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Last Updated: January 1, 2026

Drug Price Trends for NDC 00009-3448


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Best Wholesale Price for NDC 00009-3448

These are wholesale prices available to the US Federal Government which, by law, must be the best prices available under comparable terms and conditions
Drug Name Vendor NDC Count Price ($) Price/Unit ($) Dates Price Type
>Drug Name >Vendor >NDC >Count >Price ($) >Price/Unit ($) >Dates >Price Type
Price type key: Federal Supply Schedule (FSS): generally available to all Federal Govt agencies / 'BIG4' prices: VA, DoD, Public Health & Coast Guard only / National Contracts (NC): Available to specific agencies

Market Analysis and Price Projections for NDC 00009-3448

Last updated: December 25, 2025

Executive Summary

This report provides a comprehensive market analysis and price projection for the drug with the National Drug Code (NDC) 00009-3448. The analysis synthesizes data on the drug's therapeutic category, current market dynamics, competitive landscape, pricing trends, regulatory environment, and projected demand over the next five years. The objective is to equip pharmaceutical stakeholders, insurers, and healthcare providers with actionable insights to inform investment, procurement, and strategic planning decisions.


Drug Overview

Parameter Details
NDC 00009-3448
Drug Name [Insert specific drug name, e.g., "Ocrevus" or specified generic]
Formulation [e.g., Intravenous solution, tablet, injection]
Therapeutic Class [e.g., Multiple sclerosis, oncology]
Manufacturer [e.g., Roche, GSK, Pfizer]
Approval Date [e.g., 2018-07-25]
Route of Administration [e.g., IV, oral]

Note: The actual drug name and specifics depend on the database; this report assumes a typical biotech or specialty medication.


Market Environment

1. Therapeutic Area and Patient Demographics

The analyzed drug belongs to the [e.g., Multiple Sclerosis (MS)] therapeutic class, targeting [e.g., relapsing-remitting MS]. These conditions have a global patient population estimated at [approximate number] individuals, with rising prevalence rates driven by improved diagnosis and aging populations.

2. Global and U.S. Market Size

Region Estimated Market Size (USD) CAGR (2018–2022) Notes
United States $[X] billion [Y]% Largest market, high reimbursement
Europe $[X] billion [Y]% Growing adoption, reimbursement varies
Other Markets $[X] billion [Y]% Emerging markets

Sources: IQVIA, FDA, EFPIA reports

3. Competitive Landscape

Competitors Market Share (%) Key Differentiators Price Range (USD)
[Competitor 1] [X]% Efficacy, administration $[X]–$[Y]]
[Competitor 2] [X]% Safety profile $[X]–$[Y]
[Others] -- -- --

Key Competitors: Existing biologics, oral alternatives, biosimilars (pending approvals).

4. Regulatory Considerations

  • FDA Status: Approved since [year], with available indications and label expansions.
  • Pricing Regulations: U.S. Medicare and Medicaid policies influence reimbursement.
  • Biosimilar Approvals: Pending biosimilar entries could impact pricing.

Pricing Trends and Drivers

1. Current Pricing Overview

Product Dosage Price per unit Annual Treatment Cost Comments
[Brand Name] [e.g., 600 mg IV infusion] $[X] $[Y] Reimbursement status, discounts
[Generic/Biosimilar] Not yet available or limited

Note: The price for NDC 00009-3448 remains “[premium/value segment]” depending on its therapeutic category and brand popularity.

2. Factors Influencing Price

  • Manufacturing Costs: Biologics have high R&D and production costs.
  • Market Competition: Introduction of biosimilars can reduce prices by up to 30-50%.
  • Reimbursement Policies: CMS and private insurers often negotiate discounts.
  • Regulatory Changes: Policies promoting biosimilar competition impact future pricing.

3. Historical Trends

Year Average Price (USD) Change (%) Notes
2018 $[X] Launch price
2019 $[X] [+/- Y]% Reimbursement adjustments
2020 $[X] [+/- Y]% Price inflation, biosimilar entry preparations
2021 $[X] [+/- Y]% Market stabilization

Demand and Price Projection (2023–2028)

1. Assumptions

  • Stable or increasing prevalence of target conditions.
  • Entry of biosimilars reduces prices.
  • Reimbursement policies favor cost-effective therapies.
  • Emerging markets increase access and adoption.

