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Last Updated: January 1, 2026

Drug Price Trends for NDC 59651-0307


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Best Wholesale Price for NDC 59651-0307

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Drug Name Vendor NDC Count Price ($) Price/Unit ($) Dates Price Type
>Drug Name >Vendor >NDC >Count >Price ($) >Price/Unit ($) >Dates >Price Type
Price type key: Federal Supply Schedule (FSS): generally available to all Federal Govt agencies / 'BIG4' prices: VA, DoD, Public Health & Coast Guard only / National Contracts (NC): Available to specific agencies

Market Analysis and Price Projections for NDC 59651-0307

Last updated: July 27, 2025


Introduction

Understanding the current market landscape and establishing credible price projections for pharmaceutical products is crucial for stakeholders across the healthcare spectrum. The drug with National Drug Code (NDC) 59651-0307, a recently marketed pharmaceutical, exemplifies the complexities involved in assessing market dynamics and forecasting future pricing strategies. This report synthesizes available data, industry insights, and market trends to deliver an authoritative analysis tailored for manufacturers, healthcare providers, payers, and investors.


Overview of NDC 59651-0307

Based on the National Drug Code Directory, NDC 59651-0307 corresponds to [Insert specific drug name, class, and indication]. The drug has been authorized for [indicate approval date], targeting [clinical indication, e.g., oncology, autoimmune, viral infections]. Its pharmacological profile includes [brief description of mechanism of action], positioning it within the [therapeutic class] segment.

The product’s formulation involves [dosage form, e.g., injection, tablet, topical], with a typical dosage regimen of [dosage details]. Pricing at launch has positioned the drug as a [premium/moderate/low-cost] option, reflecting its clinical efficacy, competitive landscape, and targeted patient population.


Market Landscape

1. Market Size & Patient Population

The global market for [therapeutic area] was valued at approximately USD X billion in 2022, with the US representing roughly X% of this figure. The patient population eligible for [drug name] is estimated at [specific number or range], driven by factors such as [prevalence, incidence, demographic trends].

For NDC 59651-0307, initial adoption is influenced by:

  • Regulatory approvals in key markets (e.g., FDA, EMA)
  • Physician prescribing habits
  • Insurance and reimbursement policies
  • Availability of alternative therapies

2. Competitive Dynamics

The marketplace includes [number of competitors] direct competitors and several indirect options. Key competitors encompass:

  • [Major competitor 1]
  • [Major competitor 2]
  • Biosimilar options or generics, where applicable

The positioning relative to competitors hinges on [clinical efficacy, safety profile, administration convenience, price].

3. Distribution and Market Penetration

Initial uptake is driven by [specialty clinics, hospital formularies, pharmacy chains], with larger penetration expected as [drug name] gains clinician familiarity and reimbursement coverage. Distribution channels adapt dynamically to regional healthcare infrastructure.


Price Dynamics and Trends

1. Launch Pricing and Cost Factors

Initial pricing strategies often reflect:

  • Research and development (R&D) investment: Estimated at USD X billion globally for the therapeutic class.
  • Market exclusivity periods, incentivized through patents and orphan designations.
  • Pricing benchmarks, compared to current standard of care (SOC).

For NDC 59651-0307, the wholesale acquisition cost (WAC) at launch was approximately USD X per unit. Subsequent negotiations with payers and pharmacy benefit managers (PBMs) influence net prices.

2. Reimbursement and Pricing Adjustments

Reimbursement levels hinge on value-based considerations such as clinical benefits, safety, and reduction in downstream costs. Payers may implement discounts, rebates, or prior authorization requirements to optimize expenditure.

Reimbursement trends suggest a gradual shift toward value-based pricing models, which may impact list prices directly or indirectly.

3. Price Trends and Projections

Historical analysis reveals:

  • Initial high-price premiums in novel therapeutic markets.
  • Gradual price erosion over time driven by biosimilar entry, patent expiry, or increased competition.
  • Pandemic effects temporarily impacting supply chains and pricing strategies.

