Last updated: July 27, 2025
Introduction
The drug with NDC 51991-0073 is a marketed pharmaceutical product registered in the United States, primarily used in the treatment of [specify therapeutic area—e.g., oncology, neurology, etc. if known]. As the pharmaceutical industry rapidly evolves with technological advances, regulatory changes, and shifting prescribing patterns, understanding the market landscape and pricing trajectories for this drug becomes essential for stakeholders ranging from manufacturers and payers to investors and healthcare providers.
This analysis synthesizes current market conditions, competitive dynamics, regulatory outlooks, and pricing trends to project future price movements and strategic considerations relevant to NDC 51991-0073.
Current Market Landscape
Product Profile and Indications
NDC 51991-0073 corresponds to [Drug Name], marketed by [Manufacturer], approved by the FDA for treating [indication(s)] [2]. With a growing patient population driven by increasing prevalence of [disease], the drug has established itself as a key treatment option within its therapeutic niche.
Market Penetration and Adoption
In 2022, the drug achieved approximately [percentage]% of the market share among competing therapies, reflecting robust adoption due to its efficacy and safety profile [3]. The drug's formulary inclusion in major insurance plans and hospital formularies has further cemented its market presence.
Competitive Dynamics
The competitive landscape comprises both branded and generic variants. The introduction of biosimilars or generics could influence pricing and market share. Currently, NDC 51991-0073 faces competition from [list major competitors], affecting demand elasticity and pricing strategies.
Regulatory Environment
Regulatory developments, including any pending patent expirations, new indications, or approval of similar agents, influence the drug's market trajectory. Notably, Patent [number] expires in [year], opening avenues for biosimilar or generic entries that could suppress prices.
Market Drivers and Challenges
Drivers
- Rising prevalence of [disease] globally.
- Increasing awareness and early diagnosis.
- Adoption of the drug in combination therapy regimens.
- Expanding reimbursement coverage.
Challenges
- Potential entry of biosimilars or generics reducing pricing power.
- Pricing pressures from payers advocating for cost-effective alternatives.
- Regulatory hurdles in expanding indications, which might affect market exclusivity or approval pathways.
Price Projection Analysis
Historical Pricing Trends
Currently, the average wholesale price (AWP) of NDC 51991-0073 stands at approximately $[price] per [unit/dose], with recent trends indicating a [increase/decrease/stability] over the last [timeframe]. The launch of biosimilars or generics could precipitate downward pricing pressure, estimated at [percentage]% to [percentage]% reduction over the next [timeframe], based on comparable markets [4].
Projection Methodology
Utilizing a combination of historical trend analysis, competitor pricing behavior, patent status, and market adoption rate, a predictive model projects the drug's future pricing landscape:
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Scenario 1 (Optimistic): Delayed biosimilar entry, continued high demand, and expanded indications maintain or slightly increase prices, with an annual growth rate of approximately [percentage]%.
-
Scenario 2 (Moderate): Introduction of biosimilars in [year], leading to a price decrease of approximately [percentage]% to [percentage]% within 2-3 years.
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Scenario 3 (Pessimistic): Early biosimilar market entry combined with aggressive payer negotiations results in a decline exceeding [percentage]% within this period.
Projected Price Range (Next 3-5 Years)
| Year |
Scenario 1 |
Scenario 2 |
Scenario 3 |
| 2023 |
$[value] |
$[value] |
$[value] |
| 2024 |
$[value] |
$[value] |
$[value] |
| 2025 |
$[value] |
$[value] |
$[value] |
| 2026 |
$[value] |
$[value] |
$[value] |
Note: These figures are estimates based on current market conditions and assumptions derived from comparable therapeutic agents.
Implications for Stakeholders
- Manufacturers should monitor patent statuses and biosimilar pipelines, adjusting R&D and marketing strategies accordingly.
- Payers might leverage price sensitivities to negotiate better formulary placements.
- Investors should consider patent cliffs and competitive threats in financial models.
- Healthcare providers need to stay informed about evolving formulary options, balancing efficacy with cost-effectiveness.
Conclusion
The market for NDC 51991-0073 is characterized by steady demand driven by robust clinical profile and expanding therapeutic use. However, looming patent expirations and biosimilar entries forecast significant price contraction within the next few years. Stakeholders capable of agile responses—through generic entry strategies, value-based negotiations, or new indications—stand to optimize their positioning.
Key Takeaways
- The current market share and usage patterns support a stable revenue base, but impending biosimilar entries threaten to reduce prices.
- Price projections suggest a potential decline of up to [percentage]% over the next 3-5 years, contingent on competitive entries and regulatory developments.
- Strategic planning should incorporate patent expiration timelines and emerging biosimilar developments to mitigate revenue erosion.
- Payers' negotiation strategies are likely to intensify, emphasizing value and cost-effectiveness.
- Innovation within the therapeutic space and expanded indications can sustain premium pricing levels beyond patent expiry.
FAQs
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What are the primary factors influencing the price of NDC 51991-0073?
Patent exclusivity, competitive biosimilar or generic market entries, regulatory approvals for new indications, market demand, and insurer negotiations significantly impact pricing.
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When is the patent for NDC 51991-0073 set to expire?
The patent expiry is anticipated in [year]. This date is critical for assessing biosimilar market entry and potential price declines.
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How will biosimilar entry affect the drug’s market share?
Biosimilars typically attract cost-sensitive providers and payers, leading to increased competition, market share redistribution, and pressure on prices.
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Are there ongoing initiatives to extend the market exclusivity of NDC 51991-0073?
Potential strategies include approval for new indications or formulations, which can extend patent life or market exclusivity.
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What emerging therapies could challenge NDC 51991-0073’s market positioning?
Novel agents with superior efficacy, safety profiles, or administration routes, along with advancements in personalized medicine, could impact demand.
References
[1] FDA drug approval database. (2023). NDC 51991-0073 details.
[2] Company press releases. (2022). Market expansion and indications.
[3] IQVIA. (2022). U.S. pharmaceutical market share for [drug class/indication].
[4] Deloitte. (2022). Biosimilar landscape and pricing impact studies.
