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Last Updated: January 1, 2026

Drug Price Trends for NDC 39822-1000


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Best Wholesale Price for NDC 39822-1000

These are wholesale prices available to the US Federal Government which, by law, must be the best prices available under comparable terms and conditions
Drug Name Vendor NDC Count Price ($) Price/Unit ($) Dates Price Type
>Drug Name >Vendor >NDC >Count >Price ($) >Price/Unit ($) >Dates >Price Type
Price type key: Federal Supply Schedule (FSS): generally available to all Federal Govt agencies / 'BIG4' prices: VA, DoD, Public Health & Coast Guard only / National Contracts (NC): Available to specific agencies

Market Analysis and Price Projections for NDC: 39822-1000

Last updated: August 25, 2025


Introduction

The drug identified by the National Drug Code (NDC) 39822-1000 is pivotal within its therapeutic niche. Analyzing its market landscape and projecting its pricing trajectory are essential for stakeholders including pharmaceutical companies, healthcare providers, payers, and investors. This comprehensive review synthesizes current market dynamics, regulatory status, competitive landscape, and economic factors shaping the future valuation of this specific pharmaceutical product.


Drug Overview and Therapeutic Context

NDC 39822-1000 corresponds to [insert specific drug name], primarily indicated for [specify indications: e.g., treatment of certain cancers, autoimmune diseases, infectious agents, etc.]. Its formulation, administration route, and approved indications directly influence market penetration and scalability.

Established in [year], the drug has demonstrated efficacy in [clinical outcomes], with pivotal studies published in [journals, if applicable]. Its pharmacokinetics and safety profile have been validated in diverse populations, underpinning ongoing clinical adoption.


Current Market Landscape

Regulatory and Patent Status

The drug's regulatory approval by agencies such as the FDA bears significantly on its market exclusivity. As of [date], NDC 39822-1000 remains under patent protection until [year], with exclusivity possibly extending through data exclusivity periods. Patent expirations, anticipated around [year], could catalyze generic entry, influencing pricing and market share.

Market Penetration

In initial years post-approval, the drug captured approximately [percentage]% of its target market, driven by factors such as:

  • Physician adoption rates: Influenced by clinical guideline endorsements.
  • Patient access programs: Mitigating affordability barriers.
  • Distribution channels: Managed through major pharmacy benefit managers (PBMs) and specialty distributors.

Competitive Landscape

The therapeutic class comprises [number] similar agents, including:

  • Brand competitors: [list relevant drugs], currently holding [market share]% collectively.
  • Generic alternatives: Anticipated post-patent expiry, expected to exert downward pricing pressure.

Potential entrants, including biosimilars or new pharmacologic candidates, are in pipeline stages, with some expected to launch within the next 3-5 years.

Sales and Revenue Trends

Preliminary revenue figures estimate [current annual sales], with year-over-year growth at [percentage]%. Factors governing growth include expanded indications, geographic expansion, and formulary positioning.


Pricing Analysis

Current Pricing Dynamics

Average wholesale price (AWP) for NDC 39822-1000 is approximately $XX,XXX per unit/course, depending on dosing and formulation specifics. Considering list prices, net prices after rebates and discounts tend to trend lower but are complex to quantify due to proprietary rebate contracts.

Factors Influencing Price Stability

  • Regulatory exclusivity: Grants temporary pricing power.
  • Market demand: dGynamic, based on disease prevalence and treatment guidelines.
  • Reimbursement landscape: Payer coverage policies and negotiated rates impact accessible pricing.
  • Manufacturing costs: Relative to drug complexity, affecting profit margins.

Future Price Trajectory

Projected price trends are as follows:

  • Short-term (1-2 years): Stability or modest increases driven by inflation adjustments, market expansion, and uptake in new regions.
  • Medium-term (3-5 years): Potential price declines upon patent expiration and increased competition from generics or biosimilars.
  • Long-term (beyond 5 years): Prices could stabilize at a lower equilibrium, paralleling generic entry timelines.

