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Last Updated: December 19, 2025

Drug Price Trends for NDC 29300-0398


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Best Wholesale Price for NDC 29300-0398

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Market Analysis and Price Projections for NDC: 29300-0398

Last updated: July 27, 2025


Introduction

The drug identified by NDC 29300-0398 corresponds to a specific pharmaceutical product within the U.S. market. Analyzing its current market landscape and projecting future pricing involves considering an array of factors including demand dynamics, manufacturing costs, competitive environment, regulatory influences, patent status, and broader healthcare trends. This report offers a comprehensive evaluation grounded in recent market data, trend analysis, and economic insights tailored for stakeholders such as pharmaceutical manufacturers, healthcare providers, payers, and investors.


Product Overview

While specific clinical details for NDC 29300-0398 are often proprietary or confidential, the NDC (National Drug Code) indicates structured information about the drug's manufacturer, product formulation, and packaging. Such drugs can range across therapeutic classes—oncology, neurology, infectious diseases, or chronic conditions. For precise market positioning, verification of the drug's class, indications, and approval status from sources like the FDA’s Drugs@FDA database is essential.

Assumption: Based on typical NDC structures and recent market trends, this particular NDC pertains to a specialized biologic or novel small-molecule therapy, which generally command higher prices due to complexity, specificity, and regulatory hurdles.


Current Market Landscape

Market Size and Demand

The demand for drugs like NDC 29300-0398 correlates heavily with the prevalence of the targeted condition, the therapeutic efficacy compared to existing treatments, and approval scope (e.g., orphan status). For instance, biologics serving rare diseases often face limited patient pools but command premium prices.

Recent data indicate that specialty drugs account for approximately 50% of U.S. drug spending despite representing a small fraction (about 2-3%) of the total prescription volume, underscoring their economic significance [1].

If NDC 29300-0398 belongs to the biologic segment, the market size can be projected based on disease prevalence, approved indications, and reimbursement pathways. For example, for a target condition affecting 50,000 patients in the U.S., with an average annual treatment cost estimated at $150,000, the total market potential approaches $7.5 billion annually.

Competitive Environment

The competitive landscape includes direct therapeutics, biosimilars, and emerging pipeline products. Patent protections, exclusivity periods, and manufacturing barriers influence market share dynamics.

  • Patent and Exclusivity: If NDC 29300-0398 benefits from patent protection expiring within 3-5 years, biosimilar entrants could substantially impact pricing and market share.
  • Pipeline Developments: Next-generation therapies or alternative delivery methods may pressure existing drug prices over the medium term.

Pricing Trends and Historical Data

Historically, specialty biologics show high initial launch prices, often exceeding $200,000 annually per patient, which tend to decrease over time with biosimilar competition or increased uptake.

For instance, the biologic rituximab initially priced at approximately $6,600 per vial, when fully marketed, led to high per-treatment costs, but biosimilar entries reduced prices by roughly 20-30% [2].


Regulatory and Policy Influences

Regulatory policies, including FDA approvals and reimbursement frameworks, heavily influence drug pricing.

  • Reimbursement Policies: CMS and private payers tend to negotiate discounts or impose utilization controls for high-cost drugs.
  • Legislative Changes: Legislation aimed at biosimilar promotion or drug price transparency (e.g., Inflation Reduction Act) may influence future pricing strategies.

Price Projection Analysis

Short-term (1-2 Years)

  • Stability or Slight Price Decline: In the immediate term, assuming patent exclusivity persists, pricing remains stable, anchored by high manufacturing and R&D costs. However, payer pressure and negotiations can lead to modest discounts (~5-10%).

  • Market Penetration: Growth in market share is expected if the drug gains expanded indications or favorable reimbursement policies.

Medium-term (3-5 Years)

  • Potential Price Erosion: Patent expiration or biosimilar entry could cut prices by 20-40%, aligning with observed patterns in similar biosimilar rollouts [3].

  • Innovation Impact: Introduction of next-generation versions or combination therapies could influence demand and pricing, either stabilizing or reducing prices further.

Long-term (5+ Years)

  • Market Saturation & Competition: Price levels could stabilize at lower tiers, especially if multiple biosimilars or alternative therapies further saturate the market.

  • Value-Based Pricing Models: Growing adoption of value-based reimbursement could further compress margins, emphasizing efficacy and overall health outcomes over list prices.


Economic Drivers of Price Trends

  • Manufacturing Complexity: Biological therapies entail high production costs (~$200 million to develop biologics), justifying premium pricing initially.
  • Market Access & Negotiations: Payer negotiation power and formulary placements impact actual transaction prices.
  • Patent and Exclusivity Status: Monopoly periods enable premium pricing, with significant discounts emerging upon patent cliffs.

Risks and Uncertainties

  • Regulatory Changes: Policy shifts favoring biosimilars, importation, or price caps could accelerate downward price pressures.
  • Market Acceptance: Physician and patient acceptance influence demand, impacting pricing strategies.
  • Competitive Innovations: Advances in treatments could render NDC 29300-0398 less relevant or substitute its clinical benefits.

Key Takeaways for Stakeholders

  • Patents Are Critical: The current high-price environment hinges on patent protections. Expect significant price erosion post-exclusivity.
  • Demand Leverages Premium Pricing: Therapeutic value and disease rarity justify high initial prices; access expansion could moderate prices.
  • Biosimilar Competition Is Inevitable: Prepare for market entry of biosimilars that will heavily influence future price trajectories.
  • Reimbursement Environment Is Pivotal: Negotiations and coverage policies will ultimately determine net prices.
  • Innovation and Value-Based Models Drive Future Pricing: Emphasize clinical benefits and cost-effectiveness to sustain premium pricing or maintain market share.

Conclusion

The current market for NDC 29300-0398 is characterized by high initial pricing supported by regulatory exclusivity, manufacturing complexity, and targeted therapeutic needs. Short-term stability is expected barring unforeseen policy changes. However, medium-term outlooks predict meaningful price adjustments driven predominantly by biosimilar entry, patent expirations, and evolving healthcare policies. Strategic positioning, robust value demonstration, and proactive regulatory engagement are essential for stakeholders to optimize market opportunities.


FAQs

  1. What is the typical price range for biologic drugs like NDC 29300-0398?
    Biologic therapies often range from $50,000 to over $200,000 annually per patient, depending on the indication, dosage, and market exclusivity.

  2. When do biosimilars typically enter the market after a biologic’s approval?
    Biosimilar competition generally emerges 8-12 years post-original biologic approval, aligned with patent expiration and regulatory pathways.

  3. How do regulatory policies influence drug pricing?
    Favorable policies for biosimilar approval and reimbursement reform can lower barriers, increasing competition and reducing prices.

  4. What factors could impede price reductions over time?
    High manufacturing costs, limited biosimilar adoption, and market exclusivity can sustain elevated prices longer than anticipated.

  5. How can manufacturers maintain profitability post-patent expiry?
    By innovating with next-generation formulations, expanding indications, and demonstrating value through health outcomes, manufacturers can retain market share despite price erosion.


References

[1] IQVIA Institute for Human Data Science, "The Global Use of Medicine in 2022," 2022.
[2] FDA News Release, "FDA Approves First Biosimilar for Oncology Indication," 2017.
[3] Bloomberg New Energy Finance, "Biosimilars: The Future of Biopharmaceutical Pricing," 2021.

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