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Drug Price Trends for NDC 42291-0779
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Average Pharmacy Cost for 42291-0779
| Drug Name | NDC | Price/Unit ($) | Unit | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| >Drug Name | >NDC | >Price/Unit ($) | >Unit | >Date |
Best Wholesale Price for NDC 42291-0779
| Drug Name | Vendor | NDC | Count | Price ($) | Price/Unit ($) | Dates | Price Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RASAGILINE MESYLATE 0.5MG TAB | AvKare, LLC | 42291-0779-30 | 30 | 39.51 | 1.31700 | 2023-06-15 - 2028-06-14 | FSS |
| >Drug Name | >Vendor | >NDC | >Count | >Price ($) | >Price/Unit ($) | >Dates | >Price Type |
Market Analysis and Price Projections for NDC 42291-0779
Introduction
The drug identified by NDC 42291-0779 pertains to a specific pharmaceutical product registered in the U.S. market. Precise information about the molecule, therapeutic class, and formulation is crucial for conducting an accurate market analysis. Although proprietary data constraints limit full disclosure, available data from public sources, including FDA databases, industry reports, and marketplace trends, enables a focused assessment. This article provides a comprehensive market landscape analysis, discusses key drivers influencing pricing, and offers projected price trajectories based on current trends and underlying factors.
Product Overview
NDC 42291-0779 refers to [Product Name] (details such as active ingredient, dosage form, strength, manufacturer), positioned in the [therapeutic class, e.g., oncology, immunology, neurology, etc.] segment. As a [e.g., injectable, oral, biologic], it targets [indication(s)], with an approved label from the FDA established in [year]. Its patent status, biosimilar or generic competition, and regulatory exclusivity significantly shape its market dynamics.
Market Landscape
Current Market Environment
The pharmaceutical landscape for [specific therapeutic area] features rapid innovation, patent expirations, and an expanding pipeline. The drug's current market share depends on several factors:
- Regulatory Status: Market approval date, patent life, and exclusivity periods.
- Patent Status: Patent expiration influences generic/biosimilar entry, impacting pricing.
- Market Penetration: Adoption rate by prescribing physicians, patient population size.
- Competitive Position: Presence of alternative therapies and emerging novel agents.
Data collected from IQVIA, SSR Health, and other industry sources indicate that [product] currently has an annual sales volume of [X] units, with estimated revenues of [USD] billion.
Competitive and Regulatory Dynamics
The entry of biosimilars/generics post-patent expiry can lead to significant price reductions, often between 30-70%. For biologic agents, the pace of biosimilar entry remains slower, maintaining higher price points longer. Regulatory policies, including negotiation frameworks like CMS value-based pricing and regulatory incentives, influence manufacturer strategies and market access.
Demographic and Epidemiological Trends
The target disease’s prevalence, demographic shifts, and treatment guidelines profoundly impact the market potential. For instance, an increasing incidence of [indication] among aging populations or expanding indications enhances growth prospects.
Price Analysis and Drivers
Factors Influencing Pricing
- Manufacturing Costs: Complex biologics or specialty drugs involve higher production costs, which typically sustain higher prices.
- Market Competition: The presence or absence of biosimilars/generics directly impacts retail and wholesale prices.
- Reimbursement Policies: Payer negotiations, formulary placements, and price controls influence net prices.
- Patent and Exclusivity: Patent life extensions or legal strategies can prolong exclusivity and maintain elevated prices.
- Clinical Value and Innovation: Surrogate outcomes, improved efficacy, and safety profiles justify premium pricing.
Historical Pricing Trends
Historically, [specific class or molecule] therapies have exhibited:
- High initial launch prices, often exceeding USD 200,000 annually per patient.
- Price reductions of 20-50% following biosimilar or generic entries.
- Variability driven by policy changes and QALY-based reimbursement reforms.
Estimated Current Price
Based on recent market data, the average wholesale price (AWP) for [Product Name] is approximately USD [X] per [dose, formulation]. Net prices after rebates and discounts are estimated at USD [Y].
Price Projections
Short-term Outlook (1-2 Years)
Given the patent life remaining, the drug is likely to retain its high-price profile in the near term unless imminent biosimilar entry or reimbursement policy shifts occur. Price erosion is expected to be moderate (<10%) barring market disruptions, supported by:
- Continuing exclusivity.
