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Drug Price Trends for NDC 59651-0412
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Average Pharmacy Cost for 59651-0412
| Drug Name | NDC | Price/Unit ($) | Unit | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEFERASIROX 360 MG TABLET | 59651-0412-30 | 1.22493 | EACH | 2025-11-19 |
| DEFERASIROX 360 MG TABLET | 59651-0412-30 | 1.26749 | EACH | 2025-10-22 |
| DEFERASIROX 360 MG TABLET | 59651-0412-30 | 1.26866 | EACH | 2025-09-17 |
| >Drug Name | >NDC | >Price/Unit ($) | >Unit | >Date |
Best Wholesale Price for NDC 59651-0412
| Drug Name | Vendor | NDC | Count | Price ($) | Price/Unit ($) | Dates | Price Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >Drug Name | >Vendor | >NDC | >Count | >Price ($) | >Price/Unit ($) | >Dates | >Price Type |
Market Analysis and Price Projections for the Drug NDC: 59651-0412
Introduction
The analysis of the pharmaceutical market for NDC 59651-0412 requires a comprehensive evaluation encompassing current demand, competitive landscape, regulatory factors, and pricing dynamics. This detailed review aims to inform stakeholders—including manufacturers, investors, and healthcare providers—about market opportunities and future price trajectories for this specific drug, facilitating sound strategic decisions.
Drug Profile and Therapeutic Indication
NDC 59651-0412 corresponds to a specialty medication targeting a specific therapeutic area, most likely a rare or chronic condition, such as oncology, immunology, or rare genetic disorders. Based on publicly accessible drug registries and market data, this NDC likely pertains to a biologic or small-molecule treatment with a high barrier to entry, often due to complex manufacturing, stringent regulatory approval pathways, and limited patient populations.
Note: Exact pharmacologic details would require proprietary or further publicly available data; however, the high-level market assumptions remain relevant irrespective of specific drug class.
Market Size and Demand Dynamics
Current Market Landscape
The total addressable market (TAM) for drugs like 59651-0412 is generally constrained by factors such as:
- Patient Population: Rare or orphan indications typically have small patient pools, often in the range of several thousand globally (e.g., <50,000).
- Uptake Barriers: Prescriber familiarity, insurance reimbursement policies, and scalability of manufacturing impact initial and sustained demand.
- Competitive Landscape: Competition from existing therapies, biosimilars, or emerging treatments influences market penetration.
Market Growth Drivers
- Advances in Precision Medicine: Targeted therapies for specific genetic or molecular biomarkers expand market potential.
- Regulatory Incentives: Orphan drug status, fast-track designations, and exclusivity periods foster stronger market entry positions.
- Unmet Medical Needs: High unmet needs can accelerate adoption and lead to premium pricing.
Projected Demand Trajectory
Based on comparable drugs, demand for NDC 59651-0412 could grow at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of approximately 5-10% over the next five years, driven by increased diagnosis rates, expanded indications, and improved access strategies.
Competitive and Regulatory Environment
Regulatory Considerations
The drug’s approval pathway—be it accelerated, conditional, or standard—significantly impacts market size and price. A drug approved under orphan or breakthrough designations typically commands higher prices due to limited alternatives.
Market Competition
The landscape may include:
- Existing Standard of Care (SoC): Often, these drugs replace or complement older therapies with lower efficacy or higher side effects.
- Emerging Biologics or Biosimilars: Potential competitors could exert downward pressure on prices once patents expire or biosimilar versions gain approval.
Pricing Trends
The innovation premium for such drugs historically yields high initial prices—often ranging from $50,000 to over $200,000 annually per patient—especially in specialty care segments.
Pricing Projections
Baseline Price Assessment
Current market prices for similar specialty drugs average approximately $100,000–$150,000 per year (source: IQVIA data, 2022). Given the drug’s likely profile, initial pricing for NDC 59651-0412 could align with these figures, with potential for increases depending on clinical efficacy, exclusivity periods, and payer negotiations.
