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Market Analysis and Price Projections for NDC 00006-0033
Last updated: February 24, 2026
What is NDC 00006-0033?
NDC 00006-0033 is the drug Hydroxyprogesterone Caproate Injection. It is primarily used for preventing preterm birth in pregnant women with a history of spontaneous preterm birth. It is marketed under the brand name Makena, among others, and was approved by the FDA in 2011.
Market Landscape
Market Size and Demand
Preterm birth prevalence: About 10% of U.S. births are preterm, establishing a substantial patient base.
Treatment indication: Women with a history of spontaneous preterm birth.
Population estimate: Approximately 170,000 to 200,000 women annually in the U.S. at risk of preterm birth, representing a sizable healthcare market.
Competitors and Alternatives
Makena (Hydroxyprogesterone Caproate Injection): The original FDA-approved drug.
Competing products: No direct generic equivalent currently available.
Off-label uses: Potential expansion to other obstetric indications may influence market dynamics.
Regulatory Environment
FDA Approval: 2011, with a subsequent REMS program due to safety concerns.
Patent status: Patent expired in 2021, opening opportunities for generic development.
Price Analysis and Projections
Historical Pricing Trends
Initial price: Upon approval, Makena was priced at approximately $1,500 per injection.
Market pricing: Prices ranged from $1,200 to $1,500 per dose before generic entry.
Post-patent expiration: Prices decreased significantly with the entry of generics, with estimates around $300-$400 per dose.
Current Pricing
Provider Type
Estimated Price per Dose
Notes
Brand (Makena)
$1,500+
Limited availability in some markets
Generic providers
$300–$400
Multiple generics gained FDA approval in 2022
Price Projection over the Next 5 Years
Year 1-2: Expect prices to stabilize around $350–$400 due to increased competition.
Year 3-4: Slight decline anticipated with market saturation, around $250–$300.
Year 5: Possible further reduction, reaching $200–$250 if biosimilar or alternative formulations emerge.
Market Penetration & Revenue Estimates
2022: Estimated sales of approximately $225 million in the U.S. based on current prescribing rates.
Projection for 2027: Market growth potential is limited due to the fixed patient population but could reach $150 million if price reductions and coverage improve.
Emerging factors: Off-label use, expanded indications, and international markets may influence revenue.
Market Drivers and Risks
Drivers
Large patient population at risk for preterm birth.
No current effective alternative therapies.
Increasing awareness of preterm birth complications.
Risks
Safety concerns could limit prescribing—evidence of increased risk for fetal complications.
Regulatory actions affecting approval or reimbursement.
Development of new treatments for preterm birth.
Strategic Implications
Sponsors should monitor biosimilar developments due to patent expiry.
Payers are likely to negotiate discounts, influencing actual market prices.
Companies aiming for market entry should consider manufacturing costs, regulatory hurdles, and competitive pricing strategies.
Key Takeaways
Hydroxyprogesterone Caproate injection has a sizable, stable market driven by preterm birth prevention needs.
Prices have declined significantly post-patent expiration, with current estimates around $350–$400 per dose.
Long-term pricing projections show further decreases, potentially approaching $200–$250 per dose within five years.
Market revenue may decline unless expanded indications or new formulations gain approval.
The competitive landscape is increasingly driven by generic and biosimilar entrants as patents expire.
FAQs
What factors influence the pricing of hydroxyprogesterone caproate?
Patent status, manufacturing costs, competition, and payer negotiations.
Are there approved biosimilars or generics?
Multiple generics received FDA approval in 2022, leading to price declines.
What is the potential for international markets?
Limited data; markets in Europe and Asia may follow U.S. trends, but approval processes vary.
How might safety concerns impact the market?
Safety issues could restrict usage, reduce reimbursements, and limit market growth.
What future developments could alter market dynamics?
New treatments for preterm birth, expanded indications for hydroxyprogesterone, or reforms in healthcare reimbursement.
References
[1] U.S. Food and Drug Administration. (2011). Makena (hydroxyprogesterone caproate) Injection approval.https://www.fda.gov
[2] IQVIA. (2022). Market data: US prescription drug sales.
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