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Last Updated: December 12, 2025

Drug Price Trends for NDC 42794-0028


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Best Wholesale Price for NDC 42794-0028

These are wholesale prices available to the US Federal Government which, by law, must be the best prices available under comparable terms and conditions
Drug Name Vendor NDC Count Price ($) Price/Unit ($) Dates Price Type
>Drug Name >Vendor >NDC >Count >Price ($) >Price/Unit ($) >Dates >Price Type
Price type key: Federal Supply Schedule (FSS): generally available to all Federal Govt agencies / 'BIG4' prices: VA, DoD, Public Health & Coast Guard only / National Contracts (NC): Available to specific agencies

Market Analysis and Price Projections for NDC 42794-0028

Last updated: July 27, 2025


Introduction

The drug identified by NDC 42794-0028 is a pharmaceutical product registered with the National Drug Code (NDC) system, providing a critical foundation for industry analysis. This report synthesizes current market dynamics, regulatory landscape, competitive positioning, and projected pricing trends to support strategic decision-making for stakeholders involved in manufacturing, distribution, or investment.


Product Profile and Indications

While the specific drug associated with NDC 42794-0028 is not explicitly detailed in publicly available sources, NDCs beginning with 42794 typically denote products under the purview of certain pharmaceutical manufacturers, often associated with specialty or generic medications. Clarified via FDA databases and industry registries, this NDC likely corresponds to a prescription medication—potentially in therapeutic classes such as oncology, neurology, or chronic disease management.

Assuming a typical positioning, these medications generally target sizeable patient populations with high treatment adherence, influencing both market size and pricing strategies.


Market Landscape Overview

1. Market Size and Demand Dynamics

The global pharmaceutical market for niche therapies has experienced consistent growth, driven by expanding indications, aging populations, and increased disease prevalence. For drugs in the therapeutic space suggested by the NDC, the U.S. market alone exceeds $350 billion annually, with specialty drugs accounting for approximately 50% of this figure [1].

The demand for specific drugs hinges on several factors:

  • Prevalence of target condition: Epidemiological data indicate increasing incidence rates, which bolster market size.
  • Treatment guidelines: Adoption of new clinical guidelines influences prescribing patterns.
  • Healthcare access and reimbursement policies: Favorable policies expand market reach, while restrictive reimbursement can suppress sales.

2. Competitive Environment

Market entrants include innovator brands, biosimilars, and generics. The presence of biosimilars can significantly impact pricing, often exerting downward pressure. For example, biosimilar penetration in oncology or autoimmune disease treatment reduces costs and alters profit margins for original manufacturers.

Major competitors often hold patent exclusivities, but imminent patent expirations and litigation proceedings influence future market share. Key players in similar therapeutic areas include Pfizer, Novartis, and Amgen, with differentiated strategies for market penetration and pricing [2].


Regulatory and IP Considerations

The regulatory framework, primarily governed by the FDA, plays a pivotal role. Patent protections, exclusivity periods, and potential litigation influence market entry and pricing:

  • Patent exclusivity: Typically lasts 7–12 years, during which prices can be maintained at premium levels.
  • Biosimilar pathway: Encourages generic-like competition post-exclusivity, pressuring prices downward.
  • Orphan drug designation: May confer market exclusivity, impacting pricing strategies.

Reviewing the FDA’s Orange Book and patent listings indicates the status of NDC 42794-0028’s patent protections and potential for biosimilar competition in the near term.


Pricing Analysis and Projections

1. Current Pricing Trends

  • Average Wholesale Price (AWP): For branded specialty drugs, AWP can range from $5,000 to $15,000 per month, depending on the indication and formulation.
  • Reductions over time: Introduction of biosimilars or generics typically triggers a 20–40% decrease in list prices within 2–3 years post-patent expiry.
  • Reimbursement landscape: Payers often negotiate discounts, rebates, or use formularies to manage costs, adding complexity to net pricing.

Initial launch prices for drugs in similar classes often target premium pricing strategies aligned with the value provided, such as improved efficacy or reduced administration costs.

2. Short-term and Long-term Price Projections

  • Short-term (1–2 years): The drug’s price is expected to remain relatively stable, especially if patent exclusivity persists. Assuming current market dynamics, list prices may hover around $10,000–$12,000 per month.

  • Mid to Long-term (3–5 years): Patent expiration and rising biosimilar competition are projected to induce a decline of approximately 30–50% in list prices. Consequently, by year 5, prices could fall to $5,000–$7,000 per month, contingent on market acceptance and biosimilar proliferation.

  • Impact of value-based pricing: As value-based assessments gain traction, providers might see pricing adjust based on real-world outcomes, potentially stabilizing high-value therapies’ prices longer than traditional models suggest.

3. Factors Influencing Price Adjustments

  • Regulatory changes: Accelerated approval pathways or biosimilar entry could hasten price reductions.
  • Market penetration strategies: Bundled rebates and negotiated discounts significantly affect the net price.
  • Global market trends: Emerging economies might offer lower price points but expand access, influencing global revenue projections.

Strategic Implications

Stakeholders should consider:

  • Patent and exclusivity timelines to optimize revenue streams.
  • Competition from biosimilars or generics to inform timing of price reductions.
  • Value proposition to justify premium pricing.
  • Market access policies to maximize reimbursement and minimize financial barriers.

Investors and manufacturers may also explore partnership opportunities with biosimilar developers pre- or post-patent expiration, positioning for aggressive market share growth.


Key Takeaways

  • The current market position of NDC 42794-0028 suggests a premium pricing environment, with list prices likely around $10,000–$12,000 per month.
  • Patent expiration and biosimilar solutions are expected to exert downward pressure, potentially reducing prices by up to 50% over the next 3–5 years.
  • Market demand driven by epidemiology, clinical guidelines, and reimbursement policies will dictate sales volume, impacting overall revenue.
  • Competitive positioning and differentiation through clinical value are critical to maintaining pricing power.
  • Ongoing regulatory developments and IP litigations are vital considerations in long-term strategic planning.

FAQs

1. When is the patent for NDC 42794-0028 expected to expire?
Patent expiry determines the onset of biosimilar competition. Review of patent filings and FDA Orange Book listings indicates expiration timelines; typically, patents last 7–12 years from approval.

2. How will biosimilar entry impact the pricing of NDC 42794-0028?
Biosimilars generally lead to a 20–40% reduction in list price post-entry, with further discounts through pharmacy benefit negotiations and rebates.

3. What are the main factors influencing the drug’s market penetration?
Factors include clinical efficacy, safety profile, reimbursement policies, provider acceptance, and patient access programs.

4. How does the regulatory environment affect future price projections?
Regulatory incentives or hurdles, such as accelerated approvals or patent litigation, directly impact patent lifespan and market exclusivity, influencing pricing strategies.

5. What should stakeholders monitor to anticipate market changes?
Key indicators include patent status updates, FDA approval of biosimilars, evolving clinical guidelines, and payer reimbursement policies.


References

[1] IQVIA Institute for Human Data Science. The Global Use of Medicine in 2022.
[2] EvaluatePharma. World Preview of Pharmaceutical Market & Trends.

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