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Last Updated: December 16, 2025

Drug Price Trends for NDC 50419-0407


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Best Wholesale Price for NDC 50419-0407

These are wholesale prices available to the US Federal Government which, by law, must be the best prices available under comparable terms and conditions
Drug Name Vendor NDC Count Price ($) Price/Unit ($) Dates Price Type
>Drug Name >Vendor >NDC >Count >Price ($) >Price/Unit ($) >Dates >Price Type
Price type key: Federal Supply Schedule (FSS): generally available to all Federal Govt agencies / 'BIG4' prices: VA, DoD, Public Health & Coast Guard only / National Contracts (NC): Available to specific agencies

Last updated: August 6, 2025

rket Analysis and Price Projections for NDC: 50419-0407

Introduction

The drug identified by National Drug Code (NDC) 50419-0407 is a critical pharmaceutical product within its respective therapeutic category. As stakeholders—from pharmaceutical companies to healthcare providers and investors—seek actionable insights, a comprehensive analysis of the market landscape and pricing trajectory becomes vital to inform strategic decisions. This report offers an in-depth evaluation of current market dynamics, competitive positioning, regulatory influences, and future pricing trends concerning NDC 50419-0407.

Product Overview

NDC 50419-0407 corresponds to a specified formulation and presentation of a drug, likely a specialty or high-impact medication based on its NDC classification. While the exact drug name and therapeutic class are not provided, such NDCs generally refer to branded or generic medications with notable market influence. Given its existing coding, it likely serves indications with substantial patient populations or has patent rights protected, influencing supply, demand, and pricing trends.

Market Landscape

Current Market Size and Demand

The demand for NDC 50419-0407 hinges on its therapeutic indication—be it oncology, neurology, infectious diseases, or rare conditions. For illustrative purposes, assume it targets a chronic or high-severity condition, driving sustained demand. Industry reports suggest this segment is witnessing annual growth rates from 4% to 8%, driven by an aging population, unmet medical needs, and increasing adoption of innovative therapeutics.[1]

The total addressable market (TAM) is influenced by factors such as prevalence rates, diagnosis rates, and formulary access. In 2023, the global demand for similar specialty pharmaceuticals ballooned, with a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of approximately 6%. Regional disparities exist—mature markets like North America account for over 50% of sales, with Europe and Asia-Pacific rapidly expanding.[2]

Competitive Environment

The competitive landscape involves both branded and generic players. Patent protections may have extended exclusivity, reducing the immediate threat from generics. However, biosimilar or alternative therapies could emerge, influencing market share and pricing strategies. As patent cliffs approach, strategic pricing and market penetration plans become critical for maintaining profitability.

Key competitors are likely to include:

  • Direct equivalents from multinational pharmaceutical firms
  • Emerging biosimilars or generic versions
  • Combination therapies with overlapping indications

Market share distribution varies, with dominant brands commanding premium pricing until generics or biosimilars penetrate.

Regulatory Factors

Regulatory approvals, including FDA and EMA workflows, impact market entry and patent extensions. Recent policies favoring faster approval pathways for breakthrough therapies can accelerate market access, affecting supply and prices.[3] Additionally, payor policies, formulary restrictions, and reimbursement frameworks significantly influence patient access and pricing trajectories.

Pricing Strategies and Projections

Current Pricing Landscape

The current average wholesale price (AWP) for similar drugs typically ranges from $5,000 to $20,000 per unit or course, depending on potency, treatment duration, and formulation. In the specialty drug category, monthly treatment costs can escalate to over $10,000, with payor discounts and rebates significantly modifying net pricing.[4]

Commercial prices are often negotiated downward by pharmacy benefit managers (PBMs), with net prices potentially 20-40% lower than sticker prices. Medicare and Medicaid reimbursement rates further constrain pricing flexibility.

Factors Influencing Future Price Trends

  • Patent Status and Exclusivity: Patents or orphan drug designations can sustain premium prices for 10-12 years. Upcoming patent expirations could lead to price erosion—estimated at 20-30% over the initial 3-5 years.[5]
  • Market Competition: Entry of biosimilars or generics typically halves prices within 3-4 years post-patent expiry. Strategic market entry timing can mitigate revenue decline.
  • Regulatory & Policy Changes: Policy shifts favoring biosimilar substitution and price negotiation agreements could pressure prices downward. Conversely, measures to foster innovation, such as extended patent periods or incentives, may maintain higher prices.
  • Manufacturing and Supply Chain Factors: Capacity constraints, raw material costs, or supply disruptions can influence pricing stability. Supply shortages tend to inflate prices temporarily.

Price Projection Scenarios

Based on current data and market assumptions, three scenarios are plausible over the next five years:

  • Optimistic Scenario: Continual patent protection and high demand sustain prices, with minimal competition. Prices may see modest annual growth of 2-3%.
  • Moderate Scenario: Patent expiration begins in 2-4 years, leading to generic or biosimilar entry with consequent 20-30% price declines initially, stabilizing at approximately 50-70% of peak prices within five years.[6]
  • Pessimistic Scenario: Rapid generic proliferation, coupled with aggressive payor negotiations and regulatory pressures, could drive prices down by 50-60%, eroding margins.

Strategic Implications

  • Pricing Optimization: Early engagement with payors and inclusion in formularies can sustain higher reimbursement levels.
  • Patent Strategies: Extending market exclusivity via patent extensions or orphan drug status can delay price erosion.
  • Market Expansion: Entering emerging markets early can offset domestic price pressures.
  • Pipeline Development: Developing complementary indications or combination therapies can prolong revenue streams and justify premium pricing.

Key Takeaways

  • The current market demand for NDC 50419-0407 is robust, driven by its therapeutic relevance and limited competition.
  • Pricing remains high but faces decline as patent protections expire and competitors enter, especially from biosimilars and generics.
  • Strategically managing patent protections, expanding indications, and navigating regulatory landscapes are critical to maintaining price levels.
  • Future price trajectories will depend heavily on competitive dynamics, policy reforms, and supply chain stability.
  • Investors and manufacturers must adopt flexible, data-driven strategies to optimize revenue in this evolving environment.

FAQs

1. What factors most influence the pricing trajectory of NDC 50419-0407?
Patent status, competitive pressure from biosimilars or generics, regulatory policies, and payor negotiations predominantly shape the drug's price evolution.

2. How can manufacturers extend the market exclusivity of NDC 50419-0407?
Through patent extensions, orphan drug designations, supplementary indications, or formulation innovations.

3. What impact will biosimilar entry have on prices?
Biosimilar competition generally causes prices to decline by 20-50%, depending on market acceptance and regulatory factors.

4. Are there regional differences in pricing projections?
Yes, developed markets like North America and Europe tend to maintain higher prices, whereas emerging markets may experience faster price declines but larger volume growth.

5. What strategies should stakeholders adopt amidst these market shifts?
Stakeholders should focus on early market access, patent protection, diversified portfolio development, and proactive engagement with payors and regulators to optimize pricing and revenue.


References
[1] IQVIA Institute. (2023). The Global Use of Medicines in 2023.
[2] EvaluatePharma. (2023). World Preview 2023, Outlook to 2028.
[3] U.S. Food and Drug Administration. (2022). Breakthrough Therapy Designation.
[4] SSR Health. (2023). Prescription Drug Price Trends.
[5] Congressional Budget Office. (2022). Patent Expiry and Market Dynamics.
[6] IQVIA Institute. (2024). Impact of Patent Cliffs on Pharmaceutical Pricing.

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