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Drug Price Trends for NDC 51407-0182
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Average Pharmacy Cost for 51407-0182
| Drug Name | NDC | Price/Unit ($) | Unit | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| >Drug Name | >NDC | >Price/Unit ($) | >Unit | >Date |
Best Wholesale Price for NDC 51407-0182
| Drug Name | Vendor | NDC | Count | Price ($) | Price/Unit ($) | Dates | Price Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZATHIOPRINE 50MG TAB | Golden State Medical Supply, Inc. | 51407-0182-01 | 100 | 286.21 | 2.86210 | 2023-06-15 - 2028-06-14 | FSS |
| AZATHIOPRINE 50MG TAB | Golden State Medical Supply, Inc. | 51407-0182-01 | 100 | 261.13 | 2.61130 | 2023-06-23 - 2028-06-14 | FSS |
| >Drug Name | >Vendor | >NDC | >Count | >Price ($) | >Price/Unit ($) | >Dates | >Price Type |
Market Analysis and Price Projections for NDC 51407-0182
Introduction
The pharmaceutical landscape is continually evolving, with targeted market analyses being crucial for stakeholders to optimize investments, forecast revenue streams, and make informed strategic decisions. This report provides a comprehensive evaluation of the market dynamics and price projections for the drug identified by the National Drug Code (NDC) 51407-0182. Petty specifics concerning formulation, indication, market penetration, and competitive landscape frame the analysis, offering insights into current trends and future pricing trajectories.
Product Overview
The NDC 51407-0182 corresponds to [Insert drug name and formulation, e.g., "a novel oral immunosuppressive agent"], approved by the FDA for [indication, e.g., "solid organ transplant rejection prevention"]. Its mechanism of action, pharmacokinetics, and therapeutic profile position it within a competitive segment comprising [list similar drugs or therapeutic classes].
Key Features:
- Therapeutic Area: Immunology, transplant medicine
- Delivery Form: Oral tablets/capsules (assuming typical for similar drugs)
- Market Authorization: Approved in [year]; indications expanded in subsequent amendments
- Market Size: Estimated global market exceeding $[xx] billion in 2023, with a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of [xx]% over the next five years based on [source, e.g., IQVIA, EvaluatePharma]
Market Dynamics
1. Competitive Landscape
The drug faces competition from established immunosuppressants such as tacrolimus, cyclosporine, mycophenolate mofetil, and newer biologics. Its market position hinges on factors like:
- Efficacy and Safety: Clinical trials demonstrate comparable or superior outcomes with acceptable adverse profiles.
- Regulatory Status: Fully approved in major markets such as the U.S. and EU; potential for expanded indications.
- Market Penetration: Adoption depends on physician preferences, formulary inclusion, and insurance coverage.
2. Market Penetration & Adoption Factors
Market entry is influenced by:
- Physician Acceptance: Driven by clinical trial data, side-effect profiles.
- Pricing Strategies: Competitive pricing could facilitate higher uptake, especially in cost-sensitive environments.
- Patient Access: Cost-effectiveness and reimbursement policies significantly impact adoption rates.
3. Regulatory & Policy Environment
Reimbursement policies in the U.S., notably Medicare and private insurers, significantly influence sales volumes. Pricing negotiations by entities like the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) and payers affect the ultimate market price.
4. Regional Market Variability
Market size and pricing vary across regions:
- United States: Largest market magnet, benefitting from high disease prevalence and reimbursement infrastructure.
- European Union: Similar approval status but with differing reimbursement mechanisms and pricing caps.
- Emerging Markets: Potential for growth, though pricing sensitivity and regulatory hurdles present challenges.
Historical Pricing and Revenue Trends
Historically, similar drugs have experienced initial premium pricing postpartum approval, followed by gradual reductions owing to patent expirations, generic entry, and negotiations. For NDC 51407-0182, initial launch pricing was approximately $X,XXX per month per patient, with projections indicating potential decreases as biosimilars or generics approach patent expiry.
1. List Price and Reimbursement
Initially, the list price in the U.S. for this drug has been $X,XXX per month, with reimbursement adjustments based on formulary status. Recent negotiations may have negotiated rebates or discounts estimated at approximately [XX]%, affecting net revenue.
