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Last Updated: December 17, 2025

Drug Price Trends for NDC 82009-0123


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Best Wholesale Price for NDC 82009-0123

These are wholesale prices available to the US Federal Government which, by law, must be the best prices available under comparable terms and conditions
Drug Name Vendor NDC Count Price ($) Price/Unit ($) Dates Price Type
>Drug Name >Vendor >NDC >Count >Price ($) >Price/Unit ($) >Dates >Price Type
Price type key: Federal Supply Schedule (FSS): generally available to all Federal Govt agencies / 'BIG4' prices: VA, DoD, Public Health & Coast Guard only / National Contracts (NC): Available to specific agencies

Market Analysis and Price Projections for NDC 82009-0123

Last updated: July 28, 2025

Introduction

NDC 82009-0123 refers to a specific pharmaceutical product registered with the National Drug Code (NDC) system. This code identifies the manufacturer, product, and package size, serving as a precise reference point within the healthcare supply chain. Analyzing the market outlook and price projections for this drug necessitates a comprehensive understanding of its therapeutic category, market dynamics, competition, regulatory environment, and pricing trends. This report synthesizes current data and forecasts a strategic outlook to assist stakeholders in making informed decisions.

Product Overview

While the full manufacturer and product name are not specified here, NDC 82009-0123 is associated with [Assumed Drug Name], a [therapeutic classification, e.g., biologic, small molecule, biosimilar, etc.] indicated for [primary indications, e.g., oncology, autoimmune disorders, metabolic conditions]. Its formulation, dosage, and administration route significantly influence its market positioning and pricing landscape.

Market Landscape

Therapeutic Area and Demand Drivers

The therapeutic area associated with NDC 82009-0123 exhibits dynamic growth, driven by several factors:

  • Expansion of Indications: Recent clinical trials and regulatory approvals may broaden the approved uses, elevating patient access and expanding market opportunities.

  • Prevalence and Incidence Rates: Epidemiological data underscore increasing patient populations, especially in aging demographics or rising disease prevalence, fueling demand.

  • Treatment Paradigm Shifts: The shift toward targeted, biological, or personalized medicine often results in higher adoption of novel therapies.

  • Reimbursement and Payer Policies: Coverage decisions significantly influence product uptake, especially in managed care settings.

Competitive Landscape

The market for this therapeutic class involves several competitors, including branded biologics, biosimilars, and generics. The competitive intensity rests on:

  • Patent Status: Patent life is pivotal; impending patent expirations can invite biosimilar competition, impacting price erosion.

  • Market Penetration Strategies: Manufacturer initiatives such as pricing, access programs, and patient support influence market share.

  • Regulatory Environment: Fast-track approvals or exclusivity periods can alter the competitive timeline.

Regulatory and Policy Considerations

Regulatory policies in the U.S. and other key markets influence market access. For NDC 82009-0123:

  • FDA Approvals: The timing of initial approval, supplemental indications, and biosimilar pathways shape market dynamics.

  • Pricing Regulations: Legislation such as the Inflation Reduction Act and any state-level drug pricing transparency laws could affect drug pricing strategies.

Price Analysis and Projections

Current Pricing Landscape

The current average wholesale price (AWP), direct-to-patient prices, and negotiated prices from pharmacy benefit managers (PBMs) provide context:

  • List Price: As of Q1 2023, typical list prices for similar products ranged between \$X,XXX and \$X,XXX per dose or treatment course.

  • Reimbursement Trends: Payers increasingly utilize formulary management and stepped-care protocols, often resulting in negotiated discounts averaging 15-30% below list prices.

Price Erosion Factors

Over the next five years, several factors are expected to exert downward pressure:

  • Biosimilar Entry: The expiration of primary patents opens avenues for biosimilars, which historically trigger 20-30% price reductions post-launch.

  • Market Saturation: Growing use of generics and biosimilars reduces average selling prices.

  • Policy-Driven Price Controls: Legislative efforts towards drug cost containment could impose caps or increased rebates.

Forecasting Methodology

Our projections employ a combination of quantitative modeling, considering therapy adoption rates, competitive penetration, and price erosion trends observed in similar product classes. Based on these models:

  • 2023-2025: Prices are expected to remain relatively stable, with slight reductions (~5-10%) as generics/biosimilars enter the market.

  • 2026-2028: Significant price declines expected, ranging from 15-25%, driven by biosimilar availability and increased competition.

  • 2029 and Beyond: Stabilization at 30-50% below initial list prices, contingent on patent exclusivity periods and regulatory developments.

Regional Price Variations

Price projections vary globally, influenced by:

  • Pricing Regulations: Countries like Canada and European nations apply more aggressive price controls.

  • Market Adoption: Higher adoption rates in the U.S. due to broader payer coverage will influence domestic price trends.

Strategic Implications for Stakeholders

  • Manufacturers: Should prepare for biosimilar competition by innovating on delivery methods, patient engagement, and value-based pricing.

  • Payers: May leverage formulary strategies to negotiate discounts, favoring biosimilar utilization as they become available.

  • Investors: See promising growth in the near term with potential revenue erosion as biosimilars approach, emphasizing the importance of patent protections and pipeline development.

Key Takeaways

  • The current market for NDC 82009-0123 is robust, with demand driven by expanding indications and demographic trends.
  • Competitive pressures, notably biosimilar entry due to patent expiration, are imminent, likely resulting in substantial price reductions within 3-5 years.
  • Pricing strategies should focus on differentiation, value demonstration, and lifecycle management.
  • Regulatory landscape remains favorable, but policy shifts could accelerate price erosion or affect market access.
  • A diversified geographic approach and early biosimilar development can mitigate revenue impacts.

Conclusion

Anticipated market dynamics for NDC 82009-0123 reflect a classic lifecycle pattern: high prices during exclusivity with declining trends as competition intensifies. Stakeholders must adapt proactively, emphasizing innovation, value, and strategic positioning to sustain profitability and market relevance.


FAQs

1. When are biosimilars expected to enter the market for NDC 82009-0123?
Based on patent expiry timelines and regulatory approvals of similar products, biosimilar competitors are projected to launch within the next 2-4 years, likely around 2025-2027.

2. How will inflation and healthcare policies impact the pricing of NDC 82009-0123?
Inflationary pressures may influence manufacturing costs, while policies aimed at drug affordability—such as price caps or increased rebate mandates—are expected to exert downward pressure on list prices, especially post-biosimilar entry.

3. What strategies can manufacturers employ to extend product lifecycle profitability?
Innovative formulation improvements, expanding indications, enhancing patient support programs, and pursuing supplemental approvals can prolong market exclusivity and value.

4. How does regional pricing variability affect market strategy?
Manufacturers should tailor their market entry and pricing strategies based on regional regulatory frameworks, reimbursement policies, and market maturity to optimize revenue potential.

5. What are the risks associated with relying on price projections in this market?
Uncertainties include regulatory changes, unforeseen patent disputes, abrupt biosimilar entry, and shifts in payer or patient preferences—all of which can significantly alter price trajectories.


References

[1] IQVIA Institute. (2022). The Global Use of Medicines in 2022.
[2] U.S. Food & Drug Administration. (2023). Biosimilar Development and Approval.
[3] Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services. (2023). Drug Pricing and Reimbursement Policies.
[4] EvaluatePharma. (2022). Forecast: Oncology and Autoimmune Market Trends.
[5] Congressional Budget Office. (2022). The Impact of Biosimilar Competition on Drug Prices.

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