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Market Analysis and Price Projections for Mineral Oil
Introduction to Mineral Oil
Mineral oil, often referred to as white oil, is a highly refined petroleum product that is colorless, odorless, and tasteless. It is widely used in various industries, including pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, food and beverage, and automotive sectors.
Global Market Size and Growth
The global mineral oil market has been experiencing significant growth. As of 2023, the market was valued at approximately USD 4.25 billion and is projected to reach USD 5.89 billion by 2032, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 3.71% during the forecast period (2024-2032)[1].
In the short term, the market has shown strong growth, increasing from $3.96 billion in 2023 to $4.23 billion in 2024, with a CAGR of 6.7%[3].
Key Drivers of the Mineral Oil Market
Industrial and Automotive Sector
The demand from the automotive industry is a major driver, as mineral oil is extensively used as a lubricant in engines and machinery. Additionally, its use in the industrial sector, including manufacturing, chemical, and power generation, contributes significantly to market growth[1].
Pharmaceutical and Veterinary Use
Mineral oil is widely used in the pharmaceutical industry as a laxative to relieve constipation. Its use in over-the-counter laxatives and as an adjuvant in cattle vaccinations also drives market demand[5].
Personal Care and Cosmetics
The rising demand for personal care products, particularly skin care items, is another significant driver. Mineral oils are used in creams, lotions, and other skincare products due to their moisturizing, emollient, and soothing properties[3].
Food and Beverage Industry
In the food and beverage sector, mineral oil is used as a food-grade lubricant, which is tasteless, colorless, and non-staining. The growing demand from rising Latin America and APAC countries is driving the market for food-grade mineral oil[5].
Price Trends and Projections
Current Price Trends
The price of mineral oil, particularly white oil, has been oscillating due to various factors. In the second quarter of 2024, the price trend in the US showed stability due to high demand from the cosmetic and skincare industries. However, disruptions in key waterways and geopolitical tensions have led to increased freight charges and unstable supply chains[2].
Impact of Crude Oil Prices
The price of mineral oil is heavily influenced by crude oil prices. The decline in feedstock crude oil prices can lead to a decrease in mineral oil prices, while fluctuations in crude oil prices pose significant restraints on the market due to their direct impact on the cost and availability of mineral oil[1][2].
Regional Variations
In Asia, the white oil market experienced a slow start in the third quarter of 2023 due to industrial turmoil but regained momentum with the rise in automotive sales and crude oil costs. In Europe and North America, the price trend was influenced by demand from the skincare and cosmetics sector, as well as economic conditions and freight charges[2].
Future Price Projections
Analyst Insights
According to Procurement Resource, the price trend of white oil is expected to remain oscillating in the coming months due to unstable demand-supply dynamics and geopolitical tensions. The prices are anticipated to escalate further due to ongoing trade challenges and rising upstream costs[2].
Market Forecast
The global mineral oil market is forecasted to grow to $5.53 billion by 2028 at a CAGR of 7.0%, driven by global economic expansion, shifts in consumer preferences, and the rise of sustainable practices[3].
Challenges and Restraints
Price Instability
Fluctuating crude oil prices pose a significant restraint for the mineral oil market, affecting the cost and availability of mineral oil and making it challenging for industries to budget and forecast[1].
Geopolitical Tensions
Disruptions in key waterways and geopolitical conflicts, such as the crisis at the Red Sea and the conflict between Israel and Hamas, have increased freight charges and affected the timely arrival of mineral oil cargoes[2].
Key Takeaways
- The global mineral oil market is valued at USD 4.25 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 5.89 billion by 2032.
- The market is driven by demand from the automotive, pharmaceutical, personal care, and food and beverage industries.
- Price trends are influenced by crude oil prices, demand-supply dynamics, and geopolitical tensions.
- The market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 3.71% from 2024 to 2032.
- Future price projections indicate ongoing oscillations and potential increases due to trade challenges and rising upstream costs.
FAQs
Q: What is the current market size of the global mineral oil market? A: The global mineral oil market was valued at approximately USD 4.25 billion in 2023[1].
Q: What are the primary drivers of the mineral oil market? A: The primary drivers include demand from the automotive industry, pharmaceutical sector, personal care and cosmetics industry, and the food and beverage sector[1][3][5].
Q: How do crude oil prices affect the mineral oil market? A: Fluctuations in crude oil prices directly impact the cost and availability of mineral oil, posing significant restraints on the market[1][2].
Q: What are the expected future price trends for mineral oil? A: The price trend of mineral oil is expected to remain oscillating due to unstable demand-supply dynamics and geopolitical tensions, with potential increases in the coming months[2].
Q: Which regions are driving the growth of the mineral oil market? A: The Asia-Pacific region is the largest market for mineral oil, with significant growth also expected from Latin America and other APAC countries[5].
Sources
- Straits Research: Mineral Oil Market Size, Share | Growth Report 2032
- Procurement Resource: White Oil Price Trend and Forecast
- The Business Research Company: Global Mineral Oil Market Growth Rate 2024, Forecast To 2033
- Data Bridge Market Research: Mineral Oils Market Size, Value, Demand & Industry Forecast By 2030
- Arizton: Mineral Oil Market - Global Outlook & Forecast 2022-2027
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