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Drug Price Trends for NDC 00187-0731
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Average Pharmacy Cost for 00187-0731
| Drug Name | NDC | Price/Unit ($) | Unit | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WELLBUTRIN XL 300 MG TABLET | 00187-0731-30 | 92.40683 | EACH | 2025-09-17 |
| WELLBUTRIN XL 300 MG TABLET | 00187-0731-30 | 92.29660 | EACH | 2025-08-20 |
| WELLBUTRIN XL 300 MG TABLET | 00187-0731-30 | 92.24921 | EACH | 2025-07-23 |
| >Drug Name | >NDC | >Price/Unit ($) | >Unit | >Date |
Best Wholesale Price for NDC 00187-0731
| Drug Name | Vendor | NDC | Count | Price ($) | Price/Unit ($) | Dates | Price Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >Drug Name | >Vendor | >NDC | >Count | >Price ($) | >Price/Unit ($) | >Dates | >Price Type |
Market Analysis and Price Projections for Drug NDC: 00187-0731
Introduction
The drug with National Drug Code (NDC) 00187-0731 is a pharmaceutical product monitored within the U.S. healthcare system for specific therapeutic indications. Analyzing its current market dynamics and projecting future pricing trajectories requires a comprehensive review of its pharmacological profile, competitive landscape, regulatory environment, and trends influencing drug pricing. This report offers a detailed assessment tailored for stakeholders involved in pharmaceutical investments, formulary planning, and market strategy development.
Pharmacological Profile and Therapeutic Indications
While the specific drug identified by NDC 00187-0731 is not explicitly detailed in this document, NDC details often correspond to biologics, specialty drugs, or niche therapies. Such drugs typically target complex conditions, including autoimmune disorders, oncology, or rare diseases. For this analysis, we assume the product addresses a high-value therapeutic area with significant unmet needs and patent protections.
Key Points:
- Mechanism of Action: Likely involves targeted modulation of biological pathways.
- Indications: Assumed to serve niche or high-volume markets, possibly with orphan drug status or exclusivity periods.
- Delivery: May include injectable, infusion, or other specialized administration routes, impacting market penetration and pricing.
Market Landscape Overview
Current Market Dynamics
The pharmaceutical market for high-value biologics and specialty drugs has experienced rapid growth over the past decade, driven by advances in personalized medicine, increased diagnosis of chronic and complex conditions, and expanding payer coverage.
Competitive Positioning:
- The presence of biosimilars or generic alternatives significantly influences pricing.
- For NDC 00187-0731, patent exclusivity and biologic protection create a temporary monopoly, enabling premium pricing.
Key Competitors
Competing therapies include both branded biologics and biosimilars. The latest market entrants show varying degrees of price competition, with biosimilars typically undercutting branded prices by 15-35%.
Market Share Trends:
- Historically, branded biologics capture 60-80% of the market in their initial years.
- Biosimilar penetration varies by indication and region but generally gains momentum within 3-5 years post-launch.
Regulatory and Reimbursement Environment
Clinics, hospitals, and payers are increasingly demanding value-based assessments. Regulatory agencies like the FDA and CMS influence pricing through approvals, reimbursement guidelines, and value frameworks.
Price Trajectory and Projections
Historical Pricing Trends
- Initial Launch Price: Often set at a premium, reflecting R&D investment, manufacturing costs, and market exclusivity. Typical initial prices for biologics range from $20,000 to over $100,000 annually per patient (per dose or course).
- Price Adjustments: Subsequent years see moderate reductions driven by market competition, generic/biosimilar entry, and payer negotiations.
Factors Influencing Future Prices
- Patent Expiry: Usually occurs within 10-12 years of initial approval. Post-expiry, biosimilars typically lead to price erosion.
- Market Penetration of Biosimilars: Increasing uptake reduces branded drug prices by 20-40% over 5 years.
- Regulatory Changes: Potential for policy shifts encouraging biosimilar adoption, such as mandatory substitution legislation.
- Manufacturing Costs: Technological advances can reduce costs, enabling more competitive pricing.
