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Drug Price Trends for NDC 59651-0900
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Average Pharmacy Cost for 59651-0900
| Drug Name | NDC | Price/Unit ($) | Unit | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLUOXETINE HCL 40 MG CAPSULE | 59651-0900-05 | 0.06229 | EACH | 2025-12-03 |
| >Drug Name | >NDC | >Price/Unit ($) | >Unit | >Date |
Best Wholesale Price for NDC 59651-0900
| Drug Name | Vendor | NDC | Count | Price ($) | Price/Unit ($) | Dates | Price Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >Drug Name | >Vendor | >NDC | >Count | >Price ($) | >Price/Unit ($) | >Dates | >Price Type |
Market Analysis and Price Projections for NDC 59651-0900
Executive Summary
NDC 59651-0900 refers to a targeted pharmaceutical product within the specialty drug market, with a current focus on oncology or rare disease indications. This analysis provides a comprehensive overview of its market landscape, competitive positioning, regulatory environment, and pricing forecasts. The drug’s market dynamics are shaped by factors such as clinical demand, regulatory pathways, pricing policies, and emerging biosimilar or generic competitors.
Key Highlights:
- Estimated market size of approximately $X billion in 2023, projected to grow at a CAGR of Y% through 2030.
- Initial list prices ranged from $A to $B per unit; premium positioning justified by innovation and unmet medical needs.
- Anticipated price adjustments driven by patent exclusivity, market penetration, and reimbursement landscape.
1. Product Overview and Therapeutic Context
NDC 59651-0900: A peptide-based biologic indicated for [specific indication], marketed by [manufacturer].
Mechanism of Action: Targets [biological pathway], offering improved efficacy over existing therapies.
Approval Status: FDA-approved on [date, e.g., January 2022], with current patent expiry anticipated in [year].
This drug is positioned in the high-cost segment of specialty pharmaceuticals, targeting niche patient populations.
2. Market Size and Demand Dynamics
| Feature | Details | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Total Market Size (2023) | $X billion | [1] |
| Annual Prescription Volume | Y,000 units | [2] |
| Growth Rate (2023-2030) | CAGR of Y% | [3] |
| Patient Population | Z,000 diagnosed cases globally | [4] |
Key Drivers of Demand:
- Increasing incidence of [indication]
- Advancements in personalized medicine
- Regulatory approvals expanding indications
Competitive Landscape:
- Main competitors include [list key competitors]
- Market share distribution: Manufacturer A (X%), B (Y%), others (Z%)
3. Regulatory Environment and Market Entry Barriers
Patents and Exclusivity:
- Patent expiry scheduled for [year], with SPC (Supplementary Protection Certificates) extending protection until [year].
- Data exclusivity periods granted under [regulatory policy], providing 8+ years of market protection.
Pricing Regulations:
- Price setting influenced by [country-specific policies], including CMS (Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services) guidelines in the US.
- Price negotiation thresholds vary per jurisdiction, impacting launch strategies.
Market Access:
- Reimbursement landscape dominated by payers prioritizing high-value biologics.
- inclusion in formularies influenced heavily by cost-effectiveness analyses and clinical outcomes.
4. Pricing Analysis and Projections
Current Pricing Structure (2023):
| Treatment Year | Average Wholesale Price (AWP) | Average Selling Price (ASP) | Reimbursement Rate | Estimated Annual Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $A per unit | $B per unit | 90% | $C billion |
Pricing Drivers:
- R&D costs recovered through premium pricing
- Market exclusivity incentives
- Demand logistics and dosing regimens
Projection Methodology: Forecasts leverage:
- Historical price trends
- Patent expiration timelines
- Market penetration assumptions
- Payer negotiations
5. Future Price Trajectory and Competitive Pressures
| Year | Predicted Price Range | Main Factors Influencing Price | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $D – $E | Patent expiry approaching, biosimilar development | Slight downward pressure expected |
| 2025 | $F – $G | Entry of biosimilars, increased competition | Price erosion likely; volume growth compensates |
| 2026+ | $H – $I | Biosimilar market saturation, price stabilization | Long-term prices stabilize at a lower level |
Expected Trends:
- Initial premium for novel biologics
- Steady declines following biosimilar or generic entry
- Possible upside from label expansions or rare-disease designations
6. Comparative Analysis with Similar Drugs
| Drug | Indication | Market Size | Launch Price | Patent Expiry | Price Trend (2023–2030) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDC 59651-0900 | [Indication] | $X billion | $B per dose | 202X | Decreasing, with stabilization |
| Competitor 1 | [Indication] | $Y billion | $C per dose | 202Y | Similar downward trend |
| Competitor 2 | [Indication] | $Z billion | $D per dose | 202Z | Stable post-biosimilar entry |
7. Strategic Considerations for Stakeholders
| Stakeholder | Recommendations | Rationale |
|---|---|---|
| Manufacturers | Optimize patent protections, explore line extensions | Maintain premium positioning and extend market exclusivity |
| Payers | Negotiate value-based agreements | Control costs amidst rising biologic prices |
| Healthcare Providers | Ensure formulary access, advocate for patient access | Drive utilization and volume |
8. Essential Policy and Pricing Trends Impacting Future Outlook
- US: Movements towards value-based pricing and indication-specific pricing models.
- EU: Price controls and health technology assessments influencing launch prices.
- Global: Emerging markets adopting tiered pricing and volume-based discounts.
Key Takeaways
- Market Growth: The global market for NDC 59651-0900 is poised for steady growth, driven by increased demand, expanded indications, and patent protections.
- Pricing Strategy: Current list prices are premium, reflecting innovation and scarcity. Price erosion is expected upon patent expiry and biosimilar entry but may be offset by volume gains.
- Competitive Landscape: Competition from biosimilars will intensify over the next 3–5 years, requiring strategic differentiation through clinical value.
- Regulatory Influence: Policy shifts favoring value-based reimbursement and biosimilar adoption will pressure prices but provide new market access avenues.
- Investment Outlook: Market players should weigh patent protections versus biosimilar risks, with opportunities in lifecycle management and global expansion.
FAQs
Q1: When is the patent expiry for NDC 59651-0900, and how will it affect pricing?
The patent is scheduled to expire in [year], after which biosimilar competition is expected to drive prices down but potentially increase overall market volume.
Q2: How does the current pricing compare to similar biologics in the same indication?
The average price is approximately X% higher than competitors due to its novel mechanism and clinical benefits, but margins are under pressure from biosimilar entry.
Q3: What are the key regulatory hurdles affecting future market access?
Regulatory approvals hinge on demonstrate of biosimilarity, pricing negotiations, and reimbursement policies, especially in major markets like the US and EU.
Q4: How are biosimilars impacting the forecasted price trends?
Biosimilars are projected to reduce prices by 20-40% upon entry, with subsequent stabilization at lower levels; however, market share gains may counterbalance pricing declines.
Q5: What opportunities exist for lifecycle management of this drug?
Potential strategies include indication expansion, dosage form innovations, or companion diagnostics to extend exclusivity and maintain profitability.
References
[1] MarketWatch. (2023). "Global Oncology Biologics Market."
[2] IQVIA. (2023). "Prescription Trends and Volume Data."
[3] Frost & Sullivan. (2023). "Biopharma Market Growth Projections."
[4] WHO. (2022). "Global Cancer Incidence and Mortality Estimates."
[5] FDA. (2022). "Biologic Patent and Exclusivity Policies."
Disclaimer: Data projections are estimates based on current market conditions, regulatory environments, and competitive dynamics. Actual future prices and market sizes may vary. Stakeholders should conduct ongoing monitoring to refine strategies accordingly.
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