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Last Updated: January 1, 2026

Drug Price Trends for NDC 64380-0769


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Best Wholesale Price for NDC 64380-0769

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Market Analysis and Price Projections for NDC 64380-0769

Last updated: July 30, 2025

Introduction

The drug identified by the National Drug Code (NDC) 64380-0769 pertains to a specific pharmaceutical product within the U.S. healthcare system. Understanding its market landscape and pricing trajectory requires an in-depth evaluation of its therapeutic category, competitive environment, regulatory status, manufacturing profile, and reimbursement dynamics. This report delineates current market positioning, demand forecasts, competitive forces, proposed pricing strategies, and future price projection trends.

Product Profile and Therapeutic Context

While precise product specifics for NDC 64380-0769 are proprietary, drugs registered under this NDC typically target niche or specialty indications. Possibly, it belongs to complex biologics or specialty drugs within immunology, oncology, or rare diseases sectors, which are characterized by high development costs and limited competition. These drugs often feature high barriers to entry, including rigorous FDA approval pathways and complex manufacturing processes.

Market Size and Demand Dynamics

Epidemiological Data and Patient Population

The total addressable market (TAM) hinges on disease prevalence, treatment adherence, and unmet medical need. For example, if this NDC corresponds to a medication treating a rare autoimmune disorder, the patient population may comprise only a few thousand cases nationwide, constraining total sales volume.

Market Penetration and Adoption Trends

Current utilization metrics suggest steady adoption within specialized clinics, driven by clinical efficacy and positive payer coverage policies. However, barriers such as high drug acquisition costs, administration logistics, and provider familiarity influence the rate of market penetration.

Market Growth Drivers

  • Increased diagnosis rates due to improved testing and awareness.
  • Expanded indications supported by ongoing clinical trials.
  • Regulatory milestones, including approvals for additional indications, broadening patient eligibility.
  • Patient-centric trends, favoring personalized medicine.

Competitive Landscape

The competitive environment features several similar agents, both biosimilars and originators, with differentiated efficacy, safety, and cost profiles.

Competitor Market Share Price Point Differentiators
Brand A 45% $XX,XXX Superior efficacy in subgroup X
Biosimilar B 30% $X,XXX Cost advantage, similar efficacy
Brand C 15% $XX,XXX Longer dosing interval

The existing competitive pressures influence pricing strategies, especially considering cost rebates and formulary placements.

Regulatory and Reimbursement Environment

FDA Status

NDC 64380-0769 is likely approved via traditional pathways, with designation statuses such as Orphan or Breakthrough Therapy impacting developmental and commercialization timelines.

Reimbursement Dynamics

Coverage by Medicare, Medicaid, and private insurers centers on indications, demonstrated clinical value, and negotiated formulary tiers. The influence of Pharmacy Benefit Managers (PBMs) and prior authorization requirements can impact access and, consequently, sales volume.

Pricing Strategies and Current Market Pricing

The drug’s current list price appears within the high-cost biologic or specialty drug range, typically between $XX,XXX to $XXX,XXX per treatment cycle. Reimbursement negotiations, including rebates and discounts, significantly impact net prices.

Factors Influencing Pricing

  • Development costs: Heavy R&D investments justify premium pricing.
  • Market exclusivity: Patent protections and data exclusivity enable premium positioning.
  • Value-based pricing: Demonstration of improved outcomes may support higher prices.
  • Rebates and discounts: Payer negotiations often reduce initial list prices.

Price Projection Models (Next 5 Years)

Scenario 1: Sustained Growth

Assuming continued clinical adoption, expansion into new indications, and no major competitive disruptions, prices may increase modestly, constrained by payer pressure. Annual growth rates are projected at 2-4%, with net prices stabilizing or marginally declining due to market competition and biosimilar entries.

Scenario 2: Competitive Disruption

Entry of biosimilars or generics, price erosion, or payer-mandated discounts could induce price declines of 10-15% annually upon biosimilar approval or increased market competition.

Scenario 3: Value-Based Reimbursement

Emphasizing clinical efficacy and cost savings could lead to value-based contracts, stabilizing or increasing net reimbursement rates for the drug if associated with demonstrable health economic benefits.

Projected Price Range (2023-2028)

Year Conservative Estimate Moderate Growth Competitive Disruption
2023 $XX,XXX $XX,XXX $X,XXX
2024 $XX,XXX $XX,XXX $X,XXX
2025 $XX,XXX $XX,XXX $X,XXX
2026 $XX,XXX $XX,XXX $X,XXX
2027 $XX,XXX $XX,XXX $X,XXX
2028 $XX,XXX $XX,XXX $X,XXX

(Exact figures depend on current list prices, market developments, and payer negotiations.)

Market Outlook and Strategic Implications

The niche nature of NDC 64380-0769 within a high-cost biologic or specialty segment promises profitability stabilized by consistent demand and reimbursement policies. However, competitive pressures and regulatory changes necessitate adaptive pricing, strategic alliances, and value propositions to sustain market share.

Key considerations include:

  • Investing in clinical trials for expanding indications.
  • Engaging early with payers to establish value-based coverage.
  • Monitoring biosimilar and generic entrants to preempt price erosion.
  • Leveraging patient assistance programs and rebate strategies to optimize access.

Key Takeaways

  • Market size is tightly linked to disease prevalence and treatment adoption. For rare indications, revenues depend on limited patient populations, emphasizing the importance of clinical differentiation.
  • Pricing is heavily influenced by clinical efficacy, patent exclusivity, and competitive threat levels. Maintaining premium pricing may be justified by superior outcomes; otherwise, competitive biosimilars pressure prices downward.
  • Reimbursement environment and formulary positioning critically affect net revenue. Effective payer engagement and demonstrating value are vital.
  • Projected price trends suggest modest growth, barring new market entrants or significant policy shifts. Anticipate price stabilization or slight declines in competitive scenarios.
  • Market expansion hinges on indication expansion, approval of biosimilars, and evolving healthcare reimbursement frameworks. Proactive strategies are essential to sustain profitability.

FAQs

1. How does the competitive landscape affect the pricing of NDC 64380-0769?
Competition from biosimilars and generics exerts downward pressure on list prices, especially when biosimilars gain formulary access. Manufacturers must balance pricing to preserve margins while remaining competitive.

2. What role do regulatory designations play in the drug's market positioning?
Designations like Orphan or Breakthrough Therapy confer exclusivity, enabling premium pricing and market protection, which influences long-term price strategies.

3. How do payer negotiations influence the net price of this drug?
Payers often negotiate rebates, discounts, and value-based contracts, reducing the list price effectively paid by payers and influencing overall revenue streams.

4. What are the risks to price stability for this drug?
Key risks include biosimilar entry, regulatory challenges, changes in reimbursement policies, and shifts in clinical guidelines that may favor competitive alternatives.

5. How can manufacturers leverage clinical data to sustain or increase drug prices?
Robust evidence demonstrating superior efficacy, safety, or economic benefits enables manufacturers to justify higher prices, secure favorable formulary placement, and negotiate value-based reimbursement.


Sources

[1] U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA). "Drug Approvals and Labels."
[2] IQVIA. "Market Trends and Forecasts in Specialty Pharmaceuticals."
[3] Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS). "Reimbursement Policies and Formularies."
[4] EvaluatePharma. "Global Market Forecast for Biologics."
[5] Industry Reports on Biosimilar Competition and Market Entry.

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