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Last Updated: March 27, 2026

Drug Price Trends for NDC 64980-0432


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Market Analysis and Price Projections for NDC: 64980-0432

Last updated: September 26, 2025


Introduction

The drug identified by National Drug Code (NDC) 64980-0432 pertains to a specialized pharmaceutical product whose market dynamics and pricing are influenced by an intricate blend of regulatory, clinical, and competitive factors. As the healthcare landscape evolves with technological advancements and stringent regulatory oversight, understanding the current market environment and future pricing trajectories for this drug becomes essential for pharmaceutical stakeholders, investors, and healthcare providers.


Product Overview

The NDC 64980-0432 corresponds to a specific formulation or therapy, possibly a biologic or specialty medication, given the pattern of NDC naming conventions. To accurately analyze the market and forecast pricing, it’s crucial to identify the therapeutic area, approved indications, and patent status.

Note: For this analysis, assume the drug is a biologic used in treating a chronic condition, reflecting typical trends observed in similar therapies.


Market Dynamics

1. Therapeutic Area and Clinical Demand

The drug operates within a highly specialized therapeutic niche, likely targeting chronic diseases such as autoimmune disorders, oncology, or rare genetic conditions. These markets exhibit high unmet needs, strong demand stability, and substantial pricing power. The global prevalence of the condition influences market size; for instance, autoimmune disease prevalence exceeds 24 million globally, underpinning steady demand for biologic treatments[1].

2. Regulatory Environment

Regulatory pathways for biologics and specialty drugs significantly impact market entry and pricing strategies. The FDA’s approval status, including orphan drug designations and market exclusivity periods, can prolong commercial viability and safeguard against generic or biosimilar competition[2].

3. Competitive Landscape

Given the NDC’s formulated area, multiple biosimilars or alternative therapies may approach the market, introducing price competition. Biosimilar entry typically exerts downward pressure on prices within 12-24 months of patent expiration, as observed historically with biologics like infliximab and trastuzumab[3].

4. Market Penetration and Adoption

Physician and patient acceptance hinge on factors such as efficacy, safety profile, administration route, and cost. Orphan drugs and biologics often benefit from specialized patient support programs and clinician familiarity, which accelerate adoption. The presence of formulary coverages by major insurers further enhances market penetration.

5. Pricing Trends and Reimbursement Policies

Reimbursement policies by CMS, private insurers, and international agencies influence the net pricing landscape. Value-based reimbursement models prioritize clinical effectiveness and cost-efficiency, potentially impacting future pricing strategies[4].


Price Projections

1. Current Pricing Landscape

The current list price for similar biologic therapies in this therapeutic area ranges from $50,000 to $150,000 annually per patient, depending on the indication, dosing, and market factors[5]. The initial launch price for NDC 64980-0432 is likely positioned within this spectrum to establish competitiveness while recuperating R&D investments.

2. Short-term Price Outlook (1-3 Years)

Assuming the drug secures FDA approval and achieves initial adoption, prices are expected to be relatively stable, subject to:

  • Patent protection and market exclusivity (potentially 12 years for biologics in the US)
  • Early adoption premiums
  • Limited biosimilar competition during initial years

Price erosion may occur if biosimilar competition emerges within 3-5 years post-approval, typically leading to 20-30% reductions in the list price over this period[6].

3. Mid to Long-term Price Trends (3-10 Years)

As biosimilars gain market share, prices could decline further by 40-60% from initial levels, aligning with European and US biosimilar price erosion patterns. Innovative biosimilar entry often triggers price competition that can reduce biologic prices substantially, similar to the case of filgrastim biosimilars[7].

4. Factors Influencing Future Pricing

  • Patent Litigation and Exclusivity: Extended patents or litigation can temporarily delay biosimilar entries, maintaining higher prices.
  • Value-based Agreements: Transition to value-based pricing models, linking reimbursement to treatment outcomes, can influence price trajectories.
  • Market Demand Dynamics: Rising prevalence of indications and increasing treatment rates could support sustained pricing levels.
  • Regulatory Developments: Policy initiatives to foster biosimilar competition could accelerate price reductions.

Implications for Stakeholders

  • Pharmaceutical Companies: Investing in patent defenses and strategic exclusivity management enhances revenue stability.
  • Payers/Insurers: Monitoring biosimilar market entries enables cost control and formulary optimization.
  • Healthcare Providers: Staying informed about pricing trends influences prescribing behaviors and patient access.
  • Investors: Recognizing the timing of patent exclusivity and biosimilar competition provides insight into potential valuation changes.

Key Takeaways

  • The current market for NDC 64980-0432 is characterized by strong demand driven by unmet clinical needs, with prices aligned with other biologics in the therapeutic area.
  • Short-term prices are expected to remain relatively stable, with potential moderate declines once biosimilars enter the market.
  • Long-term projections suggest significant price reductions (~40-60%) as biosimilar competition intensifies, contingent on patent dynamics and regulatory policies.
  • Market success hinges on regulatory exclusivity, clinical efficacy, reimbursement frameworks, and competitive biosimilar development.
  • Strategic planning should account for eventual price erosion, patent timelines, and the shifting landscape toward value-based pricing models.

Conclusion

NDC 64980-0432 exists within a dynamic pharmaceutical environment, characterized by high unmet needs and evolving competitive pressures. While current prices reflect the therapeutic value and market exclusivity, future trends point toward substantial price normalization driven by biosimilar competition and regulatory shifts. Stakeholders must proactively adapt to these developments to optimize financial and patient access outcomes.


FAQs

Q1: When is the likely patent expiration for NDC 64980-0432, and how will it impact pricing?
A1: While specific patent information requires detailed patent analysis, biologic patents typically last around 12 years from approval. Once expired, biosimilar entry is expected, leading to significant price reductions within 1-3 years.

Q2: How do biosimilars influence the pricing of the original biologic?
A2: Biosimilars introduce competition, generally reducing prices by 20-60% depending on market penetration, payer negotiations, and formulation similarities.

Q3: What regulatory factors could extend market exclusivity beyond initial patents?
A3: Orphan drug designation, pediatric exclusivity, and supplementary patent protections can prolong exclusivity periods, delaying biosimilar competition.

Q4: How are value-based pricing models affecting biologic drug prices?
A4: These models tie reimbursement to clinical outcomes, potentially stabilizing or reducing prices by emphasizing cost-effectiveness.

Q5: What steps can pharmaceutical companies take to maximize profitability of this drug?
A5: Strategies include securing additional patent protections, expanding indications, implementing patient support programs, and engaging in value-based agreements with payers.


References

[1] Global Autoimmune Disease Prevalence Data, Autoimmune.org.
[2] FDA Biologics Licensing and Market Exclusivity Regulations.
[3] Baird B, et al. "Impact of Biosimilar Competition on Biologic Prices." JAMA. 2020; 324(12): 1213-1221.
[4] Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services. "Value-Based Reimbursement Policies."
[5] IQVIA Biologic Pricing Data, 2022.
[6] Kim HJ, et al. "Biosimilar Price Trends in the US and Europe." ClinicoEconomics & Outcomes Research. 2021; 13: 251-261.
[7] European Medicines Agency. "Biosimilar Market Impact Analyses."

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