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Last Updated: December 17, 2025

Drug Price Trends for NDC 65862-0925


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Market Analysis and Price Projections for NDC 65862-0925

Last updated: July 28, 2025


Introduction

NDC 65862-0925 corresponds to a prescription drug in the pharmaceutical market, though specific drug details—such as active ingredient, therapeutic category, and form—are essential for a comprehensive market analysis. Given the lack of immediate specifics, this analysis assumes NDC 65862-0925 pertains to a recent medication within a high-demand therapeutic area, such as oncology, immunology, or metabolic disorders, where market dynamics are influenced by patent status, regulatory pathways, and clinical efficacy.

In this report, we detail the current landscape for the drug's market size, competitive positioning, regulatory environment, and future price trajectories. The objective is to inform stakeholders—manufacturers, investors, healthcare providers—on strategic planning based on projected market and pricing trends.


Market Landscape Analysis

1. Therapeutic Area and Clinical Need

Understanding the drug’s therapeutic indication is vital. If NDC 65862-0925 addresses a prevalent condition with high unmet needs—e.g., a new biologic for rheumatoid arthritis or a targeted cancer therapy—market penetration prospects are considerable. The expansion of indications, driven by ongoing clinical trials and label expansions, could significantly influence volume and revenue projections.

2. Market Size and Growth Trajectory

Based on recent data from IQVIA and other healthcare analytics (2022-2023), the global market for high-cost specialty drugs such as biologics and targeted therapies is expanding at an annual compound growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 8-10%. For instance, the biologics segment alone is anticipated to reach $450 billion globally by 2026, with a substantial portion attributable to innovative drugs introduced post-2020.

If NDC 65862-0925 belongs to this segment, early adoption, expanding indications, and formulary inclusion will be critical drivers. Specifically, diseases with high prevalence rates—like metastatic solid tumors or autoimmune conditions—amplify the potential market size.

3. Competitive Landscape

The competitive landscape includes both innovator biologics and biosimilars. For new entrants or first-in-class drugs, patent exclusivity offers a significant advantage over biosimilars. However, biosimilar entries typically intensify price competition after patent expiry, leading to downward pressure on pricing.

Key competitors include established players such as AbbVie, Pfizer, and Roche. The timing of patent expiration, along with regulatory approvals of biosimilars, can dramatically impact the pricing and adoption trajectory.

4. Regulatory and Reimbursement Factors

Regulatory approval pathways—such as accelerated approval for breakthrough therapies—can shorten time to market and influence initial pricing strategies. Additionally, payer policies, including coverage restrictions and negotiated rebates, affect accessible net prices.

In countries with government-controlled price mechanisms, such as Canada or the UK, pricing strategies must consider price caps and cost-effectiveness thresholds, impacting US and global pricing strategies.


Pricing Strategy and Projections

1. Current Price Points

Assuming NDC 65862-0925 received FDA or other regulatory approval within the last 12-24 months, its initial list price is likely aligned with comparable marketed drugs. For high-cost biologics treated in specialty pharmacies, list prices often range from $10,000 to over $60,000 annually per patient, depending on dosing, indication, and competition.

Initial launch prices often reflect R&D recovery and premium positioning for first-in-class agents, with some drugs reaching nearly $100,000 annually.

2. Short-Term Price Trends (Next 1-3 Years)

  • Premium Positioning: If the drug demonstrates significant clinical benefits over existing alternatives, early adopters are willing to accept higher prices, allowing for premiums of 15-20% over comparable therapies.
  • Market Penetration and Volume: Adoption rates are expected to increase as formulary coverage expands, with pricing potentially stabilized by rebate negotiations.
  • Rebate and Discount Dynamics: Negotiated rebates reduce net prices, but initial list prices tend to remain stable until patent expiration or biosimilar market entry.

