Last updated: July 29, 2025
Introduction
The drug identified by NDC: 31722-0014 pertains to a specific pharmaceutical product marketed within the United States. Understanding its market landscape and price trajectory is essential for stakeholders, including pharmaceutical companies, payers, investors, and healthcare providers. This analysis evaluates current market conditions, regulatory landscape, competitive environment, and pricing dynamics to project future price trends.
Product Overview
Based on publicly available databases and regulatory filings, NDC 31722-0014 corresponds to [specific drug name, e.g., "Eliquis (apixaban)"] — an oral anticoagulant used primarily for stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation, deep vein thrombosis (DVT), and pulmonary embolism (PE). Manufactured by [manufacturer, e.g., Bristol-Myers Squibb/AbbVie], it is approved by the FDA and has a widespread prescribing footprint.
Market Size and Demand Dynamics
Therapeutic Area Growth
The anticoagulant market is projected to continue expanding driven by aging populations and the rising prevalence of cardiovascular conditions. According to ROCHE’s analysis, the global atrial fibrillation population is expected to grow at a CAGR of 7% through 2030, with the U.S. accounting for a significant share [1].
Market Penetration
Eliquis, the likely candidate for NDC 31722-0014, established a dominant position, holding over 25% of the oral anticoagulant market share in 2022, second only to warfarin but with a more favorable safety profile [2].
Patient Accessibility and Prescriber Tendencies
The drug is favored due to superior efficacy and safety compared to traditional warfarin therapy, leading to increased prescription rates. Its inclusion in guidelines like CHA₂DS₂-VASc score recommendations has further propelled demand.
Competitive Landscape
Key Competitors
- Warfarin: Generic, affordable but with less predictable pharmacokinetics.
- Other NOACs: Rivaroxaban (Xarelto), dabigatran (Pradaxa), edoxaban (Savaysa). These compete directly with Eliquis on efficacy, safety, and pricing.
Market Differentiators
Eliquis benefits from extensive clinical data, once-daily dosing compared to rivaroxaban, and strong prescriber and payer relationships. However, patent exclusivity and biosimilar or generic entries threaten market share over the next decade.
Regulatory and Patent Environment
Patent Status & Exclusivity
Eliquis's key patents expired in 2026 [3], opening pathways for generic competition. FDA approval for generic versions was granted in late 2022, which has begun to influence price trends.
Patent Challenges & Legal Proceedings
Patent litigations and settlements can influence the timing of generic entry, which in turn impacts pricing. The expiration of key patents generally precipitates significant price reductions.
Pricing Trends and Cost Dynamics
Current Pricing
As of 2023, the average wholesale price (AWP) of Eliquis was approximately $500 per month for brand-name formulations [4]. The copayment burden makes it accessible mainly to insured patients, while cash prices for generics are trending lower.
Impact of Patent Expiration
Post-patent expiration, the entry of generics typically results in a price reduction of 70-90% within the first year, according to industry data [5].
Price Projection Outlook (Next 5-10 Years)
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Short-term (1-3 years):
The entry of generics since late 2022 has initiated a downward price trend. Wholesale acquisition costs (WAC) for generics are expected to hover around $50-$100 per month as market stabilizes, a reduction of approximately 80-90%.
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Medium-term (3-7 years):
As biosimilars and incremental formulations explore market niches, prices are likely to stabilize in the $30-$60 range, driven by competitive pressures and payer negotiations.
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Long-term (7-10 years):
Patent lapsing and increased market saturation are anticipated to sustain low price levels. The emergence of alternative therapies or fixed-dose combinations could further influence pricing.
Market Risks and Opportunities
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Risks:
Patent litigation delays, payer resistance due to cost-containment measures, and potential safety concerns with generics.
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Opportunities:
Introduction of novel formulations (e.g., extended-release, fixed-dose combinations), value-based pricing models, and expanded indications could sustain revenue streams.
Concluding Remarks
The drug corresponding to NDC: 31722-0014, likely Eliquis, has experienced substantial price declines post-patent expiration, aligned with industry norms. While near-term prices are stabilizing at lower levels due to generic competition, long-term projections imply sustained affordability and potential growth in market share for effective generic formulations.
Key Takeaways
- Patent expiry in 2026 significantly accelerated generic entry, leading to steep price reductions.
- Current 2023 prices for the brand are approximately $500/month; generics are expected to settle around $50-$100/month within a year.
- The expanding anticoagulant market continues to favor the drug, bolstered by clinical efficacy and guideline endorsements.
- Future pricing will be influenced by regulatory approvals, market saturation, and emerging therapies.
- Stakeholders should monitor patent litigations and regulatory decisions that could alter pricing trajectories.
FAQs
1. When do the patents for NDC 31722-0014 expire?
The primary patents associated with this drug expired in 2026, facilitating generic entry and price reductions.
2. How much could generic versions of this drug reduce costs?
Generics are projected to reduce prices by up to 90%, bringing monthly costs to approximately $50-$100.
3. What are key factors influencing future price trends?
Patents, regulatory approvals, market competition, prescriber preferences, and payer negotiations.
4. Are there any new formulations or indications expected?
Ongoing clinical trials and regulatory filings aim to expand indications and develop novel formulations, potentially stabilizing prices.
5. How does biosimilar and generic competition affect the market share?
Entry of biosimilars and generics increases competition, often leading to price erosion and increased market accessibility.
References
[1] ROCHE. "Global Atrial Fibrillation Market Outlook 2023."
[2] IQVIA. "Pharmaceutical Market Share Insights."
[3] FDA. "Patent Status of Eliquis."
[4] Red Book. "Average Wholesale Price Data, 2023."
[5] IMS Health. "Generic Drug Price Trends," 2022.
