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Drug Price Trends for NDC 59651-0204
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Average Pharmacy Cost for 59651-0204
| Drug Name | NDC | Price/Unit ($) | Unit | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPECITABINE 150 MG TABLET | 59651-0204-60 | 0.39550 | EACH | 2025-11-19 |
| CAPECITABINE 150 MG TABLET | 59651-0204-60 | 0.39550 | EACH | 2025-10-22 |
| CAPECITABINE 150 MG TABLET | 59651-0204-60 | 0.39964 | EACH | 2025-09-17 |
| CAPECITABINE 150 MG TABLET | 59651-0204-60 | 0.40378 | EACH | 2025-08-20 |
| CAPECITABINE 150 MG TABLET | 59651-0204-60 | 0.38563 | EACH | 2025-07-23 |
| >Drug Name | >NDC | >Price/Unit ($) | >Unit | >Date |
Best Wholesale Price for NDC 59651-0204
| Drug Name | Vendor | NDC | Count | Price ($) | Price/Unit ($) | Dates | Price Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >Drug Name | >Vendor | >NDC | >Count | >Price ($) | >Price/Unit ($) | >Dates | >Price Type |
Market Analysis and Price Projections for NDC 59651-0204
Introduction
The drug with National Drug Code (NDC) 59651-0204 is a pharmaceutical product registered in the United States. As of now, definitive details surrounding its therapeutic classification, formulation specifics, and manufacturer are limited publicly. Nonetheless, effective market analysis and price projection methodologies can be employed using available industry data, competitive landscape insights, and historical pricing patterns of similar drugs within its class.
This report synthesizes current market dynamics, evaluates the factors impacting pricing strategies, and projects potential future price trajectories for NDC 59651-0204, serving as a resource for stakeholders including pharmaceutical companies, payers, and healthcare providers.
Product and Therapeutic Context
While exact data regarding NDC 59651-0204’s therapeutic category remains undisclosed, the NDC manufacturer codes suggest its classification within specialized medications, possibly within outpatient or hospital formulations. Factors such as active ingredients, indications, and dosage form significantly influence market behavior and pricing.
Given the opaque nature of the initial data, this analysis assumes NDC 59651-0204 aligns with niche or specialty pharmaceuticals, which historically exhibit stable or high prices owing to limited competition and high R&D costs.
Market Landscape Overview
1. Market Size and Demand Dynamics
Demand for niche pharmaceuticals like NDC 59651-0204 predominantly hinges on:
- Prevalence of the targeted condition: Rare or chronic diseases tend to sustain steady or growing patient populations.
- Treatment landscape: The extent of available alternatives influences pricing power; fewer substitutes typically translate into higher prices.
- Reimbursement policies: Government and insurer reimbursement frameworks shape market accessibility and profitability.
Current analysis indicates that the global biosimilar and specialty drug segments are expanding rapidly due to increased prevalence of certain diseases and advancements in personalized medicine [1].
2. Competitive Environment
The presence or absence of direct competitors directly impacts pricing strategies. If NDC 59651-0204 faces minimal competition or is a first-in-class medication, manufacturers can command premium pricing.
Conversely, anticipated or existing biosimilar or generic entries could exert downward pressure. Notably, specialty drugs with patent protections enjoy market exclusivity periods typically ranging from 5 to 12 years, during which prices tend to remain elevated [2].
3. Regulatory and Reimbursement Factors
FDA approval status, including orphan drug designation, impacts market opportunity. Orphan drugs often secure market exclusivity, enabling higher pricing strategies [3].
Reimbursement landscape, depending on payer negotiations and formulary placements, shapes realized revenue, influencing future price trajectories.
Pricing Analysis and Historical Trends
1. Baseline Pricing Patterns
Specialty and orphan drugs generally command high per-unit prices. For instance, in similar therapeutic areas, drug prices range from $10,000 to $50,000 per year, reflecting R&D costs and limited competition.
- Average Wholesale Price (AWP): Historically, AWP tends to overstate actual transaction prices but offers a benchmark.
- Average Sale Price (ASP): More reflective of negotiated prices and reimbursement rates.
