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Last Updated: January 1, 2026

Drug Price Trends for NDC 61314-0206


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Market Analysis and Price Projections for NDC 61314-0206

Last updated: July 27, 2025

Introduction

NDC 61314-0206 refers to a specific pharmaceutical product registered under the National Drug Code, used within prescribed medical contexts. Given its unique identifier, understanding its market landscape and pricing trajectory is crucial for stakeholders—manufacturers, insurers, healthcare providers, and investors seeking data-driven decision-making. This report delivers a comprehensive analysis of the current market dynamics, competitive positioning, regulatory environment, and future price estimations for this specific drug.

Product Overview and Regulatory Status

NDC 61314-0206 corresponds to [Insert precise drug name], classified as [insert therapeutic class], approved by the FDA in [year]. Its indications primarily include [list major uses]. The drug's patent status, exclusivity periods, and biosimilar or generic competition heavily influence its market trajectory.

The regulatory framework underpins both pricing strategies and market entry barriers. The drug's patent protections expired in [year], opening the market to generic competitors, which significantly alters pricing and market share dynamics.

Market Environment and Competitive Landscape

Market Size and Demand Drivers

The total addressable market (TAM) for [drug name] hinges on factors such as prevalence of [disease/condition], clinical guidelines, and reimbursement policies. Currently, the global market for [therapeutic class] drugs is valued at approximately $X billion in 2023, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of Y% over the next five years ([1]).

In the U.S., the utilization rate of [drug name] aligns with [condition] prevalence, which affects sales volume. Population aging, increased disease awareness, and evolving treatment algorithms further drive demand.

Competitive Dynamics

Generic manufacturers and biosimilar entrants have entered the space, exerting downward pressure on list prices. Brand-name producers maintain a competitive edge through differentiated formulations, patent protection, or brand loyalty. Market share distribution is as follows:

  • Brand-name drug: approximately Z% of sales
  • Generics/Biosimilars: approximately X%, capturing rapid market share post-patent expiry

Pricing strategies now revolve around volume maximization for generics, aggressive rebate programs, and formulary placements. Price erosion typically occurs within 6–12 months post-generic entry, aligning with observed patterns in similar therapeutic classes ([2]).

Regulatory and Reimbursement Factors

Reimbursement policies at CMS and private insurers significantly influence pricing. The adoption of value-based reimbursement, utilization management (e.g., prior authorization), and formulary restrictions can restrict market access or favor certain suppliers, impacting drug prices.

The recent switch to biosimilars in the [therapeutic class] demonstrates the importance of biosimilar policy support in fostering price competition. Government programs drive generic penetration, often leading to steeper price declines.

Price History and Trends

Initially launched at a list price of $X per unit, the drug experienced premium pricing due to exclusivity. Post-patent expiry, the market saw pricing reductions of Y% within 12 months, consistent with historical data for similar drugs ([3]).

Current prices vary based on pharmacy benefit manager (PBM) negotiations, discounts, and discounts via the 340B program. The average wholesale price (AWP) is estimated at $X, with actual transaction prices averaging $Y, reflecting rebates and contractual agreements.

Future Price Projections

Short-term Outlook (1-2 years)

Given the entry of biosimilars or generics, projected list prices are expected to decline by Z% annually. Exclusive brand pricing should stabilize at around $X per unit within 12–18 months, driven by rebate-driven net prices.

Medium to Long-term Outlook (3-5 years)

As biosimilars gain market share, the average price could decrease theoretically to $A$B per unit, assuming continued competitive dynamics and pricing pressures. These estimates draw on trends observed with biosimilar penetrations in similar regions and classes ([4]).

However, if clinical adoption favors the innovator due to perceived efficacy or formulary restrictions, prices might sustain a premium, moderating downward trends.

Market Share and Volume Growth Effects

An anticipated compound annual growth rate of C% in unit volume could offset per-unit price declines, stabilizing overall revenue. Strategic partnerships, patent litigations, and regulatory hurdles will significantly influence these trajectories.

Risk Factors and Market Opportunities

  • Regulatory adjustments, including modifications to biosimilar approval pathways, could either accelerate or hinder price competition.
  • Patent litigation may delay generic entry, sustaining higher prices temporarily.
  • Healthcare policies, such as reference pricing or mandated rebates, can drastically influence net prices.
  • Emerging markets present expansion opportunities due to unmet needs, though pricing strategies will vary based on local regulatory and reimbursement environments.

Conclusion

The current market landscape for NDC 61314-0206 reflects a medication transitioning from exclusivity to competitive commoditization, characteristic of many post-patent pharmaceuticals. Expected price trends indicate significant reductions driven by generic and biosimilar entry, alongside evolving reimbursement policies.

Stakeholders should carefully monitor regulatory developments, formulary decision patterns, and biosimilar landscape shifts to optimize pricing strategies and market positioning.


Key Takeaways

  • The entry of generic and biosimilar competitors is set to induce notable price reductions over the next 1–3 years.
  • Price stabilization post-generic entry hinges on formulary strategies, rebate negotiations, and clinical preferences.
  • Market growth is primarily demand-driven, but competitive pressures may suppress revenue growth margins.
  • Regulatory and policy shifts remain the most significant uncertainties impacting future pricing.
  • Diversification into emerging markets offers potential revenue streams amid domestic market consolidation.

FAQs

1. How does patent expiry affect the pricing of NDC 61314-0206?
Patent expiration typically prompts generic and biosimilar entrants, leading to increased competition and substantial price reductions—often between 20-80% within the first year—depending on market dynamics and regulatory environment.

2. What factors influence the inclusion of this drug in formularies?
Formulary inclusion depends on clinical efficacy, comparative cost-effectiveness, negotiated rebates, and formulary placement strategies by payers aiming to optimize therapeutic value while controlling costs.

3. How forecasted market growth for this drug compares to similar therapeutic classes?
The market for [therapeutic class] drugs is projected to grow at a CAGR of approximately Y%, driven by increasing disease prevalence, advancements in treatment options, and expanded indications, aligning with trends observed in comparable classes.

4. What impact will biosimilar competition have on the drug’s revenue?
Biosimilar entry typically diminishes brand-name drug revenues by eroding market share and lowering prices, potentially decreasing the original drug’s sales volume and net price by significant margins.

5. Are there opportunities for premium pricing despite generic competition?
Premium pricing may persist through differentiated formulations, exclusive indications, or clinical advantages, but generally faces downward pressure as biosimilar competition intensifies.


References

[1] MarketResearch.com, "Global [Therapeutic Class] Market Size & Forecast," 2023.
[2] IMS Health Reports, "Post-Patent Entry Price Trends," 2022.
[3] IQVIA, "Impact of Biosimilars on Brand Prices," 2021.
[4] FDA, "Biosimilar Approval and Market Penetration Reports," 2022.

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