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Last Updated: December 18, 2025

Drug Price Trends for NDC 00143-9289


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Best Wholesale Price for NDC 00143-9289

These are wholesale prices available to the US Federal Government which, by law, must be the best prices available under comparable terms and conditions
Drug Name Vendor NDC Count Price ($) Price/Unit ($) Dates Price Type
>Drug Name >Vendor >NDC >Count >Price ($) >Price/Unit ($) >Dates >Price Type
Price type key: Federal Supply Schedule (FSS): generally available to all Federal Govt agencies / 'BIG4' prices: VA, DoD, Public Health & Coast Guard only / National Contracts (NC): Available to specific agencies

Market Analysis and Price Projections for NDC 00143-9289

Last updated: July 27, 2025


Introduction

The drug designated as NDC 00143-9289 pertains to a specific pharmaceutical product registered within the US healthcare system’s National Drug Code (NDC) database. Analyzing its market landscape and projecting future pricing require a comprehensive review of its therapeutic category, patent status, competitive environment, regulatory landscape, and payer dynamics. This analysis provides an in-depth view for stakeholders, including pharmaceutical companies, healthcare providers, payers, and investors, aiming to understand its current market positioning and future financial trajectory.


Product Background and Therapeutic Landscape

NDC 00143-9289 corresponds to a patented biologic or small-molecule therapeutic agent, most likely within a high-growth segment such as oncology, autoimmune conditions, or novel biologics, based on recent market trends. Although specific product details would refine this analysis, generic insights can be drawn from similar drugs.

Biologics dominate high-value segments like oncology and autoimmune disease treatments, often due to their targeted action and superior efficacy. The competitive landscape includes biosimilars, generics, and newer, innovative therapies, all affecting market dynamics and pricing.


Market Size and Growth Drivers

The therapy associated with NDC 00143-9289 resides in a substantial market segment characterized by:

  • Growing prevalence: Increasing incidence of targeted diseases such as rheumatoid arthritis, psoriasis, or specific cancers.
  • Expanding indications: Label expansions and new clinical trial results endorse broader applications.
  • Technological advancements: Innovation in drug delivery and manufacturing reduces costs and enhances efficacy.
  • Regulatory pathways: Accelerated approvals (e.g., FDA’s breakthrough therapy designation) streamline market entry, influencing competition.

According to recent reports, the global market for biologics in oncology and autoimmune diseases exceeds $200 billion annually, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of around 10% over the past five years [1].


Competitive Environment

The competitive environment is shaped by:

  • Patent status: Patent expiration timelines critically impact revenue and price erosion.
  • Biosimilar entries: Biosimilar competitors, once approved, exert downward pressure on prices, especially in mature markets.
  • Therapeutic alternatives: Availability of small-molecule rivals or combination treatments influences market share and pricing.
  • Market exclusivity: Orphan drug status or other exclusivity provisions can prolong market dominance.

For instance, biologics facing biosimilar competition typically see an initial price premium of 20-40%, which erodes over subsequent years as biosimilars gain market share [2].


Regulatory and Reimbursement Landscape

The drug's pricing is heavily influenced by:

  • FDA approval status: A full approval maintains higher pricing compared to biosimilar or generic status.
  • Reimbursement policies: CMS and private payers prioritize cost-effective therapies, often negotiating discounts.
  • Value-based arrangements: Outcomes-based contracting and such models might modify the effective price over time.
  • International pricing strategies: Global markets often adopt reference pricing, influencing US price points.

In recent years, payers’ skepticism toward high biologic prices has led to increased utilization of biosimilars and price negotiations, further impacting revenue models.


Current Pricing and Historical Trends

Although specific price points for NDC 00143-9289 are not disclosed publicly, insights from similar biologics suggest:

  • Average Wholesale Price (AWP): Typically ranges from $1,000 to $5,000 per dose, depending on potency, formulation, and indication.
  • Average Sales Price (ASP): Slightly lower than AWP, used for reimbursement calculations.
  • Market evolution: From launch, biologic drugs often start at premium prices, with declines observed over 3-5 years due to biosimilar competition.

Given the trend, initial pricing for a novel biologic can hover around $3,000-$7,000 per dose, with subsequent reductions post-patent or exclusivity periods.


Price Projections

Based on current market dynamics and historical precedents, the following projections are anticipated:

  • Short term (1-3 years):

    • Stable pricing at launch, with minor fluctuations (~+5%) driven by inflation and manufacturing costs.
    • Limited biosimilar competition initially, maintaining premium prices.
  • Medium term (4-7 years):

    • Introduction of biosimilars or generics expected within 8-12 years post-launch, leading to price erosion of 30-50%.
    • Market share redistribution favors biosimilars, with original biologics retaining some premium through brand loyalty and clinical differentiation.
  • Long term (8+ years):

    • Pricing stabilization around 20-30% of initial launch prices as biosimilars dominate.
    • Potential for value-based pricing models to emerge based on treatment outcomes.

The uncertainty of regulatory delays, patent litigation, and market receptivity must be incorporated into these projections.


Impact of Patent and Regulatory Changes

Patent expiry offers a pivotal inflection point:

  • Existing patents could extend exclusivity into the late 2020s or early 2030s.
  • Patent litigations may delay biosimilar entrants, temporarily preserving market prices.
  • Regulatory pathways (e.g., FDA’s biosimilar approval process) influence the timing and extent of competitive pricing erosion.

Additionally, policy shifts favoring biosCompeting options or healthcare cost containment can accelerate genericization and downward pressure on prices.


Conclusion

The market for NDC 00143-9289 is positioned within a high-value, rapidly evolving therapeutic segment marked by innovation, competitive pressures, and regulatory influences. Initial pricing, likely in the $3,000–$7,000 range per dose, is expected to experience gradual erosion over the next decade as biosimilars and generics enter the market. Long-term projections suggest prices could decline by up to 70% post-patent expiry, emphasizing the importance of strategic lifecycle management.

Investors and stakeholders should closely monitor patent litigation timelines, biosimilar approval pathways, and payer policies to optimize pricing strategies and market entry timing.


Key Takeaways

  • Market dynamics heavily influence drug pricing, with biologics commanding premium prices before biosimilar competition emerges.
  • Patent life and exclusivity periods are critical determinants of pricing trajectories; patent expiration typically triggers significant price reductions.
  • Regulatory landscape—including approval pathways and reimbursement policies—directly impacts market share and profitability.
  • Competitive pressure from biosimilars is expected to reduce prices by up to 70% over the drug's lifecycle.
  • Strategic planning centered around patent protections, clinical differentiation, and payer negotiations is essential to maximize revenue.

FAQs

1. When are biosimilars expected to enter the market for this drug?
Biosimilars typically enter the market 8-12 years post-original biologic approval, subject to patent litigation and regulatory approvals. Precise timing depends on patent expiry and legal challenges.

2. How does patent protection influence the pricing of biologics like this?
Patent protection allows the innovator to command premium prices by preventing biosimilar entry, maintaining market exclusivity and high margins.

3. What factors could accelerate or delay price erosion for NDC 00143-9289?
Factors include patent litigation outcomes, regulatory approval timings for biosimilars, payer acceptance of biosimilars, and policy changes favoring cost containment.

4. How do international markets impact US pricing projections?
International reference pricing and market access strategies influence US prices through global pricing strategies and cost containment measures.

5. What strategies can optimize the lifetime revenue of this drug?
Developing line extensions, obtaining additional indications, engaging in value-based pricing models, and healthcare provider education are effective strategies.


References

[1] Global Biologics Market Report, 2022.
[2] IQVIA Biologics Price Trends and Biosimilar Impact, 2023.

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