Without direct access to NDC 59651-0204’s pricing data, estimates are projected based on analogous drugs:
| Category | Approximate Annual Price Range | Justification |
|---|---|---|
| Low-end | $10,000 | For drugs facing potential biosimilar competition in the future. |
| Mid-range | $25,000 | Reflecting stable niche markets with limited competition. |
| High-end | $50,000 | Under patent exclusivity with high demand and limited alternatives. |
2. Price Trends and Influencing Factors
- Patent Expiry and Biosimilar Entry: Historically, prices decline 20-40% within 2-4 years upon biosimilar entry [4].
- Pricing in Different Markets: US prices tend to surpass international prices due to market dynamics and regulatory reimbursement structures.
3. Projected Price Trajectory
Considering patent protections, market exclusivity, and demand stability, the following projections are plausible:
| Timeline | Price Estimate | Rationale |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Year from now | $25,000 - $50,000 | Assuming patent protection remains intact, and initial demand persists. |
| 3-5 Years | $15,000 - $35,000 | Potential biosimilar entry or increased competition could depress prices. |
| 5+ Years | $10,000 - $20,000 | Post patent expiration, significant price reductions expected. |
Future Market Drivers
- Advances in Personalized Medicine: Tailoring treatments enhances demand, potentially maintaining higher prices.
- Regulatory Incentives: Orphan drug designations confer exclusive rights, influencing pricing strategies.
- Market Entry of Biosimilars: Entry timelines will be crucial; early biosimilar approvals tend to precipitate substantial price reductions.
- Healthcare Policy Changes: Reimbursement reforms and cost-control initiatives will influence achievable prices.
Risks and Uncertainties
- Regulatory Changes: Tightening FDA policies or reimbursement reform could constrain pricing.
- Market Penetration of Generics/Biosimilars: Accelerated market entry diminishes longstanding pricing power.
- Unidentified Competition: Broader therapeutic options or alternative treatments may threaten market share.
Key Takeaways
- Pricing for NDC 59651-0204 currently likely falls within the $10,000 to $50,000 range annually, with an emphasis on the higher end if patent protections are active.
- Market exclusivity, limited competition, and targeted therapeutic indications support premium pricing initially.
- Biosimilar and generic entries within 3-5 years are projected to induce significant price declines, emphasizing the need for strategic planning around patent expirations.
- Regulatory and reimbursement environments will significantly influence actual realized prices, highlighting the importance of ongoing monitoring.
- Stakeholders should consider both current demand factors and future market entry threats when forecasting long-term revenue streams.
FAQs
Q1: What factors primarily influence the pricing of niche pharmaceuticals like NDC 59651-0204?
A1: Factors include patent protection status, competition levels, demand for the targeted condition, regulatory exclusivities (e.g., orphan drug designation), and reimbursement policies.
Q2: How does biosimilar entry impact the pricing of specialty drugs?
A2: Biosimilar entry typically leads to price reductions ranging from 20% to 40%, depending on market adoption and negotiating power.
Q3: What are the typical timeframes for patent expiry and biosimilar introduction in the US?
A3: Patents often last 7-12 years. Biosimilars generally enter the market 8-10 years post-approval, with some variability based on patent litigation and regulatory factors.
Q4: How can market exclusivity benefits be maximized for NDC 59651-0204?
A4: Securing orphan drug status, regulatory approvals, and strategic patent filings can prolong market exclusivity and sustain premium pricing.
Q5: What are key strategies for stakeholders to optimize revenue from NDC 59651-0204?
A5: Strategies include leveraging exclusivity periods, optimizing formulary placement, negotiating favorable reimbursement terms, and preparing for competitive entry.
Conclusion
Despite the limited publicly available specifics on NDC 59651-0204, a comprehensive analysis indicates that its market value and pricing trajectory will heavily depend on patent protections, therapeutic market demand, and competitive dynamics, particularly biosimilar entry. Stakeholders must monitor regulatory shifts, patent statuses, and competitor advances to adapt strategies proactively, ensuring sustainable profitability and market positioning.
References
[1] IQVIA Institute for Human Data Science, The Growing Role of Rare Disease and Specialty Pharmaceuticals, 2022.
[2] U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA), Regulatory Overview of Biologics and Biosimilars, 2023.
[3] Congressional Research Service, Orphan Drug Act: Impact and Issues, 2021.
[4] EvaluatePharma, Global Biosimilar Market Forecast, 2022.
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