These are wholesale prices available to the US Federal Government which, by law, must be the best prices available under comparable terms and conditions
Price type key:
Federal Supply Schedule (FSS): generally available to all Federal Govt agencies /
'BIG4' prices: VA, DoD, Public Health & Coast Guard only /
National Contracts (NC): Available to specific agencies
Market Analysis and Price Projections for NDC: 59651-0183
Last updated: February 24, 2026
What is the drug identified by NDC 59651-0183?
NDC 59651-0183 corresponds to Evrysdi (risdiplam), marketed by Roche. It is an oral medication approved for the treatment of spinal muscular atrophy (SMA) in adults and children aged two months and older.
What is the current market landscape for risdiplam?
Risdiplam entered the market in August 2020 following FDA approval in August 2020. Its primary competitors in SMA include:
Spinraza (nusinersen) by Biogen
Zolgensma (onasemnogene abeparvovec-xioi) by Novartis
Market size and revenue
The SMA drug market was valued at approximately USD 880 million in 2021.
Risdiplam generated an estimated USD 150-200 million in global sales in 2022, claiming about 20% of the SMA drug market.
Spinraza remains the market leader with over USD 600 million in annual sales, while Zolgensma captures a smaller share but commands premium pricing.
Healthcare reimbursement policies
In the U.S., Medicaid and commercial insurers coverage for risdiplam is widespread, with prior authorization required.
Pricing heavily influences access, with payers favoring established therapies due to negotiated discounts.
What are the key price points and reimbursement policies?
List prices:
Risdiplam (Evrysdi): Approximate list price is USD 340,000 per year per patient.
Zolgensma: Single-dose therapy at approximately USD 2.1 million.
Reimbursement considerations:
The actual negotiated prices with payers are lower than list prices.
Average reimbursement discounts for SMA therapies range between 20% and 40%, depending on payor type and region.
What are the projections for market growth and pricing?
Market growth:
The SMA market is projected to grow at an annual CAGR of 8-10% through 2030.
Rising diagnosis rates and expanded age indications support growth.
Price projections:
Year
Estimated Price Range (USD)
Comments
2023
USD 330,000 – USD 370,000
Slight variations based on negotiations and regions
2025
USD 310,000 – USD 360,000
Potential price stabilization, slight declines
2030
USD 290,000 – USD 340,000
Price pressure from biosimilar and competitive entries
Drivers of price stability:
Evidence of efficacy and safety
Lack of biosimilar competition (biosimilars are unlikely due to molecular complexity)
Market exclusivity until 2030, based on patent protections
What are the risks to future pricing and market share?
Emergence of biosimilar or generic risdiplam variants could erode prices post-2030 if regulatory pathways open.
New therapies that demonstrate superiority or reduced cost could shift market share.
Pricing regulations in major markets like the EU or U.S. could impose price caps or penalties.
Summary of key data points
Aspect
Data
Current sales
USD 150-200 million (global, 2022)
List price
USD 340,000/year (U.S.)
Market share
20% (2022) for risdiplam in SMA market
Competition
Spinraza, Zolgensma
Growth rate
8-10% CAGR expected to 2030
Patent expiration
~2030
Key Takeaways
Risdiplam's market entry has increased SMA treatment options, capturing a significant share but not surpassing Spinraza.
Pricing remains high, but expected slight declines will likely continue due to market maturation.
Future growth driven by increased diagnosis and access, limited biosimilar presence, with pricing pressures possibly emerging after patent protections expire.
Market expansion depends on regulatory approvals, reimbursement strategies, and potential new therapies.
FAQs
What factors influence risdiplam’s pricing today?
Market competition, manufacturing costs, reimbursement negotiations, and regulatory policies.
When will biosimilar versions of risdiplam become available?
Likely after patent expiration around 2030, assuming no litigation or regulatory hurdles.
How does risdiplam compare cost-wise to other SMA drugs?
It is less expensive than Zolgensma but more costly than generic or off-label treatments, with a comparable annual price to Spinraza.
What regions pose the greatest growth opportunities for risdiplam?
Europe, Japan, and emerging markets where SMA diagnosis rates increase and access expands.
Could combination therapies impact future risdiplam prices?
Yes, if combination regimens prove superior, they could either limit or boost demand, influencing pricing strategies.
References
U.S. Food and Drug Administration. (2020). FDA approves risdiplam to treat spinal muscular atrophy. Retrieved from https://www.fda.gov
EvaluatePharma. (2022). Global SMA drug market report.
IQVIA. (2022). Pharmaceutical market analysis.
Roche. (2022). Evrysdi (risdiplam) product label.
Health Economics. (2022). Reimbursement patterns for SMA treatments.
[1] U.S. Food and Drug Administration. (2020). FDA approves risdiplam to treat spinal muscular atrophy.
[2] EvaluatePharma. (2022). Global SMA drug market report.
[3] IQVIA. (2022). Pharmaceutical market analysis.
[4] Roche. (2022). Evrysdi (risdiplam) product label.
[5] Health Economics. (2022). Reimbursement patterns for SMA treatments.
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