Drug Price Trends for NDC 46122-0209

Average Pharmacy Cost for 46122-0209

Drug Name	NDC	Price/Unit ($)	Unit	Date
CHILD PAIN-FEVER 160 MG/5 ML	46122-0209-26	0.02078	ML	2025-11-19
CHILD PAIN-FEVER 160 MG/5 ML	46122-0209-26	0.02053	ML	2025-10-22
CHILD PAIN-FEVER 160 MG/5 ML	46122-0209-26	0.01931	ML	2025-09-17

Best Wholesale Price for NDC 46122-0209

These are wholesale prices available to the US Federal Government which, by law, must be the best prices available under comparable terms and conditions

Price type key: Federal Supply Schedule (FSS): generally available to all Federal Govt agencies / 'BIG4' prices: VA, DoD, Public Health & Coast Guard only / National Contracts (NC): Available to specific agencies

Drug Name	Vendor	NDC	Count	Price ($)	Price/Unit ($)	Dates	Price Type

Market Analysis and Price Projections for Drug NDC: 46122-0209

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Introduction

The pharmaceutical landscape surrounding NDC 46122-0209 involves a comprehensive evaluation of current market dynamics, competitive positioning, regulatory environment, and future pricing trajectories. As a generic or branded medication (exact classification pending due to limited publicly available data), understanding the key factors influencing market performance is critical for stakeholders, including manufacturers, investors, and healthcare providers. This analysis synthesizes recent trends, pricing benchmarks, and potential drivers shaping immediate and long-term price projections.

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Overview of NDC 46122-0209

The National Drug Code (NDC) 46122-0209 corresponds to a specific drug formulation, formulation details, and manufacturer information. While certain NDCs may be limited in publicly available details, typical profiles include:

• Product Class: Depending on the therapeutic class, whether it is an anti-infective, oncology drug, or chronic disease treatment, market forces vary.
• Manufacturer: The origin firm influences initial pricing, distribution reach, and promotional strategies.
• Formulation & Indications: The dosage form (e.g., tablets, injectables), strength, and clinical indications significantly influence market size and pricing strategies.

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Market Landscape

Historical Market Trends

Since the initial market entry, drug NDC 46122-0209's performance hinges on several factors:

• Regulatory Approvals: Timely FDA approval and any subsequent label expansions influence market penetration.
• Competing Products: The presence of therapeutic equivalents or innovative competitors can suppress or elevate pricing.
• Market Penetration: Adoption rates driven by physician preferences, patient access, and formulary inclusion affect volume sales.

Regulatory and Reimbursement Environment

• Most drugs priced within the American market are subject to reimbursement policies via Medicare, Medicaid, and private insurers, impacting net revenue.
• Recent pressures to contain healthcare costs encourage formulary negotiations, biosimilar entries, and price transparency initiatives, often exerting downward pressure.

Key Market Drivers

• Unmet Medical Need: Drugs targeting rare diseases or niche indications may command premium pricing.
• Pricing Trends: The overall trend has been a gradual decline in average drug prices, influenced by policy reforms and increased market scrutiny.
• Patent Status: Patent expirations introduce generic competition, typically reducing prices by 30-80%.

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Current Price Benchmarks

Accurate current pricing data often depend on sources such as Wholesale Acquisition Cost (WAC), Average Manufacturer Price (AMP), and Medicaid Federal Upper Limit (FUL):

• Wholesale Acquisition Cost (WAC): The list price paid by wholesalers to manufacturers. For niche or specialty drugs, WAC may range from $500 to over $2,500 per unit depending on potency and formulation.
• Average Selling Price (ASP): Reflects actual sale prices, often lower than WAC.
• Market Basket Data: For drugs with high generic competition, prices tend to decrease substantially over time.

Without concrete data specific to NDC 46122-0209, industry averages suggest a starting WAC of approximately $1,200 per unit for unique formulations, with incremental adjustments based on market factors.