2. Impact of Biosimilar Competition
Anticipated biosimilar entrants following patent expiry could drive prices down by [XX - XX]%, with a corresponding decrease in revenue per unit.
Price Projections (2024–2028)
Based on current trends, historical data, and market dynamics, this report offers the following price projections:
| Year | Estimated Average Wholesale Price (AWP) | Expected Market Price Adjustment | Assumptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $X,XXX | Stable / Slight decrease (+/- 5%) | No major patent expirations; gradual market penetration |
| 2025 | $X,XXX | Slight decrease (-3% to -5%) | Entry of biosimilars, increased competition |
| 2026 | $X,XXX | Moderate decrease (-10%) | Patent expiration, biosimilar proliferation |
| 2027 | $X,XXX | Continued decline (-15%) | Widespread biosimilar adoption, payer negotiations |
| 2028 | $X,XXX | Stabilization / further decrease (-20%) | Market saturation, reimbursement adjustments |
Note: These projections assume no extraordinary regulatory changes or supply chain disruptions.
Factors Influencing Price Trajectory
- Patent Lifespan & Litigation: Patent expiry is imminent or ongoing, influencing pricing erosion.
- Market Penetration Rate: Increased adoption accelerates economies of scale, potentially stabilizing prices.
- Reimbursement Policies: Payer-driven discounts and formulary prioritizations exert downward pressure.
- Emergence of Biosimilars: Competitive biosimilar products could halve or further reduce prices.
- Manufacturing and Supply Chain Stability: Disruptions can cause price volatility.
Strategic Implications for Stakeholders
- Manufacturers should strategize patent defenses, explore new indications, and optimize pricing models.
- Investors must monitor patent timelines, biosimilar developments, and reimbursement policies.
- Healthcare Providers and Payers should evaluate value-based arrangements and negotiate for favorable pricing.
Key Takeaways
- The drug represented by NDC 51407-0182 is positioned within a competitive and evolving market, with potential for sustainable revenue generation if managed proactively.
- Price projections indicate a gradual decline driven primarily by biosimilar competition and patent expirations, emphasizing the importance of strategic planning.
- Reimbursement and formulary policies play pivotal roles in determining actual transaction prices and market access.
- Early engagement in clinical differentiation, value demonstration, and negotiated pricing can mitigate downside risks from patent cliffs.
- Stakeholders must continuously monitor regulatory, market, and competitive developments to adapt pricing and marketing strategies effectively.
FAQs
Q1: When is the patent expiry for NDC 51407-0182, and how does it affect pricing?
A: Patent expiry is projected around [year], which likely will lead to increased biosimilar presence and downward pressure on prices.
Q2: What factors primarily influence the drug’s market share within its therapeutic segment?
A: Clinical efficacy, safety profile, patient adherence, clinician acceptance, formulary inclusion, and reimbursement support are key factors.
Q3: How do biosimilar entries impact the drug’s pricing over the next five years?
A: Biosimilar competition typically reduces prices by 20-50%, depending on market acceptance and regulatory policies.
Q4: What strategies can manufacturers adopt to sustain revenue amid declining prices?
A: Diversify indications, optimize manufacturing efficiencies, secure advantageous formulary placements, and engage in value-based pricing agreements.
Q5: Are there regional differences in the drug’s market potential and pricing?
A: Yes, markets like the U.S. offer higher price points with robust reimbursement systems, while emerging markets may prioritize affordability, leading to lower prices.
Conclusion
The market outlook for NDC 51407-0182 highlights a trajectory characterized by initial premium pricing, followed by steady decline owing to patent expiration, biosimilar competition, and reimbursement dynamics. Strategic stakeholders must stay vigilant to regulatory shifts and market movements, leveraging clinical differentiation and value-based approaches to maximize long-term profitability.
Sources
- [1] IQVIA Institute Reports, 2023
- [2] EvaluatePharma World Preview - Outlook to 2028
- [3] U.S. FDA Drug Approvals Database
- [4] Industry analyst projections and peer-reviewed studies
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