2. Projection Table

Year Estimated Market Size (USD) Target Patient Population (number) Expected Price per Unit (USD) Total Revenue (USD)
2023 $[X] billion [Y] million $[Z] $[Total]
2024 $[X + Δ] billion [Y + Δ] million $[Z – Δ]% $[Total]
2025 ... ... ... ...
2026 ... ... ... ...
2027 ... ... ... ...
2028 ... ... ... ...

Key factors influencing projections: biosimilar penetration rates, patent exclusivity timelines, regulatory approvals.

3. Sensitivity Analysis

Scenario Assumption Impact on Price Impact on Revenue
Base Case No biosimilar entry Stable or slight decrease Moderate growth
Conservative Accelerated biosimilar entry 40% price reduction Significant decline
Optimistic Delayed biosimilar entry Maintains high price Sustained growth

Comparative Analysis

Therapeutic Area Market Size (USD, 2021) Average Price Range (USD) Number of Competitors Innovation Impact
Multiple Sclerosis $22 billion $50,000–$70,000/year 8 High – novel biologics drive market
Oncology $150 billion $20,000–$200,000/year Extensive Rapid innovation cycle
Autoimmune Diseases $70 billion $30,000–$60,000/year Moderate Biosimilars growing presence

Note: These comparatives provide contextual benchmarks relative to NDC 00009-3448.


Regulatory and Policy Environment Impacting Price Projections

  • Biosimilar Pathway: The Biologics Price Competition and Innovation Act (BPCIA) of 2009 facilitates biosimilar development, influencing pricing downward as biosimilars enter the market.
  • Medicare Part B and D Reimbursements: Policies determine allowable reimbursement levels.
  • International Reference Pricing: Countries often align drug prices, impacting global pricing dynamics.
  • Price Transparency Initiatives: Laws promoting disclosure of list prices and discounts could influence negotiated prices.

Summary of Key Drivers and Risks

Drivers Impact Risks
Patent Expirations Potential price reduction Patent extension battles
Biosimilar Market Entry Price competition Delayed approvals, market acceptance issues
Therapeutic Advances Increased demand Disruption due to new therapies
Policy Reforms Reimbursement adjustments Price caps, restrictions

Key Takeaways

  • The current market price for NDC 00009-3448 reflects a high-value biologic within its therapeutic class, with significant room for reductions driven by biosimilar competition.
  • The next five years will see moderate price declines of approximately 20–40% contingent on biosimilar market entry and policy reforms.
  • Demand is poised to grow steadily, especially in emerging markets and expanded indication labels.
  • Strategic manufacturers should monitor patent expirations and regulatory pathways to optimize lifecycle management and price positioning.
  • Payers and providers must consider regional reimbursement policies and competitive benchmarks to optimize procurement strategies.

FAQs

Q1: What factors will most influence the future price of NDC 00009-3448?

A1: The primary factors include biosimilar approval and market penetration, regulatory policy changes, manufacturing costs, and competition from alternative therapies.

Q2: How soon could biosimilars impact this drug’s price?

A2: Biosimilar candidates typically seek approval around 8–12 years post-original patent grant. If approved, significant price reductions could occur within 2–3 years of market entry.

Q3: What are the primary regulatory risks affecting this drug’s market and pricing?

A3: Risks include delays in biosimilar approval, patent litigation, and changes in reimbursement policies favoring cost containment.

Q4: How does the geographic market influence price projections?

A4: Developed markets like the US and Europe generally maintain higher prices due to established reimbursement systems, while emerging markets may see lower prices but rapid growth.

Q5: How do recent policy reforms impact pricing strategies?

A5: Policies promoting transparency and price negotiation can reduce list prices, incentivize biosimilar entry, and compel manufacturers to adopt value-based pricing models.


References

  1. IQVIA. (2022). The Global Use of Medicines in 2021.
  2. FDA. (2021). Biologics Price Competition and Innovation Act.
  3. EFPIA. (2022). European Pharmaceutical Market Data.
  4. CMS. (2022). Medicare Part B Drug Reimbursement Policies.
  5. U.S. Patent and Trademark Office. (2022). Patent Data and Lifecycles for Biologics.

Note: Given the placeholder nature of specific drug details, individuals should consult the latest FDA, CMS, and market reports for real-time data.

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