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Drug Price Trends for NDC 45802-0493
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Average Pharmacy Cost for 45802-0493
| Drug Name | NDC | Price/Unit ($) | Unit | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMMONIUM LACTATE 12% CREAM | 45802-0493-83 | 0.05996 | GM | 2025-11-19 |
| AMMONIUM LACTATE 12% CREAM | 45802-0493-26 | 0.07064 | GM | 2025-11-19 |
| AMMONIUM LACTATE 12% CREAM | 45802-0493-83 | 0.05458 | GM | 2025-10-22 |
| >Drug Name | >NDC | >Price/Unit ($) | >Unit | >Date |
Best Wholesale Price for NDC 45802-0493
| Drug Name | Vendor | NDC | Count | Price ($) | Price/Unit ($) | Dates | Price Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >Drug Name | >Vendor | >NDC | >Count | >Price ($) | >Price/Unit ($) | >Dates | >Price Type |
Market Analysis and Price Projections for NDC: 45802-0493
Introduction
The drug identified by NDC 45802-0493 is a specific formulation registered within the National Drug Code (NDC) system, maintained by the FDA. This analysis aims to provide comprehensive insights into the current market landscape, competitive positioning, regulatory considerations, and future pricing trajectories for this pharmaceutical product. As market dynamics evolve, understanding these factors enables stakeholders—manufacturers, investors, payers, and healthcare providers—to make informed decisions.
Drug Profile and Therapeutic Context
The NDC 45802-0493 corresponds to a proprietary or generic pharmaceutical product, likely targeting a prevalent medical condition. The precise therapeutic class, active ingredient, and dosage form influence market size, competitive environment, and pricing trends.
Assumption Based on NDC Prefix:
The prefix "45802" indicates a product registered under a specific manufacturer, likely based in the US, with particular specialization. Without explicit ingredient data, the analysis considers a common scenario: an FDA-approved, branded, or generic medication for chronic or acute conditions where competitive dynamics are well-established.
Market Landscape
Market Size and Demand
Estimating the market size for NDC 45802-0493 involves examining national prescription data, prevalence of the target condition, and utilization rates. According to IQVIA, the U.S. prescription volume for similar medications ranges from hundreds of thousands to several million units annually, depending on the therapeutic class.
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Prevalence Data: For common chronic conditions like hypertension, diabetes, or respiratory illnesses, therapeutic markets generate substantial demand. If the drug addresses a niche indication, the market could be more limited but possibly more stable due to unmet needs.
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Physician Adoption and Prescriber Trends: Early adoption rates, formulary inclusion, and insurance coverage significantly influence demand trajectories.
Competitive Environment
The landscape is shaped by branded and generic competitors, regulatory exclusivities, and patents:
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Patent Status: If the patent protection has expired or is nearing expiration, generics are likely to enter the market, intensifying price competition.
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Generic Competition: Based on manufacturing costs and regulatory barriers, generic manufacturers frequently undercut branded prices, putting downward pressure on the market.
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Regulatory Exclusivity: Data exclusivity or orphan drug status could extend market exclusivity, delaying generic competition.
Pricing Overview
Current Price Benchmarks
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Branded Version: Typically commands a premium, with average wholesale prices (AWP) ranging from $200 to over $1,000 per month, depending on potency and indication.
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Generic Version: Prices generally vary between 20% to 60% of branded equivalents. For example, if the brand costs approximately $500/week, generics might range from $200 to $300/week.
Price Influencers
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Manufacturing Costs: Lower costs for generics often trigger significant price reductions.
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Market Penetration: High prescription volume may lead to discounts and negotiated rebates.
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Insurance and PBM Negotiations: Reimbursements heavily influence retail prices; payer negotiations can substantially affect net prices.
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Regulatory and Patent Landscape: New patent grants or exclusivities inflate prices temporarily; expiration prompts price drops.
Future Price Projections
Short-to-Medium Term (1-3 years)
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Patent Expiry and Generic Entry: If NDC 45802-0493 belongs to a drug with expiring patent protection within this window, expect a rapid decline in the average price post-generic launch, typically by 50-60% within 1-2 years.
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Market Saturation: Growing prescriber acceptance and insurance formulary placements can sustain or elevate prices temporarily, especially if supply shortages or manufacturing constraints occur.
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Price Erosion Trends: Historical data on similar medicines suggest a consistent price erosion pattern post-generic entry, with initial sharp declines stabilizing over subsequent years.
Long Term (3-5 years and beyond)
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Market Maturation: As generic competition stabilizes, prices tend to plateau at lower levels, driven primarily by manufacturing efficiencies and market size.
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Potential for Biosimilar or Next-Generation Variants: Innovative formulations or biosimilars could influence price dynamics further, either maintaining premium levels or accelerating price reductions.
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Policy and Regulatory Changes: Legislative measures, drug pricing reforms, or value-based reimbursement models could alter current pricing trajectories, either constraining or enabling premium pricing.
Regulatory and Patent Considerations
The patent landscape critically influences price stability:
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Data Exclusivity Periods: Typically last 5 years in the U.S., delaying generic approval.
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Patent Challenges: Watch for recent patent filings or litigation that could extend exclusivity or open pathways for biosimilar development.
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Regulatory Approvals: FDA approvals of biosimilars or generics following patent expiration often precipitate steadier price declines.
Strategic Implications for Stakeholders
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Manufacturers: Investing in patent protection or branding strategies can prolong exclusivity and stabilize high prices.
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Payers and Insurers: Negotiating rebates and formulary placements are vital for controlling costs amid forthcoming generic competition.
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Investors: Monitoring patent statuses, market penetration rates, and regulatory timing provides insight into revenue potential and risks.
Key Takeaways
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The current market for NDC 45802-0493 likely features high-priced branded formulations with impending or current generic competition.
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Price erosion post-patent expiry is expected to be substantial, aligning with industry norms for blockbuster drugs.
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Demand will be shaped by disease prevalence, prescriber adoption, and insurance coverage, solidifying the importance of payer negotiations.
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Strategic patent management and regulatory planning are crucial for maximizing revenue and market share.
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Longer-term, the development of biosimilars or next-generation therapies could further influence the product’s price and market position.
FAQs
1. How soon will generic versions of NDC 45802-0493 enter the market?
The timeline depends on patent status and regulatory processes. If patent protection expires within the next year, generics could launch within 6-12 months post-expiry, contingent on regulatory approval and manufacturer readiness.[1]
2. What factors most significantly impact the drug’s pricing?
Patent protection, manufacturing costs, market demand, competition, insurance reimbursement policies, and regulatory exclusivities are primary drivers influencing pricing trajectories.[2]
3. How does patent expiration typically affect drug prices?
Prices usually decline sharply after patent expiry as generic competitors enter the market. This decline can reach 50-60% within the first 1-2 years and stabilize thereafter.[3]
4. What are the key considerations for manufacturers looking to extend exclusivity?
Patent extensions through new formulations, combination therapies, or regulatory data exclusivity can help prolong market dominance, delaying price erosion.[4]
5. How can payers mitigate rising costs associated with targeted therapies?
Negotiating rebates, implementing prior authorization protocols, and favoring formulary placement of lower-cost generics or biosimilars are effective strategies.[5]
References
[1] IQVIA, Prescription Market Trends, 2022.
[2] FDA, Drug Pricing and Patent Data, 2023.
[3] IMS Health, Pharmaceutical Pricing Dynamics, 2021.
[4] PhRMA, Strategies for Market Exclusivity, 2022.
[5] AHIP, Payer Strategies in Pharmaceutical Cost Management, 2022.
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