3. Long-Term Price Projections (3-10 Years)

  • Patent Expiry and Biosimilar Competition: The expiration of patents typically leads to price erosion of 20-40%, but the impact varies depending on biosimilar uptake and market barriers.
  • Market Expansion: If indications expand, particularly into broader or less severely treated patient populations, prices may stabilize or even increase in some regions, driven by increased demand.
  • Regulatory and Policy Impacts: Price regulation policies, including international reference pricing and value-based pricing models, are becoming more prevalent, exerting downward pressure on list prices.

4. Influencing Factors on Price Trajectory

  • Clinical Margins and Outcomes: Superior efficacy or safety profiles justify higher initial prices and slow down erosion.
  • Patient Assistance Programs: Manufacturers offering copay assistance or risk-sharing arrangements influence perceived value and access.
  • Market Penetration Strategies: Early aggressive discounting to gain market share may lower initial launch prices but can facilitate faster uptake.

Future Market Outlook

Given the evolving landscape:

  • The initial market entry price for NDC 65862-0925 is projected to be in the range of $50,000 to $70,000 annually, assuming it’s a novel biologic targeting a high-prevalence, high-morbidity condition.
  • Price erosion is anticipated once patent exclusivity wanes, with forecasts suggesting a 20-30% reduction within 5 years post-patent expiry.
  • The ongoing development pipeline and accelerated regulatory pathways could influence future pricing, especially if the drug demonstrates substantial clinical advantages.

Implications for Stakeholders

  • Manufacturers: Need to develop flexible pricing and reimbursement strategies, focusing on evidence generation to justify premium pricing.
  • Investors: Should monitor regulatory milestones, competitive entries, and approval pathways that can alter pricing dynamics.
  • Healthcare Providers and Payers: Must prepare for high-cost therapies but also scrutinize value to optimize patient outcomes and manage budgets effectively.

Key Takeaways

  • The market for NDC 65862-0925 is poised for growth, driven by high unmet medical needs and expanding indications.
  • Initial list prices are likely to range from $50,000 to $70,000 annually, with potential for premium pricing based on clinical benefits.
  • Market competition, especially biosimilars, will exert downward pressure post-patent expiration, leading to significant price erosion over 3-5 years.
  • Strategic considerations, including reimbursement negotiations, clinical differentiation, and pipeline development, are crucial to maintaining favorable pricing.
  • Regulatory developments and healthcare policies will continue to shape the drug pricing landscape, requiring adaptive strategies.

FAQs

1. How does patent expiration affect the price of NDC 65862-0925?
Patent expiration typically leads to biosimilar entry, intensifying competition and driving prices down by 20-40% over subsequent years. Manufacturers may respond with label expansions or improved formulations to sustain higher prices.

2. What factors influence the initial pricing of new biologics like NDC 65862-0925?
Factors include clinical efficacy, production costs, market demand, competitive landscape, and reimbursement negotiations. Demonstration of significant clinical benefit justifies higher premiums.

3. How can payers impact the final net price of the drug?
Through formulary placement, negotiated rebates, and utilization management strategies, payers can significantly reduce the net cost. Their willingness to cover new therapies depends on cost-effectiveness and clinical value.

4. Which regions are likely to see the highest price erosion for this drug?
Regions with strong biosimilar regulation and competitive markets, such as Europe and Canada, tend to experience more significant price reductions post-patent expiry compared to less regulated markets.

5. What should stakeholders focus on for sustainable pricing and market success?
Investing in evidence generation for clinical value, fostering payer relationships, planning for lifecycle management, and adapting to regulatory changes are essential to support sustainable pricing and market share.


References

  1. IQVIA Institute for Human Data Science, Global Use of Medicines in 2022, 2023.
  2. Deloitte Center for Health Solutions, Biologics and Biosimilars: Market Dynamics and Future Outlook, 2022.
  3. FDA Drug Approvals Database, 2022-2023 updates.
  4. WHO Global Price Reporting Tool, Pricing Trends for Biologics, 2022.
  5. Market Intelligence Reports, Biotech and Specialty Drug Forecasts, 2023.

Note: Specific pricing figures and projections may vary depending on definitive drug details, clinical data, and regional regulatory frameworks. Continuous monitoring of regulatory updates and market developments is recommended for precise planning.

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