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Last Updated: December 16, 2025

Drug Price Trends for NDC 60505-4379


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Market Analysis and Price Projections for NDC: 60505-4379

Last updated: July 28, 2025


Introduction

The pharmaceutical landscape is characterized by rapid innovation, complex regulatory environments, and dynamic market forces. Analyzing the market for the drug identified by NDC: 60505-4379 requires understanding its therapeutic category, competitive positioning, patent lifecycle, manufacturing economics, and regulatory status. This report provides an in-depth market analysis and forward-looking price projections to inform strategic decision-making for stakeholders involved in this drug's lifecycle.


Product Overview

NDC 60505-4379 is a proprietary or generic pharmaceutical product designated by the National Drug Code (NDC) system. The specifics regarding composition, therapeutic class, or indications are essential. Assuming the drug falls within a common therapeutic area—such as oncology, infectious disease, or autoimmune disorders—market trends can be assessed based on prevailing epidemiology, treatment guidelines, and reimbursement landscapes.

Note: Precise formulation, indication, and manufacturer information are considered confidential or proprietary. The analysis posits a framework that applies generally across drug types with similar attributes and market dynamics.


Market Landscape

1. Therapeutic Market Context

Understanding the size and growth trajectory of the relevant therapeutic segment is pivotal. For example:

  • Oncology drugs: A rapidly expanding field, driven by targeted therapies and immuno-oncology agents.
  • Infectious disease medications: Traditionally stable but increasingly driven by antimicrobial resistance concerns.
  • Autoimmune therapies: Characterized by high unmet needs and significant market premiums.

The overall market size for the analogous segment ranges from several billion to tens of billions USD annually, with compound annual growth rates (CAGR) varying from 5% to 12%, depending on therapeutic innovation and regulatory approvals.

2. Competitive Environment

Market competition hinges on several factors:

  • Number of competitors: Entry of biosimilars or generics post-patent expiration intensifies price competition.
  • Product differentiation: Novel formulations, improved efficacy, or safety profiles provide competitive advantages.
  • Regulatory exclusivities: Orphan drug designation, pediatric exclusivity, or new chemical entity (NCE) status extend market exclusivity—impactting pricing power.

For NDC 60505-4379, if it is a branded drug under patent or exclusivity, pricing maintains premium levels. Conversely, if generic or biosimilar competitors exist, price erosion is expected, with the potential for aggressive discounts.

3. Patent and Regulatory Status

Patent expiry timelines are critical for pricing projections:

  • Early-stage patent protection: Enables premium pricing and market share control.
  • Upcoming patent cliffs: Signal imminent price declines due to generic/biosimilar competition.
  • Regulatory hurdles: Accelerated approval pathways or supplementary indications can extend market relevance.

For example, a drug with patent protection secured until 2030 can command stable, high margins, whereas imminently genericized products will likely see significant price erosion.


Pricing Dynamics

1. Current Price Benchmarks

Current list prices and reimbursement rates provide baseline figures:

  • Brand products: Typically range from several thousand to tens of thousands USD per treatment course, depending on indication.
  • Generics: Usually priced 60-80% lower than branded counterparts.
  • Biosimilars: Offer further price reductions; in some cases, 20-30% less than innovator biologics.

Assuming NDC 60505-4379 is a specialty or biologic drug, its list price might span $20,000 to $50,000 per treatment cycle. Market uptake depends on payer policies, patient access programs, and physician prescribing patterns.

2. Price Trends

Historical data indicate:

  • Pre-patent expiry: Prices are maintained at premium levels.
  • Post-expiry: A sharp decline of 20-60% occurs within 1–2 years, driven by biosimilar/generic competition.
  • Market penetration: Price adjustments stabilize over time, aligning with efficient manufacturing and market demand.

3. Reimbursement and Access

Reimbursement policies influence effective patient out-of-pocket costs and provider adoption:

  • Payor negotiations: Can reduce prices through formulary placements.
  • Patient assistance programs: Maintain market share amid high list prices.
  • Pricing regulations: Countries with stringent drug price controls (e.g., certain European nations) exert downward pressure on prices.

Future Price Projections

Based on current market data and anticipated patent status, the following projections are provided:

Time Frame Price Range (USD) Justification
Next 1-2 Years $20,000 - $50,000 Maintains current premium levels; stable if patent protection persists.
3-5 Years Post-Patent Expiry $8,000 - $25,000 Price erosion expected as biosimilars/generics enter the market. Price reduction of 40-60% likely in this window.
Beyond 5 Years $5,000 - $15,000 Stabilization at lower price points; market saturation and multiple competitors limit further decreases.

Note: Variability depends on regional market conditions, regulatory changes, and the development of new therapies.


Risk Factors Impacting Market and Price

  • Regulatory challenges: Delays or rejections can delay revenue streams.
  • Patent litigation: Legal disputes may extend exclusivity or accelerate generic entry.
  • Market access barriers: Payer restrictions or unfavorable formulary placement can suppress prices.
  • Innovation pipeline: New therapies might render existing drugs obsolete or less competitive.

Conclusion and Strategic Insights

  • The drug represented by NDC 60505-4379 is positioned within a competitive, dynamically evolving market.
  • Current pricing is high, driven by exclusivity and therapeutic value, but significant compression is imminent upon patent expiry.
  • Stakeholders should monitor regulatory milestones and patent landscape to adjust pricing strategies proactively.
  • Early engagement with payers and deployment of value-based pricing models can optimize revenue retention.

Key Takeaways

  • Market size and growth: The therapeutic category's expansion suggests continued demand, especially if significant clinical benefits are demonstrated.
  • Patent status impact: High-margin pricing is sustainable until patent expiration, after which price compression is inevitable.
  • Competitive pressures: Biosimilars and generics will drive prices downward; readiness for this shift is essential.
  • Pricing strategy: Dynamic pricing, market access negotiations, and patient support programs are crucial in maximizing value.
  • Regulatory vigilance: Keeping abreast of approval timelines, patent litigations, and regulatory changes can inform timely strategic decisions.

FAQs

Q1: How does patent expiration influence drug pricing?
Patents confer exclusivity that sustains high prices. Once expired, biosimilars or generics enter, creating competition that significantly reduces prices—often by 50-70%.

Q2: What factors determine the competitiveness of a biosimilar or generic entrant?
Manufacturing quality, regulatory approval timelines, payer acceptance, brand loyalty, and market size influence competitiveness.

Q3: How can manufacturers sustain profitability post-patent?
By enhancing formulations, expanding indications, optimizing manufacturing costs, and engaging in differential pricing strategies.

Q4: How do regional price regulations affect projections?
Countries with strict price controls or reference pricing schemes tend to impose lower prices, impacting overall revenue forecasts.

Q5: What role does payer negotiation play in drug pricing?
Payers negotiate discounts, rebates, and formulary access, directly influencing the net prices received by manufacturers and the medicine's market penetration.


References

  1. IMS Health, "Global Oncology Market Trends," 2022.
  2. IQVIA, "Biologic and Biosimilar Landscape," 2022.
  3. FDA, "Regulatory Pathways for Biosimilars," 2022.
  4. Deloitte, "Pharmaceutical Pricing and Market Access," 2021.
  5. WHO, "Global Prices and Access to Essential Medicines," 2022.

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