is a cost-and-access contest
Key Takeaways
- AUROVELA 1/20 operates in a mature EE/norethindrone acetate market where generic substitution and payer tiering are the dominant drivers of financial trajectory.
- Net revenue pressure is structural: gross-to-net typically rises as brands defend formulary placement against lower-cost AB products.
- Quarterly sales volatility is often tied to distributor inventory cycles and episodic supply constraints rather than step-change demand.
- Patent and exclusivity dynamics provide limited pricing leverage in this product class; contract position and supply reliability are the practical levers.
FAQs
-
Why do AUROVELA 1/20 sales fluctuate quarter to quarter even when end-user demand seems stable?
Distributor inventory cycles, backorder cover effects, and supply normalization events typically drive shipment timing. -
What PBM formulary mechanisms most strongly affect AUROVELA 1/20 net price realization?
Preferred tier placement, step edits/quantity limits, and rebate structures that shift as generic cheapest-option status changes. -
How does pharmacist substitution generally affect AUROVELA 1/20 prescription share?
Pharmacy-level substitution for AB-equivalent generics reduces brand share when patients are not constrained by a brand-only prescription. -
Does AUROVELA 1/20 face indirect competition from long-acting reversible contraceptives (LARC) more than other OCs?
Mix impacts exist across oral contraception cohorts, but for mature OCs the larger near-term driver is AB-generic substitution. -
What indicators best signal an approaching AUROVELA 1/20 revenue decline?
Contract changes that expand preferred generic lists, rising gross-to-net, and prescription share loss to lower-cost AB products.
References
- FDA. Orange Book: Approved Drug Products with Therapeutic Equivalence Evaluations. U.S. Food and Drug Administration.
- FDA. Drug Shortages (Archived and Current Shortages). U.S. Food and Drug Administration.
- IQVIA/Industry market research reports on oral contraceptives (EE/progestin combination) and generic penetration (accessed via public summaries where available).
- FDA. Guidance for Industry: ANDA Submissions and Therapeutic Equivalence. U.S. Food and Drug Administration.
- Public PBM formulary and contracting frameworks for specialty and generic tiers (publicly available summaries).
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