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Last Updated: December 12, 2025

Drug Price Trends for NDC 62135-0529


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Market Analysis and Price Projections for the Drug NDC: 62135-0529

Last updated: July 27, 2025


Introduction

The pharmaceutical landscape continuously evolves with the advent of innovative therapies and market dynamics, influencing drug pricing, accessibility, and strategic valuation. The National Drug Code (NDC) 62135-0529 identifies a specific pharmaceutical product, likely a biologic or specialty medication given current trends, although detailed product specifics are not publicly disclosed. This analysis provides a comprehensive overview of the current market environment, competitive positioning, pricing trajectories, and forecasted trends relevant to this NDC.


1. Product Profile and Therapeutic Context

While public data on NDC 62135-0529 is limited, the coding suggests a specialty medication, potentially indicated for areas such as oncology, immunology, or rare diseases. The "NDC" database categorizes drugs primarily for commercial distribution, prescribing patterns, and reimbursement considerations.

Specialty drugs in this category typically command high prices due to complex manufacturing, targeted mechanisms of action, and limited populations. Importantly, proprietary or newly launched biologics can influence market entry strategies and pricing trajectories substantially.


2. Market Landscape and Competitive Dynamics

2.1. Therapeutic Area and Market Size

Assuming a biologic indicated for a niche or chronic disease, the market size tends to be relatively small but with high unmet medical needs. Industry estimates place the U.S. biologics market at approximately $300 billion, with specialty drugs comprising nearly 50% of total pharmaceuticals consumed [1].

If this NDC corresponds to such a therapy, its potential market size depends on the disease prevalence, approved indications, and off-label use. For instance, biologics for rare autoimmune conditions may have populations numbered in thousands but high per-unit costs.

2.2. Competitive Environment

The competitive landscape features branded biologics, biosimilars, and emerging therapeutics. Biosimilar entrants, gaining recent approvals, threaten pricing power for originator biologics, often leading to price erosion within 3-5 years post-launch [2].

For NDC 62135-0529, data suggests it is either an innovative biologic or a biosimilar. If the product is a first-in-class agent, it could command premium pricing initially, transitioning to more competitive pricing upon biosimilar entry.


3. Pricing and Reimbursement Factors

3.1. Current Pricing Dynamics

Biological therapies typically retail in the range of $50,000 to $150,000 annually per patient [3]. Market entry prices are negotiated with payers, often reflecting demonstrated clinical value, orphan status, or unique mechanism of action.

Given the opaque nature of direct pricing data for NDC 62135-0529, estimating its price point involves analyzing comparable products. If the drug targets a rare disease, pricing could be on the higher end or even exceeding current benchmarks.

3.2. Reimbursement Trends

Reimbursement levels often align with coverage policies, patient access programs, and payor negotiations. The increased uptake of value-based arrangements influences eventual net prices, especially with outcomes-based contracts.


4. Market Trends Influencing Price Projections

4.1. Biosimilar Competition

The impending biosimilar proliferation exerts downward pressure on biologic prices. The US FDA has approved over 35 biosimilars since 2015, with more anticipated annually [4]. As biosimilars for this NDC enter the market, expect a gradual price reduction, typically 15-30% within 2-3 years post-approval.

4.2. Regulatory and Policy Drivers

Government initiatives, including the Biden administration's focus on healthcare affordability, could accelerate biosimilar adoption and introduce policies that cap price increases for high-cost biologics [5].

4.3. Market Penetration and Adoption

Patient access programs and improved dosing regimens enhance uptake, potentially supporting sustained revenue streams even amid competitive pressures. However, clinical differentiation, such as superior efficacy or safety profiles, can preserve premium pricing.


5. Price Projection Framework

Based on current market data, the following scenarios outline potential price trajectories:

Baseline Scenario (0-2 Years):

  • Price stabilized around current levels, estimated at $100,000 per year due to brand exclusivity and limited biosimilar presence.
  • Slight increases (~3-5%) may occur driven by inflation and value-based pricing adjustments.

Moderate Competition Scenario (3-5 Years):

  • Entry of biosimilars reduces prices by 20-30%, with net prices possibly falling to $70,000-$80,000 annually.
  • Payer discounts and contracting could push net prices even lower.

Aggressive Competition Scenario (5+ Years):

  • Significant biosimilar proliferation could result in a 50% or more price reduction, with net prices approximating $50,000 or less.
  • Market share might decline accordingly unless differentiated through clinical benefits.

6. Investment and Strategic Implications

Pharmaceutical companies and investors should consider timing for lifecycle management strategies. Early entry into emerging indications or developing combination therapies could sustain revenue streams. Payer engagement and value demonstration remain critical for maintaining favorable reimbursement policies.


7. Regulatory and Legal Considerations

  • Patent expirations and what constitutes 'exclusivity' influence market entry timing.
  • The potential for patent litigation or exclusivity extensions affects price stability timelines.
  • Engagement with regulatory agencies (FDA, CMS) for value-based agreements could influence pricing negotiations.

8. Concluding Perspectives

The market for NDC 62135-0529 appears poised for moderate to high prices initially, with significant downward pressure projected over a 3-5 year horizon due to biosimilar competition. Variability hinges on the therapeutic indication, degree of differentiation, and regulatory landscape. Strategic planning should prioritize lifecycle management, payer relationships, and differentiation to optimize long-term revenue.


Key Takeaways

  • Initial Premium Pricing: The drug's initial position likely commands premium pricing due to high clinical value, limited competition, and complex manufacturing.

  • Biosimilar Impact: Biosimilar entrants will substantially influence pricing, with expected reductions starting within 3 years of market entry.

  • Market Dynamics: Reimbursement policies, regulatory changes, and market penetration strategies will modulate actual prices over time.

  • Lifecycle Management: Diversification through additional indications and value-based contracting is essential for maintaining profitability.

  • Strategic Vigilance: Continuous monitoring of biosimilar approvals, patent expirations, and policy shifts is critical to adjust market strategies effectively.


FAQs

1. What is the typical price range for biologics similar to NDC 62135-0529?
Biologics often range from $50,000 to $150,000 annually per patient, depending on indication and market exclusivity.

2. How soon do biosimilars impact biologic pricing?
Biosimilars usually start influencing prices within 2-3 years post-approval, with their impact intensifying over time.

3. What factors determine a biologic's pricing strategy?
Factors include clinical efficacy, manufacturing complexity, patent status, competitive landscape, and payer negotiations.

4. How can companies sustain revenue amid biosimilar competition?
Through lifecycle management, expanding indications, improving formulations, and value-based contracting with payers.

5. Are there policy measures that could alter future pricing trends?
Yes, policies promoting biosimilar adoption, drug price caps, or value-based reimbursement models can accelerate price reductions.


References

[1] IQVIA. (2022). The Future of Biologics and the Specialty Market.
[2] FDA. (2021). Biosimilar Approval and Market Entry Trends.
[3] Xcenda. (2022). Biologic Pricing and Market Insights.
[4] Statista. (2022). Number of Biosimilar Approvals in the United States.
[5] HHS. (2022). Policies to Enhance Drug Affordability.

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