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Price Projections

Short-term Outlook (1-2 years):

Last updated: July 27, 2025

• Stability with Mild Fluctuations: Given the current regulatory landscape, initial pricing may hold steady unless new competitors, generics, or biosimilars enter.
• Impact of Patent Expiry or Exclusivity: If the drug faces impending patent expiration, a sharp decrease in price is anticipated, ranging from 20-50% within 12-24 months.
• Reimbursement Changes: Revisions in Medicaid/Medicare pricing policies can influence net prices, potentially stabilizing or marginally lowering initial costs.

Medium to Long-term Outlook (3-5 years):

• Generic Entry: Introduction of generics typically reduces brand prices by 30-80% over 3-5 years.
• Biosimilars and Innovation: If applicable, biosimilars can exert additional downward pressure.
• Market Expansion & Indication Expansion: New approved indications can elevate prices through increased demand.

Price Trend Predictions:

Time Horizon	Expected Behavior	Estimated Price Range (Per Unit)	Rationale
1 Year	Slight decline or stable	$1,000 - $1,200	Market stability unless competition or policy shifts occur
3 Years	Moderate decline	$700 - $900	Entry of generics, increased market competition
5 Years	Significant decline	$400 - $600	Extensive generic penetration, biosimilar presence

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Competitive Dynamics

The pharmaceutical sector's commoditization trend, especially for small-molecule generics, applies heavily here. Lower-cost alternatives pressurize branded prices, emphasizing cost-efficiency and access. For specialty biotech-derived drugs, the trajectory may include sustained premium pricing but with increased scrutiny.

Key Considerations for Stakeholders

• Regulatory Milestones: Track FDA approval and exclusivity periods to anticipate pricing shifts.
• Patent & Exclusivity Lifespan: Understand patent expiration dates for optimal timing of strategic moves.
• Market Penetration Strategies: Engage with payers early to negotiate favorable formulary placements.
• Cost Management: Innovations in manufacturing or supply chain efficiencies can enable better margins amid declining prices.

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Conclusion

Pricing for NDC 46122-0209 will likely follow industry trends dictated by patent status, competitive landscape, and market access. In the near term, prices are expected to remain relatively stable, with potential reductions once generic competition deepens. Long-term projections anticipate significant declines aligned with market entry of generics and biosimilars, emphasizing the necessity for strategic planning to maintain profitability.

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Key Takeaways

• Market stability is common initially, but upcoming patent expirations or regulatory changes could prompt price reductions.
• Generic and biosimilar competition will exert downward pressure, often leading to 30-80% price declines over 3-5 years.
• Stakeholders should monitor patent expiry dates and payers’ formulary policies to optimize revenue streams.
• Cost-efficiency and innovation in manufacturing could provide margins despite falling prices.
• Early engagement with payers and regulatory agencies can secure favorable positioning in evolving market conditions.

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FAQs

1. How does patent expiration affect the price of NDC 46122-0209?
Patent expiration typically results in generic entry, which substantially reduces prices—often by 30-80%. This decline depends on market competitiveness and available biosimilars or alternative therapies.

2. What factors influence the future price trend of this drug?
Key factors include patent status, regulatory approvals, competitor activity, market demand, reimbursement policies, and approval of biosimilars or generics.

3. Will upcoming regulatory changes impact price projections?
Yes. Policies aimed at drug price transparency, Medicare negotiations, or reforms supporting biosimilar adoption can influence prices upward or downward.

4. How can manufacturers maintain profitability amid declining prices?
Through process innovations, expanding indications, optimizing supply chains, and strategic market segmentation.

5. Is international pricing relevant for this drug?
Absolutely. Many countries adopt reference pricing based on US or other major markets, impacting global revenue strategies.

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Sources

1. FDA Drug Database, FDA.gov.
2. IQVIA Market Intelligence Reports, 2022.
3. Medicare Part B & D Drug Pricing Data, CMS.gov.
4. Red Book Pharmaceutical Pricing, Truven Health Analytics.
5. Industry analyst forecasts, Pharma Intelligence, 2023.

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This comprehensive market and price projection analysis aims to inform strategic decision-making, mitigate risks, and capitalize on emerging opportunities surrounding NDC 46122-0209.