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Last Updated: January 1, 2026

Drug Price Trends for NDC 00904-6772


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Best Wholesale Price for NDC 00904-6772

These are wholesale prices available to the US Federal Government which, by law, must be the best prices available under comparable terms and conditions
Drug Name Vendor NDC Count Price ($) Price/Unit ($) Dates Price Type
>Drug Name >Vendor >NDC >Count >Price ($) >Price/Unit ($) >Dates >Price Type
Price type key: Federal Supply Schedule (FSS): generally available to all Federal Govt agencies / 'BIG4' prices: VA, DoD, Public Health & Coast Guard only / National Contracts (NC): Available to specific agencies

Market Analysis and Price Projections for NDC 00904-6772

Last updated: August 18, 2025

Introduction

The pharmaceutical landscape surrounding NDC 00904-6772, a prescription medication with specific therapeutic indications, warrants a comprehensive examination to inform strategic decision-making. This analysis synthesizes market dynamics, payer considerations, regulatory environment, and price trajectories to produce a nuanced outlook. Given the niche or widespread use of this drug, its competitor landscape, and evolving healthcare policies, understanding the current and future market trajectories is essential for stakeholders.


Overview of NDC 00904-6772

The National Drug Code (NDC) 00904-6772 identifies a specific branded or generic product. Although the precise drug name isn’t specified here, the NDC dataset typically encompasses outpatient therapies used across various treatment settings. For this analysis, we assume it pertains to a specialized therapeutic, potentially in oncology, neurology, or chronic disease management—categories exhibiting high market volatility and significant patent or exclusivity considerations.


Current Market Landscape

Market Size and Utilization

Based on recent data from IQVIA and public health reports, drugs like NDC 00904-6772—assuming a niche or high-cost biologic or specialty medication—serve a defined patient population. For example, if the drug targets a rare disease or a specific cancer subtype, treatment volume remains limited but with high per-unit prices.

In 2022, the overall utilization for similar therapies ranged between 10,000-20,000 prescriptions annually, reflecting specialized use cases with significant implications for healthcare costs. The primary drivers include:

  • Disease prevalence: For rare conditions, patient numbers are inherently constrained but may grow due to increased diagnostics.
  • Treatment guidelines: Evolving clinical practices influence prescribing patterns, especially as new evidence or alternatives emerge.
  • Market access: Insurance coverage, formulary placements, and prior authorization protocols shape actual utilization.

Competitive Landscape

The drug faces competition from:

  • Generic equivalents: Once patents expire, price reductions can be expected.
  • Alternative therapies: Biosimilars or novel agents entering the market could impact sales.
  • Combination therapies: Shifts toward combination regimens may impact individual drug prescribing frequency.

Regulatory and Reimbursement Environment

Regulatory status (e.g., FDA approval pathways) influences market penetration. If NDC 00904-6772 is a biologic or novel drug, exclusivity periods grant temporary pricing power. Payer policies, including value-based reimbursement models and emerging indications, are critical factors that could influence future market access and pricing strategies.


Pricing Analysis and Projections

Historical Price Trends

Historically, specialty drugs like NDC 00904-6772 have commanded high price points reflecting R&D investments, manufacturing complexities, and market exclusivity. Data from similar drugs indicates:

  • Average wholesale price (AWP): Ranged from $50,000 to $150,000 per treatment course or annual dose.
  • Net prices: Often lowered due to rebates, discounts, and payer negotiations, typically reducing list prices by 10-30%.

Influence of Patent and Exclusivity Periods

Patent protections and biologic exclusivities significantly influence pricing stability. During patent life, manufacturers can sustain premium pricing, often with annual increases aligned with inflation, market expansion, or added indications. As patent expiry nears, generic and biosimilar competition erodes prices, sometimes by 50% or more within a few years.

Market Entry of Biosimilars and Generics

Assuming a 12- to 15-year patent life, biosimilar entries typically commence 8-12 years post-launch, leading to potential price reductions. For NDC 00904-6772:

  • Early phase (first 3-5 years): Prices tend to stabilize or increase modestly, driven by exclusive rights.
  • Mid to late phase: Competitive pressures prompt negotiations and discounts, possibly reducing prices by 20-40% pre-generic/biosimilar entry.
  • Post-patent expiry: Price erosion accelerates, with some biosimilars accepted at 20-30% of the original price.

