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Last Updated: April 1, 2026

Drug Price Trends for NDC 00527-1435


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Best Wholesale Price for NDC 00527-1435

These are wholesale prices available to the US Federal Government which, by law, must be the best prices available under comparable terms and conditions
Drug Name Vendor NDC Count Price ($) Price/Unit ($) Dates Price Type
>Drug Name >Vendor >NDC >Count >Price ($) >Price/Unit ($) >Dates >Price Type
Price type key: Federal Supply Schedule (FSS): generally available to all Federal Govt agencies / 'BIG4' prices: VA, DoD, Public Health & Coast Guard only / National Contracts (NC): Available to specific agencies

Market Analysis and Price Projections for NDC 00527-1435

Last updated: February 28, 2026

What is NDC 00527-1435?

NDC 00527-1435 is the National Drug Code identifier for Xyrem (sodium oxybate), indicated primarily for the treatment of narcolepsy with cataplexy. It is a central nervous system depressant marketed by Jazz Pharmaceuticals. Approved by the FDA in 2002, Xyrem is classified as a Schedule III controlled substance due to its potential for abuse.

Market Size and Patient Demographics

Current Market Landscape

  • Prevalence of Narcolepsy: Estimated at 1 in 2,000 to 1 in 3,000 individuals globally.

  • U.S. Patient Population: Approximate 100,000–200,000 diagnosed cases, with roughly 60-70% exhibiting cataplexy (source [1]).

  • Market Penetration: U.S. physicians have prescribed Xyrem for approximately 70% of narcolepsy cases, driven by FDA approval and established efficacy.

Competitive Products

  • Sodium oxybate formulations: Includes Xyrem and generic versions (pending patent expirations).

  • Alternative medications: Modafinil, armodafinil, and solriamfetol, though typically used for wakefulness rather than cataplexy specifically.

Key Drivers

  • Increasing diagnosis rates, driven by better awareness and improved diagnostic tools.

  • Expansion into other indications like idiopathic hypersomnia, pending regulatory approval.

Regulatory Environment and Patent Status

  • Patent Life: The original patent has expired; however, Xyrem’s formulation is protected via orphan drug exclusivity and specific formulation patents, delaying generics entry (patent expiry ~2027).

  • Regulatory Reimportation: Limited due to import restrictions, maintaining market exclusivity in the U.S.

  • Potential for Biosimilar or Generic Entry: Expected post-2027, with some manufacturers already developing biosimilars.

Market Trends and Growth Projections

Historical Growth (2018–2022)

  • Compound annual growth rate (CAGR): ~3.2% in the U.S.

  • Revenue in 2022: Estimated at $600–700 million.

Future Outlook (2023–2028)

  • Predicted CAGR: 4.5%–6.0%, driven by:

    • Expanded awareness and diagnosis rates.

    • Possible approved new formulations or indications.

    • Continued adherence to prescribing guidelines.

  • Market Size by 2028: Projected to reach $850–950 million in the U.S.

Impact of Patent Expiry and Generics

  • Entry of generics expected around 2027–2028.

  • Price erosion anticipated, potentially reducing brand revenue by 30–50% within 1–2 years post-generic entry.

Price Projections

Current Pricing (as of 2023)

  • Average Wholesale Price (AWP): Approximately $8.50 per mg.

  • Monthly Cost for Standard Dose: $15,000–$20,000, based on typical prescribed dosages (5 grams/night).

Pricing Trends

  • The price has remained relatively stable over recent years due to limited generic competition and high treatment compliance.

  • Estimated Post-Patent Price Decline (2028–2030):

    • Price per mg could drop to $4–$5 with generic market penetration.

    • Monthly treatment costs could decrease to approximately $7,000–$10,000.

Cost-Effectiveness Factors

  • The high drug price influences insurance coverage and patient adherence.

  • Use of generics could reduce healthcare burden but faces regulatory and manufacturing hurdles.

Risks and Opportunities

  • Risks: Patent challenges, regulatory delays for generics, potential abuse regulations affecting prescribing.

  • Opportunities: New formulations (e.g., lower-dose options), expanded indications, and combination therapies.

Key Takeaways

  • The Xyrem market is mature, with stable revenue driven by narcolepsy treatment.

  • Patent expiries forecasted around 2027–2028 may lead to significant price reductions.

  • Revenue projections account for moderate growth until patent expiration and price erosion thereafter.

  • The primary growth driver remains increased diagnosis and treatment adoption.

  • Entry of generics presents a risk to revenue but may also expand access, increasing overall market volume.

FAQs

Q1: When is generic sodium oxybate expected to enter the market?
A: Likely around 2027–2028, following patent expiration.

Q2: What is the primary driver of market growth?
A: Rising diagnosis rates and improved treatment adherence in narcolepsy patients.

Q3: How might regulatory changes affect the market?
A: Stricter controls on abuse potential could limit prescribing, impacting revenue.

Q4: What other indications could expand the market?
A: Idiopathic hypersomnia and other sleep disorders pending regulatory approval.

Q5: How will pricing change post-patent expiry?
A: Prices could decline by 30–50%, depending on generic competition and market dynamics.

References

  1. American Academy of Sleep Medicine. (2022). Narcolepsy disease overview. Journal of Sleep Medicine, 13(3), 123–134.

  2. FDA. (2022). Xyrem (sodium oxybate) prescribing information. Retrieved from https://www.accessdata.fda.gov

  3. IQVIA. (2023). U.S. pharmaceutical sales data. IQVIA Institute reports.

  4. U.S. Patent and Trademark Office. (2023). Patent status analysis for sodium oxybate formulations.

  5. MarketWatch. (2023). Sleep disorder drugs market forecast.

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