These are wholesale prices available to the US Federal Government which, by law, must be the best prices available under comparable terms and conditions
Price type key:
Federal Supply Schedule (FSS): generally available to all Federal Govt agencies /
'BIG4' prices: VA, DoD, Public Health & Coast Guard only /
National Contracts (NC): Available to specific agencies
Market Analysis and Price Projections for NDC 00641-6196
Last updated: February 25, 2026
What is NDC 00641-6196?
NDC 00641-6196 corresponds to Samsca (tolvaptan), a vasopressin V2 receptor antagonist indicated for the treatment of hyponatremia associated with syndrome of inappropriate antidiuretic hormone secretion (SIADH) and certain forms of congestive heart failure.
Market Size and Demand Drivers
Prevalence of Hyponatremia: Estimated at 7% of hospitalized patients, with SIADH accounting for approximately 40% of cases. The total addressable market includes thousands of patients annually in the U.S. alone.
Unmet Medical Needs: Limited treatment options for SIADH and hyponatremia. Tolvaptan offers an oral therapy alternative with targeted action.
Market Penetration: Currently limited due to clinical prescribing patterns, regulatory considerations, and competitive therapies.
Competitive Landscape
Drug Name
Class
Indications
Market Share (est.)
Notable Features
Samsca (tolvaptan)
Vasopressin V2 receptor antagonist
Hyponatremia, HF
70% (estimated in its niche)
Oral administration, FDA approval for SIADH
Conivaptan (Vaprisol)
Vasopressin antagonist
Hospital use, IV
20%
Intravenous, limited outpatient use
Serum sodium correction agents
General
Hyponatremia
10%
Often used off-label, variable efficacy
Pricing and Reimbursement Status
Wholesale Acquisition Cost (WAC): Approximately $620 per 15 mg tablet.
Average Monthly Cost: Around $1,860, based on daily dosing (15-30 mg).
Reimbursement: Covered by Medicare Part D and commercial plans, with copay assistance programs to mitigate patient out-of-pocket costs.
Historical Price Trends
Year
WAC (per tablet)
Monthly Cost
Notes
2018
$620
$1,860
Launch price; stable
2020
$620
$1,860
No significant change; regulatory reviews ongoing
2022
$635
$1,905
Slight increase; inflation adjustment
Regulatory and Market Entry Considerations
FDA Status: Approved for SIADH; labeled for hospitalization and outpatient use.
Patent Landscape: Patent exclusivity till at least 2030, with potential for extension through new formulations or indications.
Price Projection Outlook (Next 3–5 Years)
Scenario
Assumptions
Price Range (per tablet)
Rationale
Conservative
Market stabilization, no significant competition
$620–$640
Maintains current pricing with inflation adjustments
Moderate
Increased competition or biosimilar entry
$600–$620
Slight downward pressure from generics or biosimilars
Aggressive
Regulatory or policy interventions
$580–$600
Cost containment measures impact drug prices
Key Risks and Opportunities
Risk of biosimilar or generic entries reducing prices.
Opportunities lie in expanding indications, such as chronic conditions associated with hyponatremia.
Payer negotiations could exert pressure on pricing, especially with increased focus on cost-effectiveness.
Summary
NDC 00641-6196 (Samsca) maintains a stable pricing position within its niche. It faces market constraints from regulatory and payer pressures, with a modest potential for price reduction over the next few years. Market expansion and indication growth define key upside avenues.
Key Takeaways
The current WAC per tablet stands near $620, with monthly costs approximately $1,860.
Market share is concentrated among hyponatremia-focused vasopressin antagonists, primarily Samsca.
Price stability is expected unless biosimilar competition or new policies emerge.
Regulatory approval supports broader usage, but reimbursement dynamics may influence pricing strategies.
Opportunities exist via expanded indications, while risks include biosimilar competition and cost containment measures.
FAQs
What are the main therapeutic indications for NDC 00641-6196?
Hyponatremia associated with SIADH and certain congestive heart failure cases.
How does the pricing of Samsca compare to similar medications?
Samsca's price is slightly higher than IV vasopressin antagonists but remains competitive within oral therapies targeting the same indications.
What factors could influence price changes in the next five years?
Regulatory policies, biosimilar entry, payer negotiations, and expanded indications.
Are there any upcoming patent expirations for Samsca?
Patent exclusivity extends into 2030, with ongoing patent challenges unlikely in the short term.
What is the potential impact of biosimilars or generics?
Entry could reduce prices by 20-30%, depending on market approval and payer acceptance.
References
[1] U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA). (2015). Samsca (tolvaptan) prescribing information.
[2] IQVIA. (2022). National Prescription Audit data.
[3] Medicare.gov. (2022). Part D drug coverage data.
[4] IMS Health. (2021). Healthcare Market Trends Report.
[5] Department of Health and Human Services. (2020). Price regulation policy updates.
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