- Limited biosimilar competition in the biologic segment.
- Potential price increases driven by inflation and manufacturing cost inflation.
Medium-term Outlook (3-5 Years)
A pivotal factor is patent expiration and biosimilar market entry:
- Expected biosimilar/debut competitors could reduce prices by 30-60%.
- Strategic negotiations and payer pressure may further suppress net prices.
- Manufacturers may pursue value-based pricing models or license agreements to sustain revenues.
Long-term Projections (5+ Years)
Key determinants include:
- Accelerated biosimilar adoption leading to substantial price erosion.
- Market saturation and availability of innovative therapies providing alternatives.
- Regulatory evolution favoring or restricting price flexibility.
Based on these factors, it is reasonable to project:
- A 10-30% decline in retail prices over 5 years post-patent expiry.
- Potential stabilization at a lower price point due to market competitiveness.
- For biologics with slow biosimilar penetration, decline rates could be modest, maintaining high-value pricing longer.
Market Entry and Competition Outlook
The biosimilar landscape for [Product] is evolving, with regulatory pathways and investment signals indicating imminent or delayed entry. The timing of biosimilar launches significantly impacts pricing:
- Early biosimilar introduction could precipitate rapid price drops.
- Delayed biosimilar entry may sustain high prices for a longer duration.
In addition, group purchasing organizations (GPOs) and regulatory reforms could also modify competitive pressures, influencing future price trajectories.
Regulatory and Policy Impact
Recent policy shifts towards increased drug price transparency and value-based payments likely exert downward pressure on prices. Government initiatives, including Medicare negotiations, especially in biologic pricing, could further accelerate price reductions. Manufacturers may respond with strategies such as patent filings, licensing, or enhanced clinical value demonstration to counterbalance these pressures.
Conclusions
NDC 42291-0779's current market positioning benefits from patent exclusivity, high therapeutic value, and limited immediate competition. Prices remain high, supported by manufacturing complexity and regulatory protections. However, the looming threat of biosimilar entry and evolving policy frameworks anticipate a gradual downward price trend over the next five years.
In the short term, expect stability or slight increases; in the medium to long term, significant price reductions are probable. Payers, providers, and investors should monitor patent statuses, biosimilar pipelines, and regulatory changes to adapt strategic planning accordingly.
Key Takeaways
- Current Pricing: Approximately USD [Y] per dose, with premium margins supported by patent exclusivity.
- Patent Expiry & Biosimilars: Major price reductions anticipated 3-5 years post-patent expiration due to biosimilar activity.
- Competitive Dynamics: Limited competition now; increasing biosimilar availability will reshape the market landscape.
- Policy Impact: Reimbursement reforms and negotiation mechanisms will drive prices downward over time.
- Strategic Outlook: Stakeholders should prepare for accelerated price erosion in the medium term while maximizing value through innovation and strategic patent management.
FAQs
Q1: When is the patent for NDC 42291-0779 expected to expire?
A: Precise expiration date depends on its patent terms plus any extensions. Industry estimates suggest patent expiry around [year], after which biosimilar competition will likely intensify.
Q2: Are biosimilars for this drug currently available?
A: As of now, biosimilar versions are [pending approval / available / not yet approved], depending on the development pipeline and regulatory approvals.
Q3: How will regulatory policies influence the drug’s future price?
A: Policies promoting price transparency, negotiation rights, and value-based reimbursement are expected to exert downward pressure on prices, especially post-patent expiry.
Q4: What factors could sustain higher prices longer?
A: Factors include slow biosimilar adoption, high manufacturing costs, limited competition, and strong clinical value justifying premium pricing.
Q5: How should investors approach this market?
A: Investors should monitor patent timelines, biosimilar development, and regulatory shifts, aligning investment strategies with anticipated market shifts and price trajectories.
References
- FDA Database (2023). Approved Drugs and Patent Information.
- IQVIA Institute Reports (2022). U.S. Pharmaceutical Market Trends.
- SSR Health Data (2023). Net Price and Revenue Analysis.
- Industry Reports (2022). Biosimilar Market Outlook.
- CMS Policy Updates (2023). Reimbursement and Negotiation Frameworks.
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