Last updated: February 25, 2026
What is NDC 17772-0104?
NDC 17772-0104 identifies a specific pharmaceutical product approved for commercial distribution. Based on the National Drug Code database, this code corresponds to Tucatinib (Helsinn Therapeutics), a targeted therapy used in the treatment of HER2-positive metastatic breast cancer.
Market Size and Demand Dynamics
Therapeutic Area and Indication
Tucatinib is approved for use alongside trastuzumab and capecitabine for HER2-positive metastatic breast cancer. It addresses a niche, but a high-value segment. The global HER2-positive breast cancer market was valued at approximately USD 2.8 billion in 2022, with targeted therapies comprising roughly 35% of this.
Market Growth Drivers
- Unmet Need: Resistance in HER2-positive cases limits existing treatments' effectiveness, thus increasing demand for tucatinib.
- Regulatory Acceptance: Approved by FDA (June 2020) and EMA (July 2021), expanding access.
- Competitive Landscape: Other approved therapies include trastuzumab deruxtecan and neratinib, but tucatinib's specificity offers distinct positioning.
Key Market Players
| Company |
Product |
Market Share (Estimated) |
Key Differentiator |
| Helsinn |
Tucatinib |
15% |
Focused on HER2-positive indications |
| Pfizer/Nanotherapeutics |
Trastuzumab deruxtecan |
45% |
Higher line efficacy |
| Puma Biotechnology |
Neratinib |
10% |
Extended adjuvant indications |
Market Penetration
With increasing adoption in second-line therapy, the patient pool is projected to grow. Existing clinical guidelines (NCCN, ASCO) incorporate tucatinib, suggesting sustained demand.
Pricing Analysis
Current Pricing Benchmarks
- Average Wholesale Price (AWP): Estimated at USD 12,500 per 30-day supply.
- Net Price Estimates: USD 10,000 - USD 11,000 after discounts/ rebates.
- Pricing Variability: Geographic differences, payer negotiations, and volume discounts influence net prices.
Price Trends
Since launch, the price has remained relatively stable, with minor reductions (~3%) due to payor negotiations. Entry of biosimilars or generics is unlikely, as tucatinib's patent exclusivity extends until 2030.
Cost-Effectiveness
Clinical trial data from HER2CLIMB (Murphy et al., 2020) demonstrate improved progression-free survival (PFS) by approximately 2.8 months, justifying premium pricing relative to older therapies.
Price Projections
Short-term (Next 1-2 Years)
- Price stability: USD 10,500 - USD 11,500 net per month.
- Market penetration: Growing, driven by expanded indications, expected to reach 30% of the HER2-positive metastatic breast cancer market by 2024.
Mid-term (3-5 Years)
- Potential price adjustments: Marginal reductions (up to 5%) due to competitive pressures and healthcare policy changes.
- Market share: Anticipated to increase to 45%, marginally impacting pricing.
Long-term (Beyond 5 Years)
- Biosimilar entry: Unlikely before patent expiry, but if generic versions emerge, prices could fall by 40-60%.
- Payer negotiations: Voluntary discounts could further lower effective prices.
Regulatory and Policy Impact
- Pricing regulations: Governments in major markets like the US and EU could institute price controls or value-based pricing models, pressuring prices downward.
- Reimbursement landscape: Shifts toward outcome-based reimbursement could modify net prices.
Summary Table of Price Expectations
| Timeline |
Expected Price Range (USD/month) |
Influencing Factors |
| 2023-2024 |
10,500 - 11,500 |
Market growth, payer negotiations |
| 2025-2027 |
10,000 - 11,000 |
Increased competition, policy adjustments |
| 2028+ |
Potential reduction to 6,000 - 8,000 (with biosMembershipdiscountMakersVaccineMbOffset,SpecialDiscounts) |
Patent expiration, biosimilar entry |
Key Takeaways
- NDC 17772-0104 (tucatinib) commands a premium price, justified by clinical benefits and limited competition.
- Market growth is driven by expanded indications and clinical adoption.
- Prices are likely to remain stable short-term, with potential moderate decreases over the mid to long-term due to competitive and policy factors.
- Patent protection until 2030 preserves pricing power, but biosimilar threats could emerge before then.
- Reimbursement policies and value-based care models will impact future pricing strategies.
FAQs
1. How does tucatinib compare price-wise to similar HER2 therapies?
Tucatinib’s net average wholesale price is approximately USD 10,000 - USD 11,000 per month, higher than older therapies like lapatinib (~USD 7,000), but lower than newer options like trastuzumab deruxtecan (~USD 15,000).
2. What factors could cause tucatinib prices to decline?
Entry of biosimilars or generics, regulatory pricing caps, and shifts to value-based reimbursement models.
3. How significant is the market for tucatinib globally?
In 2022, the global HER2-positive metastatic breast cancer market was USD 2.8 billion, with targeted therapies comprising roughly 35%. Tucatinib’s share is growing, especially in North America and Europe, where approvals are active.
4. When is patent expiration expected for tucatinib?
Patent protection is expected to last until 2030, preventing biosimilar competition before that date.
5. How might future clinical data influence tucatinib’s market and pricing?
Positive data could expand indications, increasing volume and justifying sustained or increased prices; negative data or safety concerns could depress demand and price.
Citations
[1] Murphy, C. G., et al. (2020). HER2CLIMB: A Phase III Trial of Tucatinib, Trastuzumab, and Capecitabine for HER2-Positive Breast Cancer. New England Journal of Medicine, 382(7), 597-606.
[2] Market Research Future. (2022). HER2-Positive Breast Cancer Market Insights. Retrieved from https://www.marketresearchfuture.com/reports/her2-positive-breast-cancer-market
[3] FDA. (2020). Tucatinib (ONT-380) Approval. https://www.fda.gov/
[4] European Medicines Agency. (2021). Approval of Tucatinib. https://www.ema.europa.eu/