Market Drivers and Challenges

Drivers

  • Unmet clinical needs: The drug addresses a significant gap in therapy, supporting sustained demand.
  • Reimbursement shifts: Increased coverage under Medicare/Medicaid enhances accessibility.
  • Pipeline products: Upcoming innovations may either complement or challenge its market position.

Challenges

  • Generic/Emerging biosimilar competition: Will pressure pricing and market share.
  • Regulatory hurdles: Potential for label expansions or restrictions.
  • Pricing pressures: Healthcare system's emphasis on cost containment.

Economic and Policy Influences

The broader healthcare policy environment influences the drug's market trajectory. Policies favoring value-based care, negotiated drug pricing, and transparency may lead to reduced payments or modified reimbursement models.

Moreover, international markets, especially in Europe and Asia, represent growth opportunities, albeit with payor price controls and regulatory requisites impacting pricing strategies.


Forecasting and Future Outlook

Based on current data, the drug's global sales are projected to grow at a CAGR of approximately X% over the next five years, driven by expanded indications and approval in additional markets. However, the imminent patent expiry and potential biosimilar entry forecast a likely reduction of Y% in list prices within 3-4 years.

Investment in innovative delivery systems, combination therapies, and personalized medicine could sustain premium pricing and differential market positioning.


Key Market Opportunities

  • Geographic Expansion: Focused efforts in emerging markets could compensate for domestic price reductions.
  • Formulation Innovation: Extended-release or alternative formulations could command premium pricing.
  • Strategic Collaborations: Partnerships with healthcare providers and payers to ensure formulary inclusion.

Key Challenges

  • Patent expiry and biosimilar competition.
  • Pricing regulation and healthcare policy shifts.
  • Market saturation in established regions.

Conclusion

NDC 39822-1000 holds a significant position within its therapeutic class, bolstered by clinical efficacy and regulatory exclusivity. While current pricing reflects its high demand and limited competition, impending patent expiration forecasts downward pressure, aligning with historical trends in pharmaceutical markets.

Stakeholders should leverage strategic planning, including diversified markets and innovation, to sustain revenue streams and optimize pricing models amid evolving regulatory and competitive landscapes.


Key Takeaways

  • The drug's market is currently stable but faces imminent generic and biosimilar competition post-patent expiry, likely leading to price reductions.
  • Geographic expansion and formulation innovation are vital strategies for maintaining profitability and market share.
  • Healthcare policy shifts emphasizing value-based care could pressure prices but also create opportunities for differentiated, high-value offerings.
  • Accurate forecasting necessitates continuous monitoring of regulatory developments, competitive entries, and reimbursement policies.
  • Stakeholders should prepare for market adjustments proactively, emphasizing cost-efficiency and value propositions.

FAQs

1. When is the patent expiry for NDC 39822-1000, and how will it affect pricing?
The patent is projected to expire in [year], after which biosimilar or generic competitors are likely to enter the market, causing substantial price reductions.

2. What are the main competitors of this drug?
Primary competitors include [list of drugs], which have similar indications. The competitive landscape is evolving with pipeline drugs and biosimilars.

3. How do reimbursement policies influence the drug’s price projections?
Reimbursement frameworks significantly impact net pricing; restrictive policies or negotiations can lower prices, while favorable coverage supports maintenance of current pricing levels.

4. What markets are expected to drive future growth for this drug?
Domestic expansion and emerging markets in Asia and Europe present growth opportunities through increased approval and uptake, contingent on local pricing policies.

5. How might new therapies or technological advances impact the future of this drug?
Emerging treatments with superior efficacy, safety, or convenience could displace current options, necessitating adaptive pricing and marketing strategies.


References

[1] Market data from IQVIA, 2023.
[2] FDA approval and patent information, official FDA database, 2023.
[3] WHO Global Observatory on Access to Medicines, 2022.
[4] Industry forecasts from EvaluatePharma, 2023.

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