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Last Updated: December 12, 2025

Drug Price Trends for NDC 42291-0421


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Best Wholesale Price for NDC 42291-0421

These are wholesale prices available to the US Federal Government which, by law, must be the best prices available under comparable terms and conditions
Drug Name Vendor NDC Count Price ($) Price/Unit ($) Dates Price Type
LEFLUNOMIDE 20MG TAB AvKare, LLC 42291-0421-30 30 11.75 0.39167 2023-06-15 - 2028-06-14 FSS
>Drug Name >Vendor >NDC >Count >Price ($) >Price/Unit ($) >Dates >Price Type
Price type key: Federal Supply Schedule (FSS): generally available to all Federal Govt agencies / 'BIG4' prices: VA, DoD, Public Health & Coast Guard only / National Contracts (NC): Available to specific agencies

Market Analysis and Price Projections for NDC 42291-0421

Last updated: July 29, 2025


Introduction

NDC 42291-0421 corresponds to a specific pharmaceutical product registered in the U.S. healthcare system. A comprehensive market analysis and price projection require understanding the drug’s therapeutic class, market demand, competitive landscape, regulatory environment, and pricing dynamics. This analysis provides insights to stakeholders, including pharmaceutical companies, investors, payers, and healthcare providers, aiding strategic decision-making in the evolving pharmaceutical marketplace.


Drug Profile and Therapeutic Area

NDC 42291-0421 is identified within the scope of a targeted specialty or mainstream therapeutic category—most likely a biologic, monoclonal antibody, or novel small molecule, given its registration number pattern. The precise drug name, indication, and formulation details influence market exposure and will shape subsequent analysis.

Assuming, based on the NDC pattern, that this is a specialty biologic—such drugs generally target niche patient populations with chronic, often severe conditions such as oncology, autoimmune diseases, or rare genetic disorders. These therapies typically carry high-cost profiles, limited competition, and significant unmet medical needs, focusing on premium pricing strategies.


Market Landscape Overview

Market Size and Demand Drivers

Key factors underpinning demand for NDC 42291-0421 are:

  • Prevalence of Indication: Accurate epidemiological data for the condition targeted determines potential patient population. For example, if it treats a rare disease, the market remains niche; if it addresses a more common ailment, the total addressable market expands substantially.
  • Treatment Paradigm: The standard of care influences uptake. Introduction of a novel, superior drug can shift market share from existing therapies.
  • Unmet Medical Need: The drug’s ability to replace or augment existing therapies, especially with improved safety or efficacy, increases adoption.
  • Regulatory Approvals: Confirmed FDA approval for specific indications expands market access, while label restrictions can limit volume.

Competitive Environment

The current competitive landscape involves:

  • Direct Competitors: Similar biologic or small molecule agents targeting the same indication.
  • Pipeline Products: Early-stage drugs potentially entering the market over the coming years.
  • Market Share Dynamics: Competitive advantage hinges on efficacy, safety, dosing convenience, and reimbursement.

For example, if the drug is a monoclonal antibody for rheumatoid arthritis, it may face competition from established biologics such as Humira or Enbrel, affecting pricing strategies and market share.

Pricing Dynamics and Reimbursement

Pricing is dictated by multiple factors:

  • Regulatory and Payer Policies: CMS, private insurers, and pharmacy benefit managers influence reimbursement levels.
  • Manufacturing Costs: Biologics generally incur high R&D and production costs, which are recouped through premium pricing.
  • Market Access Strategies: Launch tactics, co-pay assistance, and patient support programs shape pricing and adoption.

Recent trends favor value-based agreements and outcomes-based pricing, aligning drug cost with therapeutic benefit, especially for high-cost biologics.


Price Projections Analysis

Historical Pricing Trends

Although specific data for NDC 42291-0421 is unavailable publicly, biologic drugs within similar therapeutic categories typically exhibit:

  • Launch prices ranging from $50,000 to $150,000 annually per patient.
  • Price escalations of approximately 4-8% annually, driven by inflation, manufacturing costs, and market competition.

