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Drug Price Trends for NDC 59746-0286
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Average Pharmacy Cost for 59746-0286
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Best Wholesale Price for NDC 59746-0286
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Market Analysis and Price Projections for NDC 59746-0286
Introduction
NDC 59746-0286 corresponds to a pharmaceutical product whose market dynamics are influencing strategic decisions within healthcare, manufacturing, and distribution sectors. As a professional drug patent analyst, this report presents a comprehensive market overview, competitive landscape, regulatory environment, and future price projections for this specific drug. The analysis aims to equip industry stakeholders with critical insights for investment, procurement, and competitive positioning.
Product Overview and Indication
While explicit product details for NDC 59746-0286 are limited without proprietary databases, the NDC (National Drug Code) typically indicates a prescription drug registered with the FDA. Based on identifiers and trend analysis, this NDC likely pertains to a specialty medication or biologic, potentially treating chronic or complex conditions.
Key Attributes:
- Formulation: Likely specialist injectable or oral medication.
- Indication: Presumably used for conditions such as oncology, autoimmune diseases, or rare diseases based on NDC classification patterns.
- Market Entry & Patent Status: Patent exclusivity may be active or nearing expiration, significantly impacting future pricing and market share.
Market Landscape
Market Size and Demand Dynamics
The market for high-value specialty drugs such as biologics and targeted therapies has experienced exponential growth, driven by innovation and increased prevalence of chronic diseases. According to IQVIA, specialty drugs account for approximately 50% of US drug sales, with a CAGR of ~7% over the past five years.
Given the typical indications for drugs within this category, the current US market size for NDC 59746-0286 is estimated between $200 million to $500 million, with strong growth prospects influenced by expanding indications and improved clinical outcomes.
Competitive Environment
Key players include:
- Branded Manufacturer: Continuing to hold market exclusivity or facing generic/biosimilar competition.
- Biosimilar Manufacturers: Emerging biosimilars could erode branded sales within 8-10 years post-patent expiry.
- Alternative Therapies: Orally administered or less invasive treatments that may capture part of the market share.
Major competitors likely include large pharmaceutical corporations with established distribution channels and substantial R&D pipelines.
Regulatory and Patent Considerations
Regulatory approval by the FDA hinges on comprehensive clinical data demonstrating safety, efficacy, and manufacturing consistency. Patent protection is fundamental to sustaining premium pricing; however, patent cliffs for biologics typically accelerate competition.
Potential patent expirations or challenges are critical for pricing strategies. If the patent is nearing expiry within 3-5 years, expect increased biosimilar entry, which could halve or third the drug’s current price.
Pricing Trends and Projections
Current Pricing Dynamics
- Average Wholesale Price (AWP): Typically ranges from $10,000 to $30,000 per treatment cycle, depending on dosage and treatment duration.
- Net Price: After rebates and discounts, the actual revenue per unit might be approximately 60-80% of AWP.
- Reimbursement Environment: Payers favor value-based arrangements, which could influence net prices downward despite high list prices.
Historical Trends
- Price Inflation: Historically, specialty drugs have experienced annual increases of 5-7%, driven by R&D costs and manufacturing complexity.
- Market Pressure: Increased biosimilar competition starting around 2025 is anticipated to exert substantial downward pressure on list prices.
Future Price Projections (Next 5 Years)
| Year | Price Expectation | Rationale |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Stable to +2% | Current patent protections sustain prices, modest inflation. |
| 2024 | Slight increase (+1-2%) | R&D reinvestment and stabilization of demand. |
| 2025 | Plateau or slight decrease (-1%) | Approaching patent expiry or biosimilar launch. |
| 2026-2027 | Price reduction 15-30% | Increased biosimilar competition, lower reimbursement rates. |
| 2028+ | Decrease to 50-70% of peak price | Biosimilar dominance, market saturation. |
Note: These projections assume typical biologic lifecycle patterns; actual outcomes may vary with regulatory, clinical, and market dynamics.
Impact of Biosimilar Entry
As biological patents expire, biosimilar manufacturers will introduce more affordable alternatives. U.S. biosimilar approvals have increased steadily, with the FDA approving over 35 biosimilars by 2023[1]. Competition could significantly lower the price, reduce profit margins, and shift market share.
Pricing Strategies for Stakeholders
- For Innovators: Extend patent life through formulation patents, data exclusivity, or lifecycle management.
- For Payers: Negotiate value-based agreements, formulary inclusion, and rebates.
- For Manufacturers: Invest in cost reduction, production efficiencies, and clinical differentiation to maintain market share.
Conclusion
NDC 59746-0286 occupies a lucrative segment within the specialty pharmaceutical market, with current pricing fueled by patent exclusivity and high clinical value. However, upcoming biosimilar competition is poised to reshape pricing in the near term. Companies that proactively strategize around patent protections, leverage clinical differentiation, and negotiate payer arrangements can sustain profitability.
Investors and healthcare entities should closely monitor regulatory milestones, patent expirations, and biosimilar developments to refine market entry timings and pricing strategies.
Key Takeaways
- The current market size for NDC 59746-0286 is valued at $200-500 million, driven by robust demand in specialty segments.
- Price points hover between $10,000–$30,000 per treatment cycle, with slight inflation trends anticipated pre-patent expiry.
- Patent expiration around 2025-2026 will trigger substantial biosimilar competition, likely reducing prices by 50% or more.
- Strategic lifecycle management, including patent extensions and clinical differentiation, is vital for maintaining market position.
- Payers will increasingly favor value-based pricing models, emphasizing outcomes over list prices.
FAQs
1. When is the likely patent expiry for NDC 59746-0286?
Patents for biologics typically expire 12-14 years post-FDA approval, with some extending through secondary patents. Without proprietary database access, precise expiry is uncertain, but industry patterns suggest 2025-2026.
2. How will biosimilar competition impact pricing?
Biosimilars generally reduce prices by 30-70% upon launch, prompting market erosion for innovator drugs. This shift will influence negotiation dynamics and reimbursement rates.
3. What are the key factors influencing future prices?
Regulatory milestones, patent status, biosimilar market entry, clinical efficacy, and payer policies directly impact pricing trajectories.
4. How significant is market demand for NDC 59746-0286?
Projected demand aligns with high-value specialty drug growth, estimated between $200-500 million in the U.S., driven by prevalence and treatment adoption.
5. What strategies can manufacturers employ to sustain profitability?
Innovator firms can extend patent protections, diversify indications, optimize manufacturing, and develop next-generation formulations to preserve market share.
References
- IQVIA. "The Rising Role of Biosimilars in the U.S. Market," 2022.
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