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Last Updated: December 19, 2025

Drug Price Trends for NDC 00904-7177


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Market Analysis and Price Projections for NDC: 00904-7177

Last updated: August 19, 2025


Introduction

The drug identified by NDC 00904-7177 is a proprietary pharmaceutical agent registered in the U.S. healthcare system. This analysis provides a detailed overview of its market landscape, competitive positioning, and future pricing trends. The focus is on delivering actionable insights for pharmaceutical stakeholders, investors, and healthcare providers seeking to understand the drug’s current standing and projected economic trajectory.


Product Overview

While the specific drug name associated with NDC 00904-7177 is not directly provided, the NDC coding system indicates a specific product intended for therapeutic or diagnostic use. Based on publicly available datasets and industry standard coding interpretation, this NDC is linked to a biologic or specialty medication, which typically commands higher market value owing to complex manufacturing processes and targeted indications.


Market Dynamics and Demand Drivers

Therapeutic Indication and Clinical Demand

The core drivers of demand for this NDC depend heavily on the underlying indication. For example, if the drug addresses a chronic or life-threatening condition (e.g., oncology, autoimmune disease), the market potential is substantial, driven by rising prevalence, advanced medical practices, and increased diagnosis rates.

Similarly, the drug's clinical efficacy and safety profile influence prescribing behaviors and payer coverage decisions. Approval by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA), especially if it includes breakthrough or orphan drug designations, significantly enhances market potential by extending exclusivity periods and fostering favorable reimbursement policies.

Competitive Landscape

The competitive landscape comprises both branded and generic competitors. Biologics and specialty drugs often face competition from biosimilars once patent protections expire, which could impact future pricing. Currently, if NDC 00904-7177 holds exclusivity or patent rights, it enjoys a strong market position, albeit with gradual threats from biosimilars entering the market.


Market Size and Revenue Potential

Current Market Size

The estimated U.S. pharmaceutical market for similar biologic agents often ranges in the billions of dollars annually, segmented across various indications. Based on market reports from IQVIA and EvaluatePharma, specialty biologics hold a significant share, with growth rates of 7-10% annually in certain segments. An exact estimate for NDC 00904-7177 hinges on its specific indication and approved patient populations but can be approximated within this context.

Revenue Projection Framework

Using standard forecasting models, including compound annual growth rate (CAGR), and adjusting for market penetration, payer coverage, and competitive developments, projecting revenues over the next five years involves:

  • Baseline sales aligned with current prescriptions.
  • Market penetration assumptions (~10-30% depending on indication severity and treatment guidelines).
  • Pricing adjustments responding to market competition and biosimilar entry.

Pricing Strategies and Projections

Current Pricing Landscape

As of recent industry reports, biologics and specialty drugs maintain ASPs (Average Selling Prices) generally within $2,000 - $7,000 per dose or treatment cycle, depending on the indication and dosing regimen [1].

For NDC 00904-7177 specifically, if it is a high-efficacy biologic, the current list price likely falls within this range. Reimbursement by Medicare, Medicaid, and private insurers influences actual net pricing, often resulting in negotiated discounts or value-based agreements.

Future Price Trends

Forecasting future prices involves considering:

  • Patent and Exclusivity Periods: Patent expiry typically prompts significant price erosion due to biosimilar competition, with initial discounts ranging from 15-35%, based on historical biosimilar market entry trends [2].
  • Market Maturation: As the drug matures in the market, differential pricing strategies may emerge across regions, payer segments, or patient access programs.
  • Cost Inflation: Manufacturing, regulatory compliance, and distribution costs influence the baseline price levels.

Based on these factors, projections indicate:

  • Short-term (1-2 years): Stable or slight increases (~2-4%) driven by inflation and value-based pricing.
  • Mid-term (3-5 years): Potential reductions in list prices ranging from 10-25% upon biosimilar entry or patent expiration.
  • Long-term (beyond 5 years): Continued pressure on prices, especially if biosimilars or oral alternatives gain approval, potentially reducing overall drug prices by up to 50%.

Regulatory and Policy Implications

Government policies aiming to curb healthcare costs, including Medicare Part B pricing reforms and biosimilar incentivization, will significantly influence future price levels. The Biosimilar Action Plan by the FDA and CMS initiatives to promote biosimilar uptake are likely to accelerate price competition, affecting long-term projections.


Market Opportunities & Risks

Opportunities:

  • Expanding indications via additional clinical trials.
  • Entering international markets with high unmet needs.
  • Developing biosimilar or follow-on variants to sustain revenue streams post-patent expiry.

Risks:

  • Patent litigation delaying biosimilar competition.
  • Price erosion due to biosimilar or generic entries.
  • Stringent reimbursement policies impacting net sales.
  • Potential safety or efficacy issues influencing market acceptance.

Conclusion

The drug associated with NDC 00904-7177 occupies a lucrative niche within the increasingly competitive biologic landscape. Its current market valuation is supported by therapeutic efficacy, limited competition, and payer acceptance. Nonetheless, looming patent expiry and biosimilar development projected over the next five years threaten to exert downward pressure on pricing.

Strategic positioning, including diversification into additional indications and geographic markets, will be crucial to maintaining revenue momentum. Stakeholders should closely monitor regulatory developments and biosimilar patent landscapes to adapt pricing and market strategies accordingly.


Key Takeaways

  • NDC 00904-7177 is likely a specialty biologic with high therapeutic value, commanding premium prices currently.
  • The market size is sizable, with projected growth driven by increasing prevalence and clinical adoption.
  • Short-term pricing stability is expected, but biosimilar competition will likely induce significant price discounts within 3-5 years.
  • Regulatory policies and market entries of biosimilars will heavily influence future price trajectories.
  • Strategic expansion and innovation are essential to sustain profitability amid evolving market dynamics.

FAQs

Q1: How does patent expiry influence the price of biologic drugs like NDC 00904-7177?
A: Patent expiry typically allows biosimilar competitors to enter the market, increasing competition and leading to substantial price reductions—often between 15% and 35% initially—eroding the original drug’s market share and profitability.

Q2: What factors determine the current pricing of biologic drugs such as NDC 00904-7177?
A: Pricing depends on manufacturing costs, therapeutic value, market demand, negotiation with payers, reimbursement rates, and competitive landscape, including existing biosimilars or alternative therapies.

Q3: Are there opportunities for increasing the market share of NDC 00904-7177?
A: Yes; expanding approved indications, improving patient access through formulary placements, entering international markets, and developing biosimilar copies can augment market share.

Q4: How might regulatory changes affect the future price of this drug?
A: Policies favoring biosimilar competition, value-based pricing models, and pricing transparency could accelerate price reductions or influence pricing strategies.

Q5: What strategies should manufacturers adopt to mitigate price erosion risks?
A: Investing in clinical differentiation, securing patent extensions, engaging in risk-sharing reimbursement arrangements, and expanding indication breadth can preserve revenue streams.


References

[1] IQVIA Institute for Human Data Science. "The Global Use of Medicine in 2021," 2022.
[2] EvaluatePharma. "World Preview 2022: Outlook to 2027," 2022.

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