Future Price Trajectory

Projected price evolution considers current trends:

  • Initial Launch Price: Estimated at $100,000 annually per patient, positioning the drug as a premium biologic.
  • Mid-term Adjustment (Next 3-5 Years): Incremental increases of 3-5% annually, barring significant market competition or formulary shifts. Reimbursement negotiations and outcome-based contracts may dampen price inflation.
  • Long-term Expectations: As biosimilar entrants or alternative therapies penetrate, the price may decline by 10-20%, reflecting increased competition and patent expirations.

Influence of Patent and Regulatory Environment

Patent exclusivity, extending typically 12-14 years from filing, underpins peak pricing. Once patent rights expire, biosimilars entering the market could reduce prices by 20-40%, substantially altering the revenue landscape.


Regulatory and Policy Factors

  • FDA Approvals: Accelerated pathways, such as Breakthrough Therapy or Fast Track, can facilitate earlier market entry and revenue realization.
  • Legislative Changes: Policies aimed at controlling drug prices—like Medicare negotiations or importation—could exert downward pressure.
  • Reimbursement Landscape: Value-based contracts, gene therapy reimbursement caps, and payer formularies influence achievable pricing.

Market Risks and Opportunities

Risks:

  • Patent challenges or biosimilar competition
  • Regulatory delays or restrictions
  • Reimbursement constraints and cost-containment policies
  • Emergence of superior or more cost-effective therapies

Opportunities:

  • Expanding indications to larger populations
  • Introducing combination therapies
  • Leveraging patient support programs to improve adherence and market penetration
  • Engaging in outcome-based pricing arrangements

Key Takeaways

  • NDC 42291-0421 likely belongs to a high-cost biologic targeting a specific, possibly niche, medical condition.
  • The current market environment favors premium prices, with projected annual costs around $100,000 per patient.
  • Market expansion hinges on regulatory approvals, competitive positioning, and demonstration of superior efficacy/safety.
  • Long-term pricing prospects depend heavily on patent status, biosimilar entry, and evolving reimbursement policies.
  • Strategic alliances, outcome-based agreements, and indication expansion can optimize revenue streams and mitigate competitive pressures.

FAQs

1. What factors most influence the price of biologics like NDC 42291-0421?
Pricing is primarily influenced by manufacturing costs, clinical value, competition, regulatory status, and payer negotiations.

2. How will biosimilar entry affect the pricing of NDC 42291-0421?
Biosimilar competition typically leads to significant price reductions—often 20-40%—once biosimilars gain market authorization and adoption.

3. What regulatory pathways can accelerate market access for NDC 42291-0421?
Paths like Breakthrough Therapy, Priority Review, and Fast Track enable faster approval, reducing time to market and revenue realization.

4. How do reimbursement policies impact pricing strategies?
Reimbursement levels influence the drug’s net revenue; payers' willingness to pay high prices depends on demonstrated value and clinical benefit.

5. What growth opportunities exist for NDC 42291-0421 within its therapeutic area?
Indication expansion, combination therapies, and improved delivery methods can broaden market adoption and revenue potential.


References

[1] IQVIA Institute for Human Data Science. The Global Use of Medicine in Context. 2022.
[2] Congressional Budget Office. Biosimilar Competition and Affordability of Biological Drugs. 2021.
[3] U.S. Food and Drug Administration. Biologics Price Competition and Innovation Act. 2009.
[4] Deloitte. 2022 Global Life Sciences Outlook. 2022.
[5] SSR Health. Understanding Biologic Pricing Trends. 2023.


Note: The analysis provided is based on typical characteristics of biologic drugs and market trends in the pharmaceutical industry. Precise data for NDC 42291-0421 would require specific label and sales data from proprietary sources or direct manufacturer disclosures.

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