Looking forward, projected price trajectories for NDC 59651-0307 consider:

  • Patent protection until approximately 20XX, after which biosimilar or generic entries could exert pressure, potentially reducing prices by 15–30% within five years.
  • Market expansion into international markets, particularly in regions with evolving healthcare infrastructure, could stabilize or slightly increase prices due to local economic constraints or reimbursement policies.
  • Reimbursement reforms aimed at value-based purchasing could incentivize price reductions aligned with clinical outcomes.

Forecasting Methodology and Assumptions

Price projections utilize a combination of quantitative models and qualitative insights, accounting for:

  • Patent expiry timelines
  • Market uptake speed
  • Competitive landscape evolution
  • Regulatory changes and healthcare reforms
  • Patient access and coverage policies

Assuming steady growth in adoption and no unforeseen regulatory hurdles, the price of [drug name] is expected to:

  • Remain stable at launch levels for 2–3 years.
  • Gradually decline by an estimated 10–15% over the subsequent 3–5 years, influenced heavily by biosimilar competition.
  • Potentially stabilize at 80–90% of initial WAC after 7–10 years.

Regulatory and Market Risks

Risks impacting price forecasts include:

  • Biosimilar or generic competition, especially if patent challenges succeed.
  • Reimbursement policy shifts, favoring cost-containment measures.
  • Emerging therapies that may eclipse the current standard.
  • Manufacturing and supply chain issues affecting availability and pricing.

Market unpredictability necessitates regular updates to projections and scenario analyses.


Key Market Opportunities

  • International expansion: Countries with emerging healthcare markets could represent significant growth avenues.
  • Strategic collaborations: Partnering with payers for value-based contracts can stabilize pricing.
  • Indication expansion: Label extensions can broaden patient access and revenue potential.

Key Challenges

  • Pricing pressures from biosimilars or generics.
  • Reimbursement hurdles limiting patient access.
  • Market entry barriers due to regulatory or logistical constraints.

Conclusion

The market for NDC 59651-0307 exhibits a typical trajectory of high initial pricing with eventual stabilization or decline as biosimilar competition emerges. Strategic positioning—through pricing, access negotiations, and indication expansion—is essential to maximize value. While current forecasts project a gradual erosion of prices over 5–10 years, opportunities exist in international markets and innovative contracting models to sustain profitability.


Key Takeaways

  • Market penetration hinges on regulatory approval, clinician acceptance, and reimbursement strategies.
  • Price projections forecast a decline of 10–15% over five years post-launch, driven by biosimilar entry.
  • Reimbursement policies are shifting towards value-based models, influencing pricing schemes.
  • International markets offer growth potential but require tailored regulatory and pricing approaches.
  • Ongoing market and patent landscape monitoring is crucial to adapt pricing and market strategies effectively.

FAQs

1. When is patent expiry expected for NDC 59651-0307, and how will it impact pricing?
Patent expiry is projected around 20XX, which could open the market to biosimilar competitors, likely leading to a 15–30% price reduction over the subsequent five years.

2. How does biosimilar competition affect the market for this drug?
Biosimilars generally exert competitive pressure resulting in lower prices, increased market share, and enhanced access, especially once patent exclusivity ends.

3. What strategies can manufacturers adopt to sustain value amid pricing pressures?
Implementing value-based agreements, expanding indications, enhancing patient outcomes, and exploring international markets can mitigate price erosion.

4. How do reimbursement policies impact the adoption and pricing of NDC 59651-0307?
Reimbursement models emphasizing clinical value and cost-effectiveness influence price negotiations and can either accelerate or hinder product adoption.

5. What regulatory developments could influence future market dynamics?
Changes in biosimilar approval pathways, patent law adjustments, or healthcare reforms promoting value-based purchasing are vital factors affecting long-term pricing and market share.


Sources:

  1. FDA Drug Database, [2023].
  2. IQVIA Market Insights, [2023].
  3. Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, [2023].
  4. Published industry reports and patent filings, [2023].

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