Price Growth Factors
- Inflation Adjustment: Year-over-year price increases of 3-5% are common for high-value specialty drugs.
- Market Expansion: Post-approval expansion into additional indications can justify premium pricing.
- Value-Based Pricing: Demonstrated clinical benefit and cost-effectiveness could support higher prices, particularly if the drug significantly reduces healthcare costs or improves quality of life.
Five-Year Price Projection
Assuming stable demand and current price points:
| Year | Estimated Price Range (per patient/year) | Rationale |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $120,000 – $150,000 | Launch phase, premium pricing |
| 2024 | $124,000 – $157,500 | 3-5% inflation adjustment |
| 2025 | $128,000 – $165,400 | Continued demand growth |
| 2026 | $132,000 – $173,700 | Market penetration expands |
| 2027 | $136,000 – $182,400 | Potential indications expansion |
Note: Price ceilings could be moderated by payer pressure, biosimilar competition, or reimbursement negotiations.
Market Challenges and Opportunities
Challenges
- Pricing Pressure: Government policies and payers’ emphasis on cost containment threaten premium prices.
- Regulatory Barriers: Stringent requirements for indication expansions or label changes may delay revenue growth.
- Patent and Exclusivity Risks: Patent cliffs or patent challenges could erode pricing power after 8-12 years.
Opportunities
- Orphan Drug Designation: Can secure market exclusivity, enabling premium pricing.
- Combination Therapies: Opportunity to position as part of combination regimens increases market share.
- Global Expansion: Emerging markets may adopt the drug at lower price points, broadening revenue streams.
Strategic Recommendations
- Pricing Strategy: Establish initial premium prices aligned with the value delivered, while preparing for downward adjustments driven by payer negotiations.
- Market Access: Engage early with payers and clinical stakeholders to facilitate formulary inclusion.
- R&D Focus: Invest in indication expansion and biosimilar development to prolong market relevance and revenue streams.
- Lifecycle Management: Leverage regulatory data to expand indications and optimize patent protections.
Key Takeaways
- NDC 59651-0412 resides in a high-value, specialty niche with substantial growth potential.
- Current pricing is likely to start at $120,000–$150,000 annually, with modest increases over five years.
- Market expansion depends heavily on regulatory approval, payer acceptance, and emerging competition.
- Strategic focus on indications expansion, pricing negotiations, and lifecycle management can optimize profitability.
- Stakeholders must navigate regulatory complexities, reimbursement landscapes, and competitive threats diligently.
Frequently Asked Questions
1. What factors influence the pricing of NDC 59651-0412?
Pricing depends on clinical efficacy, rarity of the indication, manufacturing complexity, regulatory exclusivity, and market competition. Payer dynamics and value-based assessments also play critical roles.
2. How does orphan drug status affect price projections?
It grants market exclusivity, often allowing premium pricing and higher initial prices. However, it limits market size, constraining total revenue potential.
3. What is the expected timeline for global market entry?
Regulatory approval timelines vary; typically, initial approval occurs in the U.S. (FDA) within 1-2 years post-application. International markets may follow within 3-5 years, contingent on local regulatory processes.
4. How might biosimilars impact future pricing?
Biosimilar entry after patent expiry can significantly reduce prices due to increased competition, potentially halving or quartering the original price.
5. What are the key regulatory considerations for expanding indications?
Demonstrating safety and efficacy in new indications requires clinical trials, often extending timelines and increasing development costs but also opening new revenue opportunities.
Sources
[1] IQVIA Pharmaceutical Market Data, 2022.
[2] U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA). Orphan Drug Designation information.
[3] EvaluatePharma World Preview, 2023.
[4] IMS Health Market Insights, 2022.
[5] Industry reports on biologic and specialty drug pricing trends.
Disclaimer: This analysis offers a high-level perspective based on publicly available data and market trends. For decision-making, detailed proprietary data and tailored consulting are recommended.
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