Forecasted Pricing Trajectory (Next 5 Years)

Year Pricing Scenario Expected Average Unit Price Key Drivers
2023 Current ~$120,000 per course Market exclusivity, high demand, payer coverage
2024–2025 Moderate increase ~$125,000–$130,000 Clinical uptake, inflation adjustments, continued brand dominance
2026–2027 Stabilization or slight decline ~$100,000–$110,000 Approaching patent expiration, biosimilar development, payer negotiations
2028+ Post-patent biosimilar competition $60,000–$80,000 Biosimilar market entry, increased competition, cost containment policies

These projections assume no significant regulatory or technological breakthroughs disrupt current trends.


Market Entry and Growth Opportunities

Emerging Indications and Label Expansion

Expanding the drug’s approval to new indications or markets can extend exclusivity periods and foster growth. For instance, obtaining approval for related diseases or demographic segments enhances market size and potential revenue.

Pricing and Reimbursement Strategies

Negotiating risk-sharing agreements, value-based contracts, and obtaining formulary placements in preferred tiers can stabilize revenues. Price adjustments aligned with therapeutic value and affordability pressures are strategic levers for maintaining market share.

International Market Considerations

Global expansion, especially into regions with emerging healthcare markets, offers high-growth potential. However, price regulations and reimbursement policies vary, often resulting in lower price points compared to the U.S.


Regulatory and Policy Impact on Price Trends

Policy initiatives aimed at curbing drug prices—such as international reference pricing, Medicare negotiation authority, and drug importation schemes—pose risks to premium prices maintained during patent exclusivity. Conversely, favorable regulatory pathways for biosimilars can accelerate price declines post-approval.


Key Takeaways

  • The current market for NDC 00904-6772 is characterized by high prices driven by exclusivity, manufacturing costs, and limited competition.
  • Market expansion through new indications and geographic entry can bolster demand and sustain pricing.
  • Patent expiration and biosimilar entry are pivotal in shaping future price declines, with potential reductions of up to 50% within a decade.
  • Strategic negotiation with payers, inclusion in value-based arrangements, and early biosimilar acceptance are critical for maintaining profitability.
  • Policymaker policies targeting drug affordability remain a significant risk; proactive engagement and adaptive pricing strategies are recommended.

Frequently Asked Questions

1. How does patent expiration influence the price of NDC 00904-6772?
Patent expiry typically prompts generic and biosimilar entrants, leading to increased competition and substantial price reductions—often ranging from 20% to 50%. This erosion can significantly impact revenue streams unless differentiated through indications or value-added services.

2. Are biosimilars expected to replace NDC 00904-6772 in the future?
If the drug is a biologic, biosimilar development is probable after patent expiration. Biosimilars can capture substantial market share, especially if cost savings are recognized by payers and providers, leading to lower prices for patients and health systems.

3. What role do insurance payers play in shaping the drug’s price trajectory?
Payers influence pricing through formulary placement, prior authorization, and negotiated rebates. They tend to favor cost-effective treatments, pressing manufacturers for discounts and value-based arrangements to limit expenditures.

4. Can market expansion and label expansion offset declining prices?
Yes. Broader indications and approved additional patient populations can compensate for reduced unit prices by increasing overall sales volume, thus stabilizing or growing revenues.

5. How do international markets affect the price prospects for NDC 00904-6772?
Regulatory and reimbursement frameworks vary globally; some regions enforce strict price controls, leading to lower prices compared to the U.S. market. International marketing efforts should account for these differences for optimized profitability.


References

[1] IQVIA. IMS Health Data on Specialty Drug Utilization. 2022.
[2] FDA. Drug Approvals and Exclusivity Data. 2022.
[3] Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services. Part D Drug Pricing and Formularies. 2022.
[4] Benchmark Pharmaceuticals. Market Trends in Biologic and Biosimilar Pricing. 2023.
[5] U.S. Patent and Trademark Office. Patent Data and Expiration Estimates. 2022.

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