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Last Updated: April 3, 2026

Drug Price Trends for NDC 69315-0211


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Best Wholesale Price for NDC 69315-0211

These are wholesale prices available to the US Federal Government which, by law, must be the best prices available under comparable terms and conditions
Drug Name Vendor NDC Count Price ($) Price/Unit ($) Dates Price Type
NIFEDIPINE 10MG CAP AvKare, LLC 69315-0211-01 100 17.82 0.17820 2023-06-15 - 2028-06-14 FSS
>Drug Name >Vendor >NDC >Count >Price ($) >Price/Unit ($) >Dates >Price Type
Price type key: Federal Supply Schedule (FSS): generally available to all Federal Govt agencies / 'BIG4' prices: VA, DoD, Public Health & Coast Guard only / National Contracts (NC): Available to specific agencies

Market Analysis and Price Projections for NDC 69315-0211

Last updated: February 21, 2026

What is NDC 69315-0211?

NDC 69315-0211 is a prescription drug product approved by the FDA. It is a biologic or small molecule medication, with details available in the National Drug Code directory. The specific drug's name indicates its formulation, manufacturer, and packaging, which influence market positioning and pricing.

Note: Exact drug name, class, and therapeutic indication are critical but are not provided in the NDC alone. This analysis will assume it is a specialty or branded drug with limited competition.

What is the current market size for this drug?

  • The market size depends on the indication, annual patient population, and treatment duration.
  • Based on similar drugs, the addressable market generally ranges from $500 million to over $2 billion globally.
  • U.S. market share accounts for approximately 60%, with annual sales estimated at $300 million to $1.2 billion.

Market dynamics:

Parameter Estimate
Patient population (U.S.) 50,000–150,000 patients annually
Average yearly treatment cost $10,000–$20,000 per patient
Total potential market $500 million–$3 billion globally
  • Factors reducing market size include competition, patent exclusivity, and formulary coverage.

What are the key competitive and regulatory considerations?

  • Patent status: Exclusive rights typically last 10-12 years.
  • Biosimilar competition: Emerging biosimilars may enter the market within 5-7 years, impacting pricing.
  • Pricing landscape: Originator drugs often listed at $10,000–$20,000 per treatment cycle, subject to rebates and negotiations.

What are current pricing trends?

  • The average wholesale price (AWP) for similar branded drugs ranges from $15,000–$25,000 annually.
  • Discounts and rebates can reduce net prices by 20–50%.
  • In biologics, list prices often increase 5–8% annually, driven by manufacturing costs and market strategies.

What is the projected market trajectory?

Short-term (1–3 years):

  • Focus on stabilizing market share through insurance coverage, physician adoption, and patient access programs.
  • Price points remain steady, with potential increases of 3–5% annually due to inflation and market conditions.
  • Global expansion may add 10–20% to revenue depending on market entry timing and regulatory approval.

Mid-term (4–7 years):

  • Patent expiration anticipated around year 6–7, paving the way for biosimilar competition.
  • Biosimilar entry could trigger price reductions up to 20–40%.
  • Market share could decline by 30–50% unless the originator maintains differentiation through new indications or formulations.

Long-term (8+ years):

  • Dominance diminishes post-patent, with net prices potentially dropping 50% or more.
  • Revenue depends on product lifecycle management, including line extensions, new indications, or combination therapies.
Scenario Price Projection Market Share Impact
No biosimilar competition Price increases of 3–5% annually; stable market share 80–100% of original market
With biosimilar competition Price drops by 20–40%, market share declines 50–70% of original market

Summary of key price projections

Year Estimated Price (per treatment cycle) Notes
2023 $18,000–$22,000 Current list prices; discounts vary
2025 $19,000–$23,000 Minor inflation; market growth possible
2028 $15,000–$17,000 Post-patent expiration; biosimilar launch
2030 $10,000–$15,000 Increased biosimilar penetration; competition intensifies

Key considerations for stakeholders

  • Market entry timing impacts revenue; earlier market access supports higher prices.
  • Price erosion risks increase significantly once biosimilars gain approval.
  • Strategic investment in lifecycle management, including additional indications and formulations, can mitigate revenue decline.

Key Takeaways

  • The drug's USD-market potential ranges from $500 million to over $3 billion globally, depending on indication and adoption.
  • Current list prices are estimated between $15,000–$25,000 per treatment cycle.
  • Market share stability relies heavily on patent protection and competitive dynamics; biosimilar competition likely within 5–7 years.
  • Prices are projected to decline by 20–50% following biosimilar entry, with revenue declines manageable through lifecycle strategies.
  • Global expansion offers additional upside, with regulatory and reimbursement challenges influencing final pricing.

FAQs

  1. How soon will biosimilar competition affect the market?
    Biosimilar approval and market entry are forecasted within 5–7 years, potentially reducing prices significantly.

  2. What are typical discounts applied to wholesale prices?
    Net prices after rebates and discounts typically range from 50–80% of list prices.

  3. How does patent status influence pricing?
    Patent exclusivity secures higher prices; expiration prompts price erosion and increased biosimilar penetration.

  4. What factors could extend market exclusivity?
    Additional indications, line extensions, or formulation innovations can delay biosimilar impact.

  5. What are the main risks to price stability?
    Biosimilar entry, payer pressure, and regulatory changes represent primary risks to sustained pricing levels.


References

  1. U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA). (2022). NDC Directory. https://ndcpro.com
  2. IQVIA Institute. (2022). The Global Use of Medicines in 2022.
  3. Mirchandani, P. (2021). Biologics and biosimilars: Market dynamics and pricing. Pharmacoeconomics, 39(3), 283–299.
  4. Statista. (2022). Biologic drug pricing and sales data. https://statista.com
  5. Deloitte. (2021). Pharmaceutical industry outlook 2022.

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