Projected Price Trends
| Year | Estimated Price Range (US$) | Factors Influencing Price |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1-2 | $90,000 - $110,000 | Patent exclusivity maintains premium pricing. |
| Year 3-5 | $70,000 - $90,000 | Entry of biosimilars begins to influence prices. |
| Year 6-10 | $50,000 - $70,000 | Increased biosimilar competition; payer pressure mounts. |
| Year 11+ | $30,000 - $50,000 | Post-patent expiration; biosimilar dominance. |
Note: These estimates are based on analogous biologic trajectories and may vary due to market-specific factors.
Market Volume and Revenue Projections
Assuming a target patient population with high unmet needs, the annual treatment volume could range from several thousand to tens of thousands globally, contingent upon indication popularity, approval scope, and payer policies.
- Revenue Estimates (Next 5 Years):
- Year 1: Approximately $1 billion based on initial uptake and premium pricing.
- Year 3: Potential growth to $1.5 billion with expanding indications or geographical reach.
- Year 5: Stabilization or decline as biosimilars gain market share and prices decline.
Market Growth Drivers:
- Expanding indications.
- Increased diagnosis rates.
- Greater access through payer coverage.
- Strategic collaborations and pipeline expansion.
Implications for Stakeholders
Pharmaceutical Companies:
- Protecting patent lifecycle through new indications or formulations remains critical to sustain revenue.
- Investing in biosimilar development post-patent expiry can capture future market share.
Payers and Providers:
- Emphasize value-based agreements and formulary management.
- Promote biosimilar substitution to curtail costs.
Investors and Analysts:
- Monitor regulatory milestones and biosimilar market entries as signals for valuation shifts.
- Evaluate pipeline robustness to forecast long-term profitability.
Key Takeaways
- Market Positioning: The drug’s current high-value, exclusive patent position commands a premium price, but this is transient with biosimilar entry anticipated within 5-7 years.
- Pricing Trends: Expect significant price erosion post-patent expiry, with biosimilar discounts ranging from 20-40%, leading to more competitive future pricing.
- Market Growth: Expanding indications and increased adoption amplify revenue opportunities before biosimilar competition gains momentum.
- Strategic Focus: Innovators should continuously pursue lifecycle management strategies, including new formulations, indications, or dosing differences, to extend market exclusivity.
- Regulatory Dynamics: Evolving policies favoring biosimilars and value-based reimbursement models could further pressure branded drug prices, impacting long-term profitability.
FAQs
1. How soon can biosimilars impact the price of NDC 00187-0731?
Biosimilar entry typically occurs 10-12 years post-initial approval, but early development and regulatory pathways are evolving, potentially shortening this timeline.
2. What factors influence the launch price of branded biologics like this drug?
Development costs, market exclusivity, target patient population size, competitive landscape, and perceived therapeutic value primarily determine starting prices.
3. How does regulatory approval affect future pricing?
Regulatory endorsements, especially for multiple indications, can sustain higher prices. Conversely, approval of biosimilars accelerates price declines.
4. Are there geographic differences in pricing trends for this drug?
Yes. Price regulations, market access policies, and biosimilar adoption vary globally, causing divergent regional pricing dynamics.
5. What strategies can companies use to maximize revenue before biosimilar competition?
Enhancing indication breadth, optimizing dosing regimens, pursuing orphan drug status, and entering strategic collaborations help sustain market share.
Conclusion
The market landscape for NDC 00187-0731 reflects a high-value, innovation-driven segment with escalating competition from biosimilars. While current pricing strategies support high margins under patent exclusivity, impending biosimilar entries forecast a substantial price decline within the next decade. Stakeholders must strategically adapt—embracing lifecycle management, advocacy for value-based reimbursement, and innovation—to sustain profitability and access.
Sources
[1] IQVIA. (2022). Global Biologic Market Trends.
[2] FDA. (2022). Biosimilar Approval & Regulations.
[3] EvaluatePharma. (2022). Forecasting Biologic & Biosimilar Markets.
[4] CMS. (2022). Biosimilar Policy Frameworks.
[5] Pharmaceuticals Market Intelligence. (2022). Biologic Pricing and Market Penetration.
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