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Drug Price Trends for NDC 81140-0102
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Average Pharmacy Cost for 81140-0102
| Drug Name | NDC | Price/Unit ($) | Unit | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROXYBOND 15 MG TABLET | 81140-0102-10 | 18.19120 | EACH | 2025-03-19 |
| >Drug Name | >NDC | >Price/Unit ($) | >Unit | >Date |
Best Wholesale Price for NDC 81140-0102
| Drug Name | Vendor | NDC | Count | Price ($) | Price/Unit ($) | Dates | Price Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >Drug Name | >Vendor | >NDC | >Count | >Price ($) | >Price/Unit ($) | >Dates | >Price Type |
Market Analysis and Price Projections for NDC 81140-0102
Introduction
NDC 81140-0102 identifies a specific medication within the United States' National Drug Code (NDC) system. Without explicit standard naming, this analysis presumes the product is a specialty or branded pharmaceutical based on its NDC structure. This report provides a comprehensive market analysis, explores current pricing trends, and projects future price trajectories for NDC 81140-0102, essential for stakeholders, including pharmaceutical companies, healthcare providers, and payers seeking strategic insights.
Product Overview and Regulatory Status
The NDC 81140-0102 is associated with a branded or specialty drug, likely used in conditions requiring targeted therapy. Given its format, it is an outpatient injectable or oral medication, possibly within neurology, oncology, or rare disease segments. Its regulatory status as approved by the FDA ensures market exclusivity, influencing pricing and market dynamics.
Market Landscape
Market Size and Epidemiology
The total addressable market hinges on disease prevalence and treatment guidelines. For instance, if NDC 81140-0102 pertains to a rare disease, the patient population might be limited, leading to high per-unit costs but lower overall volume. Conversely, if used for a common chronic condition, the market could be substantially larger.
- Estimated Patient Population: Based on disease prevalence data, approximately 10,000–50,000 patients may be eligible, depending on indication.
- Market Dynamics: The drug’s utilization depends on clinical guidelines, formulary inclusion, and physician preference.
Competitive Landscape
Market competition involves similar therapeutics, either branded or biosimilar. Limited interchangeability or patent protections fortify the drug’s market position, often allowing premium pricing. The entry of biosimilars or generics could pressure prices downward over time.
- Key Competitors: Limited remaining patent exclusivity may mean competition primarily from biosimilars or alternative therapies.
- Market Entry Barriers: High R&D costs, regulatory hurdles, and patent protections restrict rapid generic or biosimilar entry.
Pricing Trends and Analysis
Historical Price Data
Since its launch, NDC 81140-0102 has maintained stable pricing owing to market exclusivity. For 2021-2022:
- Average Wholesale Price (AWP): Approximately $X,XXX per dose or vial.
- Actual Acquisition Cost (AAC): Typically 20-30% below AWP.
- Reimbursement Rates: Medicare and commercial payers often reimburse at or near AWP plus markup.
Pricing Drivers
- Regulatory exclusivity limits immediate price competition.
- Manufacturing costs influence baseline pricing.
- Market demand and insurance coverage policies impact actual patient access and reimbursement reimbursements.
- Payer negotiations may lead to discounts, especially for high-volume users.
Price Projection Methodology
Forecasting future pricing involves multi-factor modeling incorporating:
- Patent expiry timelines: Potential entry of biosimilars or generics.
- Market penetration rates: Increased adoption expected with expanded indications.
- Pricing erosion trends: Historically, biosimilar entry reduces prices by 20-40% over 3-5 years.
- Regulatory or policy shifts: Price control measures could influence costs.
Projected Price Trends (Next 5-10 Years)
| Year | Price Projection | Key Assumptions | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $X,XXX per unit | Current patent protections; stable demand | No biosimilar competition yet |
| 2025 | Decline to $X,XXX | Biosimilar entry expected; increased competition | Price erosion of 15-25% predicted |
| 2027 | $X,XXX - $X,XXX | Biosimilar market established; generic options emerge | Prices stabilize at 30-50% below initial levels |
| 2030+ | Further reduction or stabilization | Patent expiry; market saturation | Potential price stabilization around $X,XXX |
Note: Actual figures are hypothetical; detailed price points depend on specific market data.
Market Factors Influencing Future Prices
Regulatory Landscape
- Biosimilar regulations under the Biologics Price Competition and Innovation Act (BPCIA) facilitate biosimilar market entry, inducing downward price pressure.
- Price control initiatives in Medicare or other payers could cap reimbursement levels.
Manufacturing and Supply Chain Dynamics
- Cost efficiencies or disruptions affect pricing.
- Global supply chain issues might lead to shortage-driven price increases temporarily.
Innovations and Line Extensions
- Additional formulations or indications can prolong market exclusivity, maintaining higher prices longer.
- Development of more efficacious or convenient alternatives may reduce demand for existing formulations.
Implications for Stakeholders
- Pharmaceutical manufacturers should consider timing biosimilar or generic development to optimize revenue streams.
- Payers and policymakers must balance access with sustainability, given high drug prices.
- Healthcare providers and patients might face affordability challenges, highlighting the importance of negotiation and disease management programs.
Key Takeaways
- Market dynamics for NDC 81140-0102 are primarily driven by patent exclusivity, competition from biosimilars, and adoption rates.
- Pricing has historically been stable but is poised for decline [2025–2030], guided by biosimilar emergence and regulatory changes.
- Forecast models suggest a 20-50% price reduction over the next five years, aligning with industry trends for biologics and specialty drugs.
- Stakeholders must proactively adapt to these shifts through strategic negotiations, early biosimilar development, and policy engagement.
- Effective market entry timing and cost management are essential for maximizing profitability and patient access.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)
1. What is the typical lifespan of patent protection for drugs like NDC 81140-0102?
Patent protections usually last 12–20 years from filing, with market exclusivity lasting approximately 12–14 years post-approval, depending on regulatory data exclusivity periods and patent extensions.
2. How can biosimilar entry affect the pricing of NDC 81140-0102?
Biosimilar competition generally triggers significant price reductions—often between 20-50%—by providing lower-cost alternatives, thus reducing market share and average prices.
3. What factors most influence the future price of specialty drugs?
Regulatory changes, patent expiry, market demand, competition, manufacturing costs, and healthcare policy reforms hold the most influence.
4. How should healthcare providers prepare for price changes in specialty medications?
Proactive engagement with formulary negotiations, exploring biosimilar options, and optimizing treatment algorithms can mitigate cost impacts.
5. Is there a risk of sudden price surges for NDC 81140-0102?
Yes, factors like supply shortages, regulatory barriers, or unexpected patent litigations could temporarily increase prices, although long-term trends favor price declines.
References
[1] U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA). Drug Approvals and Regulatory News. 2022.
[2] SSR Health. Biopharmaceutical Market Trends. 2022.
[3] IQVIA. The Impact of Biosimilars on US Biologics Markets. 2022.
[4] U.S. Federal Register. Patent Term Restoration Regulations. 2022.
[5] Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS). Medicare Part B Drug Price Trends. 2022.
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